Exalted-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$874

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

259

Trades

857

lifetime

Volume

$8.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 09-17 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$874

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:15 UTC	12	$260	200	200	+0	Up	+$60	08-19 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:50 UTC	2	$220	200	200	+0	Up	+$20	07-24 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	9	$220	200	200	+0	Down	+$20	08-19 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	17	$220	200	200	+0	Up	+$20	06-01 09:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	36	$203	955	716	+239	Up	+$12	08-20 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	14	$191	135	135	+0	Down	+$5	09-09 11:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	11	$188	100	100	+0	Up	+$4	09-17 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	13	$149	100	100	+0	Up	+$49	09-09 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	7	$149	100	100	+0	Down	+$49	09-09 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	3	$144	100	100	+0	Up	+$4	09-17 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	12	$135	229	50	+179	Up	-$95	06-01 09:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:15 UTC	5	$125	100	100	+0	Up	+$25	08-19 14:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$117	70	70	+0	Down	+$22	09-09 09:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	15	$116	70	70	+0	Up	+$22	08-19 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:45 UTC	5	$115	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	06-17 08:45
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$110	65	65	+0	Up	+$19	09-09 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	2	$100	200	0	+200	Down	-$100	08-20 12:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	11	$100	200	0	+200	Down	-$100	08-20 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:00 UTC	5	$100	200	0	+200	Down	-$100	08-20 11:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	3	$99	200	0	+200	Down	-$99	09-17 09:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:00 UTC	3	$92	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	09-17 05:03
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	7	$90	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	09-09 08:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	6	$85	100	0	+100	Down	-$85	09-17 09:38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$84	50	50	+0	Up	+$14	09-09 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$66	45	45	+0	Up	+$22	09-09 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 08:30 UTC	10	$55	100	0	+100	Up	-$55	07-02 08:31
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$50	250	0	+250	Down	-$50	09-09 09:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	15	$50	100	0	+100	Down	-$50	09-09 06:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$50	90	0	+90	Up	-$50	09-09 06:07
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	09-09 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 17:48:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x66a87c…
09-17 17:23:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xff07aa…
09-17 17:23:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x2323cc…
09-17 17:03:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xef960c…
09-17 17:03:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6b3e4d…
09-17 17:03:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x554433…
09-17 16:33:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9c3f4d…
09-17 16:33:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4697ea…
09-17 16:12:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x673f96…
09-17 16:12:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x39f2e2…
09-17 16:12:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x0e1c2e…
09-17 16:09:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x50cc53…
09-17 16:09:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc48b58…
09-17 15:35:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8c6841…
09-17 15:35:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5bbd95…
09-17 15:02:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x898c70…
09-17 15:02:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9d75c2…
09-17 15:02:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xb72d95…
09-17 14:26:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x6a2e79…
09-17 14:26:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x412b83…
09-17 13:35:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xaf0e76…
09-17 13:34:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1a70ad…
09-17 12:07:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x41aa8f…
09-17 12:07:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xf3baca…
09-17 12:06:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x313939…
09-17 11:05:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x6251a2…
09-17 11:01:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x820187…
09-17 11:01:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x271848…
09-17 09:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x3069e8…
09-17 09:38:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0xcea9bf…
09-17 09:38:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	77	72¢	$55	0x95d552…
09-17 09:38:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x8b197a…
09-17 09:38:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x70982e…
09-17 09:38:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x352e9d…
09-17 09:38:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x027ee4…
09-17 09:36:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x812963…
09-17 09:36:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x39d2a3…
09-17 06:33:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	95	74¢	$70	0xc870a1…
09-17 06:33:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc84424…
09-17 06:32:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x33d2f9…
09-17 05:28:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x80bd3a…
09-17 05:28:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$19	0x5d8990…
09-17 05:28:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x23df85…
09-17 05:28:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x014127…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xba7cd8…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x95a8a5…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x50eca6…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x10d9f1…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x03b901…
09-17 05:26:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x02c802…
09-17 05:26:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x44c144…
09-17 05:03:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x2a1420…
09-17 05:03:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	80	48¢	$39	0x29da8a…
09-17 05:02:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x6403f0…
09-10 05:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xa40f2a…
09-09 12:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xe2d9b1…
09-09 12:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	70¢	$46	0x5445fb…
09-09 12:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0xf07e71…
09-09 11:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xa1f49a…
09-09 11:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7d6df9…
09-09 11:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x3fcea1…
09-09 11:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	65¢	$49	0xe32bef…
09-09 11:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdedcf9…
09-09 11:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xcc8770…
09-09 11:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd406de…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x626fbf…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x494bd9…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1b78db…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x125a76…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x0fabab…
09-09 11:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x05c158…
09-09 11:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x0480ad…
09-09 11:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xfadcfa…
09-09 11:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xbc897d…
09-09 11:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x2dbb37…
09-09 10:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x126000…
09-09 10:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4ca85f…
09-09 10:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b6994…
09-09 10:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xb4b1ec…
09-09 10:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x983066…
09-09 10:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xbd0782…
09-09 10:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x6c9baa…
09-09 10:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xd7262e…
09-09 09:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x81a7e3…
09-09 09:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x6c6e35…
09-09 09:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	219	20¢	$44	0x6d07c4…
09-09 09:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x575023…
09-09 08:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xb90ea9…
09-09 08:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	77	45¢	$35	0x744cdb…
09-09 08:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xd0c277…
09-09 08:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x19a2f2…
09-09 08:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xebcb80…
09-09 08:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7124f9…
09-09 08:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x32ac08…
09-09 08:11:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x857c4b…
09-09 08:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe95412…
09-09 08:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9261b2…
09-09 08:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x530f8e…
09-09 08:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x18be19…
09-09 07:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb151d5…