Realized P&L
-$20.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$322
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
45
Trades
499
lifetime
Volume
$429.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$861
Open exposure
$118
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-27 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Crypto
73%
87%
+$4,418
Other
15%
64%
-$6,241
Politics
8%
29%
-$1,846
Sports
4%
0%
-$16,385
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | -5,000 | -$87 | 2¢ | $-118 | -$30 | 05-13 17:17 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | +0 | $292 | 1¢ | $0 | -$292 | 07-27 15:25 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241 | 22 | $79.9K | 44,553 | 44,553 | +0 | Yes | +$1,761 | 02-05 06:01 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026 | 38 | $45.0K | 35,545 | 35,545 | +0 | Yes | -$6,794 | 03-29 22:11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 2 | $27.1K | 59,445 | 56,233 | +3,212 | No | -$2,529 | 04-16 14:04 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026 | 8 | $25.8K | 17,383 | 17,383 | +0 | Yes | +$631 | 01-07 13:44 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 2 | $21.1K | 10,796 | 10,796 | +0 | Yes | -$99 | 03-01 00:31 |
| will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026 | 6 | $19.8K | 14,729 | 14,729 | -0 | Yes | +$43 | 01-07 13:44 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | 17 | $17.7K | 19,699 | 0 | +19,699 | Yes | +$2,015 | 05-21 04:58 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $16.4K | 596,130 | 0 | +596,130 | No | -$16,385 | 07-05 17:59 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 7 | $14.4K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | +$600 | 03-19 13:24 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026 | 27 | $13.8K | 8,000 | 8,000 | +0 | No | +$44 | 03-23 18:19 |
| will ethereum dip to 2200 in february 2026 | 1 | $11.0K | 13,938 | 0 | +13,938 | Yes | +$2,928 | 02-01 22:48 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 6 | $10.7K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | Yes | -$5,553 | 03-25 00:22 |
| will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026 | 5 | $10.6K | 5,944 | 5,944 | +0 | No | +$309 | 02-22 21:04 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616 | 20 | $10.5K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Yes | +$4,500 | 02-05 21:36 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 1 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$35 | 02-27 18:25 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222 | 2 | $8.6K | 4,540 | 4,540 | +0 | No | +$92 | 02-07 17:10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $7.0K | 8,958 | 0 | +8,958 | Yes | +$1,943 | 01-31 17:07 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026 | 1 | $7.0K | 7,446 | 0 | +7,446 | No | +$446 | 03-05 22:21 |
| will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million | 1 | $6.8K | 6,793 | 0 | +6,793 | Yes | +$31 | 02-16 03:32 |
| will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million | 1 | $6.4K | 6,521 | 0 | +6,521 | Yes | +$78 | 02-16 02:47 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | 182 | $6.1K | 29,176 | 29,176 | +0 | open | — | 07-27 15:25 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026 | 1 | $5.6K | 5,641 | 0 | +5,641 | No | +$6 | 01-31 17:09 |
| will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million | 1 | $5.4K | 5,475 | 0 | +5,475 | Yes | +$60 | 02-16 02:47 |
| will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163 | 4 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$75 | 02-23 03:57 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 1 | $4.7K | 4,846 | 0 | +4,846 | No | +$112 | 02-18 16:52 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | 1 | $4.7K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | No | +$1,273 | 01-06 22:00 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 6 | $4.2K | 2,274 | 2,274 | +0 | Yes | +$72 | 01-30 02:54 |
| will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026 | 3 | $4.1K | 2,254 | 2,254 | +0 | No | +$4 | 02-07 17:10 |
| will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 | 50 | $2.9K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | No | -$2,655 | 01-28 00:10 |
| will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026 | 3 | $2.5K | 1,525 | 1,525 | -0 | No | +$65 | 02-07 17:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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