Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$357
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$116
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-05 02:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84%
Politics
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -21 $-14 86¢ $-18 $-4 06-07 08:01
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +16 $14 86¢ $14 $-0 06-21 18:46
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-01 17:34
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No -9 $-7 88¢ $-8 $-0 06-22 22:23
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +61 $10 12¢ $7 $-3 06-22 23:28
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +23 $11 29¢ $7 $-4 06-22 10:52
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -7 $-5 88¢ $-6 $-1 06-23 03:13
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 17:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-1 06-03 06:50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -7 $-3 71¢ $-5 $-2 06-04 21:00
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 17:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-18 07:36
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +21 $3 21¢ $4 +$2 06-18 01:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-22 10:48
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -15 $-4 15¢ $-2 +$2 06-22 22:41
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +13 $2 13¢ $2 +$0 06-22 11:32
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +18 $2 $1 $-0 06-22 15:43
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +35 $2 $1 $-1 06-22 15:56
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +8 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-22 11:27
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-20 15:21
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-22 23:07
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 06-22 15:07
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-20 16:53
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-13 11:22