Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$242

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

164

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$42.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$302

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-12 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 73% +$453

Other

3% 40% -$198

Politics

1% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+306	$300	99¢	$302	+$2	08-12 10:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	3	$1.8K	1,035	812	+222	Down	-$188	02-04 15:17
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	6	$1.4K	881	881	+0	Yes	-$10	01-20 17:03
bitcoin up or down january 26 6pm et	2	$1.1K	1,164	0	+1,164	Up	+$33	01-26 23:41
bitcoin up or down january 11 4am et	8	$1.1K	749	749	+0	Down	+$136	01-11 10:02
bitcoin up or down january 12 4am et	9	$1.0K	673	487	+186	Down	-$32	01-12 10:03
bitcoin up or down january 12 5am et	13	$908	510	607	-97	Down	+$102	01-12 11:03
bitcoin up or down january 25 11am et	5	$860	950	0	+950	Down	+$90	01-25 16:44
bitcoin up or down january 27 9am et	3	$836	445	445	+0	Down	+$36	01-27 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 17:00 UTC	4	$782	570	325	+246	Up	+$60	01-11 17:09
bitcoin up or down january 11 8am et	3	$754	410	410	+0	Down	+$66	01-11 14:07
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	5	$718	717	80	+637	Down	+$36	01-31 18:41
bitcoin above 90k on january 11	2	$666	225	467	-242	Yes	+$24	01-11 17:10
bitcoin up or down january 11 10am et	4	$658	367	367	+0	Down	+$75	01-11 16:02
bitcoin up or down february 1 10am et	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	02-01 15:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:30 UTC	2	$500	510	0	+510	Down	+$10	02-04 15:38
bitcoin up or down january 11 6am et	2	$483	286	286	+0	Up	+$83	01-11 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:00 UTC	1	$470	500	0	+500	Up	+$30	02-04 15:11
bitcoin above 90k on january 10	2	$448	248	248	+0	Yes	+$48	01-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 19:00 UTC	6	$440	593	200	+393	Down	-$236	01-12 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 16:45 UTC	4	$437	372	367	+5	Down	-$1	01-11 16:53
bitcoin up or down january 20 8am et	2	$424	225	225	+0	Down	+$24	01-20 14:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	2	$418	234	234	+0	No	-$12	01-11 08:52
bitcoin up or down january 26 12pm et	2	$411	211	211	+0	Up	+$11	01-26 18:29
bitcoin up or down january 26 1pm et	1	$400	450	0	+450	Up	+$50	01-26 18:30
bitcoin up or down february 3 8pm et	1	$400	421	0	+421	Up	+$21	02-04 01:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 15:45 UTC	2	$400	437	0	+437	Up	+$37	02-01 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:15 UTC	1	$400	408	0	+408	Up	+$8	01-26 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 18:15 UTC	1	$400	408	0	+408	Up	+$8	01-26 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 16:15 UTC	4	$397	601	212	+389	Up	-$6	01-11 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	5	$391	555	321	+234	Up	-$137	02-07 20:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 10:14:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x36c953…
04-19 10:57:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0x9bc980…
03-07 14:01:51	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x83c63d…
03-07 13:56:25	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	No	BUY	270	96¢	$259	0xa4ba65…
03-07 13:48:37	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x7997e9…
03-07 11:33:59	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	231	4¢	$10	0x461f00…
03-07 00:01:41	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0x7518c4…
03-07 00:01:29	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xbae329…
03-06 00:58:47	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 13corbelow	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd19fa5…
02-16 15:42:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0d4ae7…
02-16 15:36:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	350	40¢	$140	0xbb6e78…
02-07 20:52:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0x0ffef1…
02-07 20:52:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0xa774d6…
02-07 20:50:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	131	61¢	$80	0x4b88ce…
02-07 20:49:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	136	49¢	$67	0x05c4ff…
02-07 20:46:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0xef4a23…
02-07 20:36:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x77b566…
02-07 20:33:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xf1413c…
02-07 20:33:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	107	42¢	$45	0x474fe3…
02-07 20:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x5a3e0e…
02-07 20:25:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	211	12¢	$26	0x519a84…
02-07 20:19:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	329	55¢	$181	0xc02443…
02-07 20:18:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0xc85f37…
02-07 20:17:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	109	40¢	$44	0x45d741…
02-07 20:16:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0xa113fc…
02-07 20:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	134	17¢	$23	0xd1fdbf…
02-07 20:06:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x8f6488…
02-07 16:03:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x56504c…
02-07 16:02:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	123	49¢	$60	0xbc28dc…
02-07 16:01:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0xb7dcbf…
02-07 15:50:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$10	0x00dc4a…
02-07 15:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	148	43¢	$64	0xc17eb5…
02-07 15:48:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0x8e2be4…
02-07 15:19:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	204	45¢	$92	0x392f0c…
02-07 15:18:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	207	39¢	$80	0x4f1562…
02-07 14:19:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	235	44¢	$103	0x8857e1…
02-07 14:17:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x2ff7ad…
02-07 12:52:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	63	71¢	$45	0xf969bb…
02-07 12:51:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x4e4ceb…
02-07 12:49:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	67	58¢	$39	0x9df20f…
02-07 12:47:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xa3d2c2…
02-06 15:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1a8d1c…
02-06 15:35:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	32	70¢	$23	0x3a0810…
02-06 15:33:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8ec9fa…
02-06 15:31:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0x83fde3…
02-06 15:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x5db151…
02-06 15:29:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xf6abcc…
02-06 15:09:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x0e7bab…
02-06 15:08:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	267	39¢	$104	0x1c2810…
02-06 15:07:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	276	29¢	$80	0xdaafd2…
02-06 15:06:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xebb511…
02-06 15:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0xcd5137…
02-06 15:04:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x4bd0a6…
02-06 15:02:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x109e55…
02-06 15:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd4574f…
02-06 13:41:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x9eccbf…
02-06 12:54:23	bitcoin up or down february 6 7am et	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xfe32c1…
02-06 00:35:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 7pm et	Down	SELL	157	69¢	$109	0x75b9e1…
02-06 00:32:35	bitcoin up or down february 5 7pm et	Down	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0x7d37a0…
02-06 00:23:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x0915fa…
02-06 00:18:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb8cc8a…
02-06 00:07:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7d2f06…
02-05 17:55:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x2c6163…
02-05 17:36:43	bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	Down	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xccb68f…
02-05 14:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x33236c…
02-05 12:52:09	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	92	2¢	$1	0xd5e818…
02-05 12:52:09	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0xc0bdec…
02-05 12:52:09	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x62372e…
02-05 12:52:05	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x361550…
02-05 12:52:03	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x488d84…
02-05 12:50:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x03f32b…
02-05 12:49:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x0cbbde…
02-05 12:48:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x49cc75…
02-05 12:47:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1e1f88…
02-05 12:46:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0x24428f…
02-05 12:46:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x4a061d…
02-05 12:37:35	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Down	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xb00973…
02-04 23:55:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xfd0525…
02-04 23:52:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	50¢	$41	0x4828a7…
02-04 23:50:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4595d5…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xde1cfc…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xa51ca4…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9636c6…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x71e311…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x2fdf07…
02-04 23:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x24b698…
02-04 23:50:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	32	59¢	$19	0xc61f93…
02-04 23:48:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5af9d6…
02-04 23:47:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0fe327…
02-04 23:47:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xa0c80b…
02-04 23:46:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5a792d…
02-04 23:43:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0xd81960…
02-04 23:42:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x3b0f3a…
02-04 23:40:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	113	66¢	$74	0x396482…
02-04 23:36:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x43fe13…
02-04 23:35:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x8b2e8d…
02-04 23:34:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe32713…
02-04 23:25:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x852d4f…
02-04 17:07:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x6eb9f5…
02-04 17:05:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xc75c0d…