Yellow-Rambler-Nutmeg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-28 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 17% $-14

Politics

13% 25% $-12

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	+10	$2	53¢	$5	+$3	06-08 07:06
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+10	$8	47¢	$5	$-4	06-08 07:10
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	+0	$0	75¢	$0	$-0	06-09 03:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	80	$1.0K	1,580	1,586	-6	open	—	04-30 19:31
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	8	$814	1,549	1,549	+0	open	—	05-20 01:08
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	62	$500	880	200	+680	open	—	04-30 22:09
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	5	$389	505	505	+0	open	—	06-28 17:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	8	$366	300	300	+0	open	—	05-16 23:59
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	13	$287	307	307	+0	open	—	05-10 00:03
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	7	$280	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	05-26 01:17
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	14	$267	302	422	-120	open	—	05-27 06:31
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	7	$246	150	150	+0	open	—	06-09 09:32
James Comey arrested by April 30?	11	$243	237	237	+0	open	—	04-29 09:59
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	9	$217	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 04:36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	5	$203	330	330	+0	open	—	04-30 09:40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	17	$178	4,262	4,262	+0	open	—	04-29 09:22
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	9	$176	116	116	+0	open	—	05-10 03:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$176	190	90	+100	open	—	05-05 08:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	7	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 10:38
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	2	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 16:15
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	5	$146	140	140	+0	open	—	06-08 11:43
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	2	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 11:37
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	8	$145	142	142	+0	open	—	06-08 10:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	10	$142	158	158	+0	open	—	05-15 09:58
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	4	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 12:19
will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	5	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 03:34
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	2	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	05-16 23:27
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	8	$112	150	150	+0	open	—	06-07 07:45
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	6	$111	111	111	+0	open	—	05-10 00:01
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?	4	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	$-18	05-12 09:09
will surf launch a token by december 31 2026	7	$107	89	89	+0	open	—	06-06 09:41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	3	$107	61	61	+0	Yes	$-1	05-09 17:38
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	4	$106	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 17:14:38	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x35327c…
06-28 17:01:25	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	245	34¢	$83	0x372d29…
06-28 17:00:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0xf17cde…
06-28 16:59:16	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	305	38¢	$116	0x339bb8…
06-28 16:53:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x1068e4…
06-28 11:37:38	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xece576…
06-28 10:38:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x943581…
06-28 09:40:56	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xdab64b…
06-28 09:32:14	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x272bf6…
06-10 01:33:16	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xaee988…
06-10 01:33:13	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xc6a57a…
06-09 14:17:27	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x34c19c…
06-09 14:17:00	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x1d1a2a…
06-09 14:03:36	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	No	SELL	39	47¢	$18	0x85dac4…
06-09 12:59:04	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x0aab62…
06-09 12:58:37	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x0f23c8…
06-09 10:59:51	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7eaa8a…
06-09 10:48:57	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4e9fe0…
06-09 10:41:52	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt25b	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x8fa7fc…
06-09 10:31:42	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xdc759d…
06-09 10:30:58	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x10f998…
06-09 09:35:39	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x54d448…
06-09 09:34:21	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x103357…
06-09 09:32:36	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x8f846e…
06-09 09:30:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x73ca3e…
06-09 09:23:34	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8eefeb…
06-09 09:23:13	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x927e50…
06-09 09:21:15	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x736dc2…
06-09 09:19:43	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x443c4f…
06-09 09:08:55	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x2934e8…
06-09 09:07:06	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xe9aaec…
06-09 08:28:27	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x83a08d…
06-09 08:25:16	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa4429e…
06-09 08:17:52	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x9be7a6…
06-09 08:16:15	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc330da…
06-09 08:11:07	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt35b	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xfd825a…
06-09 08:10:43	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt25b	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x617b42…
06-09 08:08:52	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x7a0be9…
06-09 08:08:48	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x9dfd04…
06-09 08:06:37	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x3f6cb3…
06-09 08:05:40	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x77e54f…
06-09 08:03:58	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x8c175d…
06-09 08:03:37	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x90beab…
06-09 08:01:16	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x13aa59…
06-09 07:46:06	will rklb reach 136 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x492626…
06-09 07:34:18	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x5bbf85…
06-09 07:18:04	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xea63df…
06-09 07:17:55	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xd79630…
06-09 07:02:31	will nflx dip to 80 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xe8563b…
06-09 07:02:01	will nflx dip to 80 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x2ef4b0…
06-09 06:45:52	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0xbb2e1d…
06-09 06:44:16	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xe715f6…
06-09 06:25:18	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x50a605…
06-09 05:56:00	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x40a777…
06-09 05:54:30	will petro mention hitler again by june 30	No	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x42210f…
06-09 05:54:24	will petro mention hitler again by june 30	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xfcc3e7…
06-09 05:15:40	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x79434c…
06-09 05:13:31	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaf45ae…
06-09 04:29:30	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe57194…
06-09 04:25:31	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x4ad7d3…
06-09 04:22:55	la mayoral election court rules 1st round fraudulent 20260607211804480	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xe70fc6…
06-09 04:21:12	la mayoral election court rules 1st round fraudulent 20260607211804480	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x028d0e…
06-09 04:20:51	la mayoral election court rules 1st round fraudulent 20260607211804480	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x66d4ce…
06-09 03:34:24	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xd6f095…
06-09 03:34:21	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xd4cf73…
06-09 03:33:30	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x61d0d7…
06-09 03:33:30	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x513f38…
06-09 03:32:21	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	99	60¢	$59	0xc24d9b…
06-09 03:30:25	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xbe100a…
06-09 03:30:19	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xf21474…
06-09 03:30:00	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd12ec0…
06-09 03:19:48	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x97ee48…
06-09 03:18:48	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xd1f767…
06-08 11:43:13	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x9ad49e…
06-08 11:43:04	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x60447f…
06-08 11:42:51	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x4e05e3…
06-08 11:42:18	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	56	38¢	$21	0x6a0ae0…
06-08 11:41:01	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x9f8e2d…
06-08 11:38:19	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xfe96f0…
06-08 11:37:03	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe56b72…
06-08 11:34:43	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x8e86b5…
06-08 11:34:19	will hotstuff launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x063519…
06-08 11:13:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x526826…
06-08 11:12:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x29d429…
06-08 10:57:48	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x95a06f…
06-08 10:55:55	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x781e6f…
06-08 10:38:33	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xb9da60…
06-08 10:38:22	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9390d4…
06-08 10:36:57	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x372d2b…
06-08 10:36:51	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt125b	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xc32fc5…
06-08 10:34:48	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt125b	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x851308…
06-08 10:34:24	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt125b	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x25193d…
06-08 10:34:10	City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9ca051…
06-08 10:32:40	City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xebf836…
06-08 09:25:54	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x813868…
06-08 09:11:48	will ng reach 3 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x450ce6…
06-08 09:07:54	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa94475…
06-08 09:05:52	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9f57f0…
06-08 08:51:00	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x75bcae…
06-08 08:49:30	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x188baf…