Aching-Viola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

6,113

Trades

33,541

lifetime

Volume

$90.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-25 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 47% +$1,905

Other

26% 50% -$220

Sports

0% 50% +$17

Politics

0% 100% +$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 684 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No		+66	$28	32¢	$21	-$7	10-01 05:52
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+18	$8	32¢	$6	-$2	09-30 20:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	58	$215	162	162	-0	Down	+$97	09-09 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 23:45 UTC	33	$193	143	115	+27	Up	+$1	08-24 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 07:15 UTC	17	$161	205	174	+31	Down	+$23	07-22 07:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC	16	$153	209	174	+35	Down	+$18	07-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC	16	$152	178	131	+47	Down	$0	07-25 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:55 UTC	9	$147	92	91	+0	Down	+$33	08-26 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:00 UTC	12	$146	162	120	+42	Up	-$8	07-22 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	17	$146	87	87	-0	Down	+$23	09-11 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:00 UTC	16	$144	195	171	+24	Up	-$10	07-25 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:00 UTC	19	$142	138	138	+0	Down	+$8	08-01 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC	21	$139	243	243	+0	Up	-$55	08-01 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 07:00 UTC	11	$138	163	163	+0	Down	+$14	07-22 07:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:15 UTC	13	$137	137	122	+15	Up	+$17	07-24 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 05:45 UTC	18	$133	143	118	+25	Up	+$9	07-24 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	13	$125	132	132	+0	Down	+$6	08-01 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 02:45 UTC	16	$125	171	171	-0	Up	+$8	07-23 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	20	$124	140	140	+0	Up	-$1	08-02 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:10 UTC	8	$123	73	72	+1	Down	+$20	08-27 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 07:15 UTC	26	$121	134	89	+45	Down	-$10	08-02 07:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:45 UTC	10	$119	142	104	+38	Down	-$17	07-24 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	11	$114	228	55	+174	Down	+$144	10-06 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 11:45 UTC	16	$113	136	109	+27	Up	-$4	07-18 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	18	$112	154	93	+60	Down	-$14	07-18 03:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	4	$112	84	84	+0	Yes	+$47	09-14 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	13	$111	148	130	+18	Down	-$6	07-24 22:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 03:30 UTC	8	$109	99	88	+11	Down	+$37	08-01 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 14?	16	$107	91	91	+0	No	+$12	09-14 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	28	$106	127	127	-0	Up	+$12	07-24 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	6	$105	62	62	+0	Down	+$18	10-16 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 03:30 UTC	11	$104	113	108	+5	Up	-$1	07-21 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x6ddc52…
10-25 21:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x656d22…
10-25 21:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x07168c…
10-25 21:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x99ad4d…
10-25 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x79c836…
10-25 21:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa3e6df…
10-25 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x97661f…
10-25 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb2f044…
10-25 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xb44f74…
10-25 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xe3f2d8…
10-25 18:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2f99a0…
10-25 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb81e7a…
10-25 18:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x5cd23e…
10-25 18:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xbceffc…
10-25 18:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xf148c1…
10-25 18:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1728f6…
10-25 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x54df22…
10-25 18:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3ba6c4…
10-25 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbabf15…
10-25 18:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6056f8…
10-25 18:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8f0100…
10-25 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x58deb0…
10-25 18:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x33ce04…
10-25 18:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xae2ab3…
10-25 18:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x32b913…
10-25 18:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x320730…
10-25 18:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1b9e56…
10-25 18:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc19208…
10-25 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf6b6ab…
10-25 18:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5ae3b9…
10-25 04:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xad127e…
10-25 04:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8d3751…
10-25 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb0361e…
10-25 04:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc6b9f1…
10-25 04:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x10642b…
10-25 04:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x639990…
10-25 04:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeb79a1…
10-25 04:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x8935e1…
10-25 04:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc0ef4a…
10-25 04:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x1737f8…
10-25 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb5252d…
10-25 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x20fe3c…
10-25 04:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x66d1cd…
10-25 04:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x00d147…
10-25 04:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7b8f11…
10-25 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x15a417…
10-25 03:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x49cc03…
10-25 03:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x462638…
10-25 01:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x7ffac9…
10-25 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x929122…
10-24 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x14d3a9…
10-24 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1e6471…
10-24 13:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7e2e1f…
10-24 13:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2f8578…
10-24 13:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf5b71e…
10-24 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfe715f…
10-24 13:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xaf89fb…
10-24 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb1d752…
10-24 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8d3623…
10-24 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe9bd4c…
10-24 13:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2bffc2…
10-24 13:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x02d875…
10-24 13:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x905de0…
10-24 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0xe23629…
10-24 05:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xdb4e03…
10-24 04:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0x3085dd…
10-24 04:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x4d7906…
10-24 04:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xeabdb8…
10-24 04:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x597c86…
10-23 21:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x044e9e…
10-23 21:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x3298ad…
10-23 21:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x31df1a…
10-23 21:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xa92046…
10-23 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe3f927…
10-23 21:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xed0fe3…
10-23 21:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xef82ab…
10-23 01:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x5066b4…
10-23 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xa7474f…
10-23 01:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa5cfc2…
10-23 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x01dad2…
10-23 01:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1fb1b0…
10-23 01:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xddd736…
10-23 01:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7352b…
10-23 01:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5acaa2…
10-23 01:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x680250…
10-23 01:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xba8446…
10-23 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe117b6…
10-21 21:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x923199…
10-21 21:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd3f93a…
10-21 21:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x29e5b7…
10-21 21:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6d9b5e…
10-21 21:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2518da…
10-21 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x445b48…
10-21 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbf25b5…
10-21 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x452ff0…
10-21 21:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbef6fe…
10-21 21:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc86f73…
10-21 21:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0cd5fc…
10-21 21:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x993442…
10-21 21:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x70eead…