Glorious-Mandarin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-25 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 56% $-31

Politics

13% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$79	170	94	+76	open	—	05-23 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$47	583	0	+583	open	—	05-25 15:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$45	290	0	+290	open	—	05-23 22:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$37	1,333	0	+1,333	open	—	05-25 15:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$25	410	0	+410	open	—	05-23 22:38
sol updown 5m 1776435300	7	$14	269	0	+269	open	—	04-17 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	05-03 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Down	$-12	05-12 08:59
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	Up	+$5	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 22:34
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$11	48	0	+48	Down	$-11	05-12 11:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$11	19	0	+19	Down	$-11	05-12 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$11	17	0	+17	Down	$-11	05-12 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-11 15:49
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	05-12 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	$-10	05-12 03:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	87	0	+87	open	—	05-20 00:41
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$10	115	0	+115	open	—	05-23 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	$-10	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$10	35	0	+35	Up	+$25	05-12 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-11 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$10	18	7	+11	open	—	05-03 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	+$6	05-12 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$9	48	0	+48	open	—	04-26 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	05-12 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$8	27	0	+27	Down	$-8	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$8	74	0	+74	open	—	05-03 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$7	16	0	+16	Down	$-7	05-13 04:04
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$7	11	0	+11	Down	$-7	05-13 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$7	13	0	+13	Down	$-7	05-13 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 15:20:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x633f5d…
05-25 15:19:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x5c956f…
05-24 16:02:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	149	3¢	$5	0x5cfd27…
05-23 22:40:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x3966f8…
05-23 22:38:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	6¢	$15	0xcd6c5e…
05-23 22:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xb14881…
05-23 22:14:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0x496097…
05-23 22:04:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x0c84d8…
05-23 21:54:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x54ee1f…
05-23 21:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	122	20¢	$25	0xdbbf85…
05-23 21:43:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	16¢	$25	0xd0df36…
05-23 20:53:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0xe685d0…
05-23 18:09:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	416	2¢	$10	0xe44df5…
05-23 10:00:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0x43b06a…
05-23 10:00:30	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x838f7b…
05-23 09:02:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x3ea5e6…
05-22 23:40:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xca1caa…
05-22 22:41:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x989138…
05-22 22:23:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xfd7f20…
05-22 22:21:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x28f64f…
05-20 00:41:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	11¢	$10	0xc69cb1…
05-13 17:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8e8655…
05-13 16:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xff8001…
05-13 16:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x015acf…
05-13 13:54:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x480d9f…
05-13 12:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xae81ac…
05-13 11:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xc1a413…
05-13 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6d678f…
05-13 04:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xd7bc18…
05-13 00:09:36	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x2d6e1e…
05-12 22:24:38	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x11bd1d…
05-12 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x558f0c…
05-12 18:09:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x206c21…
05-12 17:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x3593b8…
05-12 17:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x1d04e9…
05-12 14:09:35	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xe12c46…
05-12 11:24:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	24¢	$11	0xbebc64…
05-12 08:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x66b3fc…
05-12 08:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x35eff3…
05-12 04:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xfc4335…
05-12 04:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x3acb71…
05-12 03:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3f7143…
05-12 01:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x7d0549…
05-11 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfdef9d…
05-11 10:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbc5fc6…
05-11 07:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x61be70…
05-11 00:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa51da8…
05-10 21:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8d61f3…
05-10 17:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0db263…
05-10 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa8eefa…
05-10 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4aec9f…
05-10 09:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0040b8…
05-10 02:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x53608e…
05-09 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x59c5b2…
05-09 18:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x901f78…
05-09 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8c7420…
05-09 10:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe8b9ac…
05-08 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x449ec5…
05-08 16:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x921204…
05-08 16:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7da89e…
05-08 16:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x129799…
05-08 06:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x89811f…
05-08 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe82a7b…
05-07 09:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc2bfa5…
05-07 06:24:43	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb22f00…
05-07 05:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x58efd3…
05-07 00:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xdc53c4…
05-06 19:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6d66c2…
05-06 16:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x07dc85…
05-06 15:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2cd555…
05-06 11:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb114e2…
05-06 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb902c9…
05-06 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4de6eb…
05-06 01:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x72c43d…
05-06 01:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4e837c…
05-05 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe51ebe…
05-03 11:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x82d4d7…
05-03 11:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x57f824…
05-03 11:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbe48c4…
05-03 11:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff9d60…
05-03 11:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x819086…
05-03 11:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x64493a…
05-03 11:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4f5238…
05-03 10:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa41891…
05-03 10:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5cd006…
05-03 10:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7e4861…
05-02 18:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4c0e3f…
05-01 13:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x47ccd8…
05-01 11:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8061d3…
05-01 07:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9218e1…
05-01 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x66ae6d…
05-01 04:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa4ff3a…
05-01 03:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7252f4…
05-01 02:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa33f93…
05-01 01:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x47466c…
04-30 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe4ca58…
04-30 23:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc15ead…
04-30 21:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdd7b06…
04-30 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xffbee3…
04-30 17:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc890f1…