Long-Term-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

136

Trades

20,057

lifetime

Volume

$68.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-19 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775702700	11	$310	172	171	+2	open	—	04-09 02:59
btc updown 15m 1775834100	3	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	04-10 15:25
btc updown 15m 1775741400	2	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	04-09 13:40
eth updown 15m 1775740500	1	$100	107	0	+107	open	—	04-09 13:28
btc updown 5m 1775203800	1	$80	95	0	+95	open	—	04-03 08:12
btc updown 15m 1775201400	2	$53	59	0	+59	open	—	04-03 07:36
btc updown 5m 1773778800	5	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	03-17 20:24
btc updown 15m 1770293700	21	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	02-05 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-11 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773768900	4	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-17 17:40
btc updown 5m 1774435500	4	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-25 10:49
btc updown 15m 1770356700	18	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	02-06 05:56
btc updown 15m 1770274800	18	$34	36	0	+36	open	—	02-05 07:13
btc updown 5m 1773668400	6	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	03-16 13:44
btc updown 5m 1773781800	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 21:13
btc updown 5m 1773776700	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 17:14
btc updown 5m 1773755400	3	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	03-17 13:52
btc updown 15m 1770377400	15	$28	39	0	+39	open	—	02-06 11:38
btc updown 5m 1773981000	3	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-20 04:33
btc updown 5m 1774365600	3	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 15:23
btc updown 5m 1773763500	3	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-17 16:09
btc updown 5m 1773756000	3	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-17 14:04
btc updown 5m 1773756900	3	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	03-17 14:19
btc updown 5m 1773662400	4	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 12:04
btc updown 5m 1774249800	3	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	03-23 07:14
btc updown 5m 1773357300	4	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 23:19
btc updown 5m 1774127400	3	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 21:14
btc updown 5m 1773339600	4	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 02:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb1ba79…
05-18 15:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x9af7e5…
05-18 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x35e500…
05-18 15:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x591d8c…
05-18 14:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f6d43…
05-18 14:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda277c…
05-18 14:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0a0f24…
05-18 14:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x58904a…
05-18 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x08df19…
05-18 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2772a…
05-18 13:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d2a92…
05-18 13:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x50e5ac…
05-18 13:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8c8f5f…
05-18 13:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4e47b3…
05-18 12:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa7e462…
05-18 12:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4856f9…
05-18 12:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x7a5281…
05-18 11:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5d0f63…
05-18 10:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x92961b…
05-18 09:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0bd42f…
05-18 08:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9edee2…
05-18 07:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x25556a…
05-18 07:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xb7e4fb…
05-18 06:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc0a86a…
05-18 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdfd5a7…
05-18 05:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa7c7be…
05-18 04:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb397dd…
05-18 04:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5abf48…
05-18 03:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd40ae2…
05-18 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4eddae…
05-18 02:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb218e…
05-18 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf0eac7…
05-18 01:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b453c…
05-18 01:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x168159…
05-18 01:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf07bed…
05-18 01:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x8b024b…
05-18 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc23637…
05-18 00:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3ea36d…
05-18 00:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x522b00…
05-17 23:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6114a4…
05-17 23:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x39c942…
05-17 22:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc7cc1e…
05-17 22:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cc464…
05-17 20:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0781db…
05-17 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xefd996…
05-17 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6e3a9b…
05-17 17:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x91c592…
05-17 17:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x192ec6…
05-17 10:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6cd530…
05-16 18:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4039fe…
05-16 16:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x180f45…
05-16 14:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8c1787…
05-16 10:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9c7cf9…
05-16 10:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x80e146…
05-16 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xea289b…
05-16 07:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x6ea67f…
05-16 04:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x73a277…
05-16 00:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x86dcd5…
05-15 16:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe50c6d…
05-15 15:44:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5345e6…
05-15 15:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd47c7e…
05-15 15:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x098ff8…
05-15 15:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0695d0…
05-15 14:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x007c39…
05-15 14:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9f4043…
05-15 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8ed8e5…
05-15 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x46faaa…
05-15 12:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf36a5d…
05-15 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcdda12…
05-15 06:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6b12fd…
05-15 06:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe363de…
05-15 06:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7d226e…
05-15 05:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2809ac…
05-15 05:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc95c60…
05-15 04:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x628daf…
05-15 03:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc2a8ba…
05-15 03:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x98edd4…
05-15 02:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe517e7…
05-15 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x67baa4…
05-15 02:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x232cce…
05-14 20:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4a1af7…
05-14 20:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x80774d…
05-14 19:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xfb0de1…
05-14 17:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x76e9fe…
05-14 17:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x95d466…
05-14 17:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x12f67f…
05-14 17:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xae6254…
05-14 16:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb6de86…
05-14 16:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc7c108…
05-14 15:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xadb78a…
05-14 10:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe9e477…
05-14 10:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32ba42…
05-14 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2762ec…
05-14 08:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5e0193…
05-14 07:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7c57d8…
05-14 07:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb3f36f…
05-14 07:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2529b9…
05-14 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe314af…
05-14 06:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcd855e…
05-14 06:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4dec20…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	756	$161.4K	17,491	05-18 15:58
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	729	$9.81K	1,582	04-30 23:30
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	700	$293.1K	40,979	03-27 18:14
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	693	$1.15K	3,140	05-18 15:59
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	643	$239.3K	16,129	03-28 02:17
Forked-Felony 0xfafd…9b3e	634	$514	3,582	04-28 10:42
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	621	$1.51K	3,097	03-28 02:19
(anonymous) 0x7b4c…0e86	613	$1.37K	4,384	03-27 18:14