Yellow-Rambler-Nutmeg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$942

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

233

Trades

1,101

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-03 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

74% 9% -$666

Politics

14% 12% -$167

Sports

7% 14% -$74

Tech

3% 11% -$5

Crypto

2% 0% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-09 21:16
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	06-09 03:19
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	-$1	05-16 12:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	80	$1.0K	1,580	1,586	-6	Vitality	-$7	04-30 19:31
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	8	$814	1,549	1,549	+0	Knicks	+$45	05-20 01:08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	62	$500	880	200	+680	FaZe	+$14	04-30 22:09
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	5	$389	505	505	+0	open	—	06-28 17:14
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	9	$385	3,000	2,500	+500	Knicks	-$35	05-26 01:17
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?	9	$366	250	250	+0	No	-$4	06-10 04:52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	8	$366	300	300	+0	No	-$11	05-16 23:59
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	13	$287	307	307	+0	No	-$4	05-10 00:03
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	14	$267	302	422	-120	No	-$67	05-27 06:31
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	7	$246	150	150	+0	No	-$1	06-09 09:32
James Comey arrested by April 30?	11	$243	237	237	+0	Yes	-$1	04-29 09:59
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	9	$217	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 04:36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	5	$203	330	330	+0	LGD Gaming	-$9	04-30 09:40
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	6	$179	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 08:07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	17	$178	4,262	4,262	+0	T1	-$95	04-29 09:22
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	9	$176	116	116	+0	No	-$2	05-10 03:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$176	190	90	+100	No	-$2	05-05 08:40
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 12:44
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	4	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 08:07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	7	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	05-16 10:38
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	2	$169	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-16 16:15
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$168	95	95	+0	No	-$3	05-16 12:49
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	3	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 06:38
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?	4	$147	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	06-07 08:47
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	5	$146	140	140	+0	No	-$37	06-08 11:43
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	2	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 11:37
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	8	$145	142	142	+0	Yes	-$19	06-08 10:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	10	$142	158	158	+0	No	-$3	05-15 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	6	$140	90	90	+0	No	+$13	06-10 06:16
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	4	$134	100	100	+0	No	-$6	06-04 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:36:10	will canvas valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x10e064…
07-02 04:39:23	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x2c3cb1…
06-28 17:14:58	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xea1cf1…
06-28 17:14:44	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xa4cc51…
06-28 17:14:38	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x35327c…
06-28 17:01:25	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	245	34¢	$83	0x372d29…
06-28 17:00:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0xf17cde…
06-28 16:59:16	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	305	38¢	$116	0x339bb8…
06-28 16:53:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x1068e4…
06-28 12:14:43	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x653f1b…
06-28 11:37:38	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xece576…
06-28 10:38:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x943581…
06-28 09:40:56	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xdab64b…
06-28 09:32:14	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x272bf6…
06-26 13:55:13	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xc5736c…
06-26 11:06:38	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xfb408e…
06-26 10:53:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x6c9d1d…
06-10 06:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x81dd6f…
06-10 04:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0xf2fbfb…
06-10 04:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7555f2…
06-10 04:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9e77b1…
06-10 04:52:54	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x7c96b2…
06-10 03:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x757a5e…
06-10 03:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd59431…
06-10 03:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xa778ee…
06-10 03:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0x332e93…
06-10 03:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa1af32…
06-10 03:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x9264f5…
06-10 03:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xd44845…
06-10 03:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x4cb97f…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc2261a…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x93ea55…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x76f383…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2bda41…
06-10 03:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x2baabd…
06-10 03:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0xbd78a0…
06-10 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x96e3a0…
06-10 03:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x9a378c…
06-10 02:50:15	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x97d252…
06-10 02:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x078c29…
06-10 02:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1a497b…
06-10 02:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x88bb0a…
06-10 02:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x553f81…
06-10 02:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb8e9eb…
06-10 02:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x89467c…
06-10 02:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x86cc25…
06-10 02:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xb93f54…
06-10 02:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf576de…
06-10 02:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x8a1dc7…
06-10 02:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x829d30…
06-10 01:33:16	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xaee988…
06-10 01:33:13	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xc6a57a…
06-09 14:17:27	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x34c19c…
06-09 14:17:00	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x1d1a2a…
06-09 14:03:36	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	No	SELL	39	47¢	$18	0x85dac4…
06-09 12:59:04	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x0aab62…
06-09 12:58:37	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x0f23c8…
06-09 10:59:51	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7eaa8a…
06-09 10:48:57	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4e9fe0…
06-09 10:41:52	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt25b	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x8fa7fc…
06-09 10:39:45	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x53a7c4…
06-09 10:31:42	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xdc759d…
06-09 10:30:58	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x10f998…
06-09 10:30:01	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x4beb56…
06-09 09:35:39	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x54d448…
06-09 09:34:21	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x103357…
06-09 09:32:36	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x8f846e…
06-09 09:30:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x73ca3e…
06-09 09:23:34	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8eefeb…
06-09 09:23:13	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x927e50…
06-09 09:21:15	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x736dc2…
06-09 09:19:43	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x443c4f…
06-09 09:08:55	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x2934e8…
06-09 09:07:06	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xe9aaec…
06-09 08:44:03	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x788787…
06-09 08:40:19	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x0115dc…
06-09 08:28:27	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x83a08d…
06-09 08:25:16	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa4429e…
06-09 08:17:52	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x9be7a6…
06-09 08:16:15	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc330da…
06-09 08:11:07	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xfd825a…
06-09 08:10:43	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt25b	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x617b42…
06-09 08:08:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x7e785d…
06-09 08:08:52	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x7a0be9…
06-09 08:08:48	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x9dfd04…
06-09 08:07:49	Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xce231d…
06-09 08:07:19	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x5f7535…
06-09 08:06:37	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x3f6cb3…
06-09 08:05:40	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x77e54f…
06-09 08:03:58	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x8c175d…
06-09 08:03:37	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x90beab…
06-09 08:01:16	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x13aa59…
06-09 07:46:06	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x492626…
06-09 07:34:18	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x5bbf85…
06-09 07:18:04	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xea63df…
06-09 07:17:55	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xd79630…
06-09 07:08:15	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0x813cad…
06-09 07:08:06	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xc125a2…
06-09 07:07:18	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x2a33c0…
06-09 07:02:31	will nflx dip to 80 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xe8563b…