Frightened-Academy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

152

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-23 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 62% -$9

Other

11% 56% -$3

Sports

1% 33% -$1

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 10:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:50 UTC	6	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	03-05 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:20 UTC	4	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	03-05 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:50 UTC	6	$11	19	4	+15	Down	-$7	03-07 09:54
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	8	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	03-07 14:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:25 UTC	5	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	03-06 10:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	8	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 14:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	8	$8	6	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-07 15:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	6	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-07 14:45
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	4	$8	33	4	+29	Yes	$0	06-19 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:00 UTC	4	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-05 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:45 UTC	7	$8	10	5	+5	Down	$0	03-06 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:35 UTC	8	$7	9	5	+4	Up	-$1	03-07 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:10 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 13:30 UTC	3	$7	6	5	+1	Down	+$3	03-07 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:55 UTC	6	$6	9	7	+2	Down	+$0	03-06 11:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:15 UTC	5	$6	8	5	+2	Up	+$0	03-06 10:21
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:00 UTC	5	$6	5	4	+1	Down	$0	03-06 11:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 17:35 UTC	5	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$0	03-05 17:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:50 UTC	5	$6	6	3	+3	Up	$0	03-07 11:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:10 UTC	5	$6	7	4	+2	Up	$0	03-06 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 13:45 UTC	5	$6	9	5	+4	Up	$0	03-07 13:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	6	$5	5	4	+0	Down	-$1	03-07 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:55 UTC	4	$5	9	2	+6	Down	-$1	03-07 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	5	$5	5	3	+1	Up	-$1	03-18 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:50 UTC	4	$5	5	4	+2	Down	+$1	03-06 10:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 17:40 UTC	5	$5	5	3	+2	Down	-$1	03-05 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 18:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-05 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 06:16:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5c6c80…
10-23 06:16:18	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd313bf…
10-23 06:16:06	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x23ef10…
07-30 10:42:33	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3ad535…
07-16 06:06:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa4a840…
07-15 06:25:14	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa82f98…
07-14 10:59:43	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x32f488…
07-14 10:50:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf6138f…
07-14 10:49:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x548fec…
07-14 10:46:46	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x71f746…
07-14 07:47:04	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd7d5b1…
07-14 07:45:50	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3fb151…
07-07 10:51:28	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x657380…
07-07 10:51:11	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x177a29…
07-07 07:36:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc6633c…
06-19 11:58:01	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6cd4bf…
06-19 09:27:04	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2b0046…
06-19 07:25:40	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xbd0364…
06-18 06:21:43	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xda5b28…
06-18 06:17:46	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x029c3e…
06-18 06:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe880a1…
05-05 12:02:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4fce17…
05-05 10:31:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6f4a5f…
05-05 09:25:36	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7818f7…
04-24 10:46:14	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9e6f28…
04-24 09:33:56	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x946018…
03-20 11:39:35	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7b4363…
03-19 06:14:57	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6ac415…
03-18 09:34:01	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf859b9…
03-18 09:30:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdc5ece…
03-18 09:25:03	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfe805f…
03-18 09:06:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2e7016…
03-18 07:28:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6de694…
03-18 07:27:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x253e18…
03-18 07:27:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5d22fa…
03-18 07:26:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4d1a34…
03-18 07:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4dbc19…
03-18 07:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3fd4f4…
03-18 07:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0fe0e4…
03-18 07:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9fecac…
03-18 07:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4a91ea…
03-18 07:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95ddc0…
03-18 07:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb951e…
03-07 18:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe8460d…
03-07 18:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb9f850…
03-07 18:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7af3c7…
03-07 18:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9654b3…
03-07 15:03:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x33ade6…
03-07 15:02:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0a849a…
03-07 15:01:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf8b986…
03-07 15:00:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5584c5…
03-07 15:00:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04105e…
03-07 14:59:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7d312f…
03-07 14:59:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xacae2b…
03-07 14:59:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e101a…
03-07 14:58:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4fe321…
03-07 14:58:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7cad50…
03-07 14:58:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xf3f4c0…
03-07 14:57:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x922f69…
03-07 14:57:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x644cb6…
03-07 14:57:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x701434…
03-07 14:56:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x11fe34…
03-07 14:55:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0115f2…
03-07 14:55:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7596…
03-07 14:54:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb658a2…
03-07 14:54:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x4abad5…
03-07 14:54:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3b6c70…
03-07 14:54:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x7a3c15…
03-07 14:53:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5896df…
03-07 14:52:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x6bd1c5…
03-07 14:51:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6c775…
03-07 14:50:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61c3bb…
03-07 14:49:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c1f71…
03-07 14:49:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x376864…
03-07 14:46:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x78048a…
03-07 14:46:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x772058…
03-07 14:45:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfd139c…
03-07 14:45:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15d787…
03-07 14:43:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2a37da…
03-07 14:43:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x935499…
03-07 14:42:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbb01cf…
03-07 14:42:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5e2bfd…
03-07 14:40:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xec05da…
03-07 14:38:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5e3b57…
03-07 14:38:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfd97fa…
03-07 14:37:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbdf2c4…
03-07 14:37:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x73161b…
03-07 14:35:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bc600…
03-07 14:33:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f4b42…
03-07 14:33:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf3e0d7…
03-07 14:33:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xd0345e…
03-07 14:31:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x0caafb…
03-07 14:31:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x921ddf…
03-07 14:31:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x86fe85…
03-07 14:30:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ab220…
03-07 14:28:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x483280…
03-07 14:27:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x72f53a…
03-07 14:22:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb349a…
03-07 14:22:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe7c3fb…
03-07 14:21:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x698591…