Skinny-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

2,303

Trades

3,172

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-30 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$251

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$747	380	375	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$598	305	305	+0	Down	+$6	05-28 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$586	299	299	+0	Up	+$6	05-26 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$573	297	297	+0	Up	-$15	05-19 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$563	289	288	+1	Up	+$4	05-11 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$517	276	251	+25	Up	-$5	05-25 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$504	411	99	+312	Down	+$5	05-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$501	305	202	+104	Down	+$1	05-26 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	6	$463	470	0	+470	Up	+$7	05-06 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$458	282	188	+94	Down	+$4	05-11 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$450	455	0	+455	Up	+$5	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$449	363	92	+270	Down	+$3	05-11 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$396	200	200	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$392	198	198	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$391	200	199	+1	Up	-$2	05-21 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:15 UTC	2	$389	402	0	+402	Up	+$13	04-24 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$385	392	0	+392	Down	+$7	04-29 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:45 UTC	3	$377	403	0	+403	Up	+$26	04-24 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$375	417	0	+417	Down	+$42	04-27 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$370	370	0	+370	Up	+$1	05-09 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$369	206	168	+38	Up	+$0	05-13 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$368	366	10	+355	Up	+$4	05-08 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$359	364	0	+364	Up	+$5	05-09 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$356	360	0	+360	Up	+$4	05-08 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$343	346	0	+346	Down	+$3	05-16 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$341	345	0	+345	Down	+$4	05-06 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$337	342	0	+342	Down	+$6	05-15 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$336	339	0	+339	Up	+$3	05-06 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$334	338	0	+338	Up	+$4	05-15 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$322	325	0	+325	Up	+$3	05-14 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 03:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x244a0f…
05-30 03:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe3c4b5…
05-30 03:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x00c391…
05-30 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x777543…
05-30 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85acca…
05-30 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xdfe8a7…
05-30 01:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xc51525…
05-30 01:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa70e42…
05-30 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc10dc0…
05-30 01:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x6b1233…
05-30 00:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x241576…
05-30 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa06a2b…
05-30 00:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc75739…
05-30 00:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x185a0a…
05-30 00:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8b6fcf…
05-29 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xc65906…
05-29 23:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xd9bc56…
05-29 23:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa35526…
05-29 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x79863f…
05-29 22:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2440cc…
05-29 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x689673…
05-29 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0829cd…
05-29 20:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xaa9e40…
05-29 20:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa60ab7…
05-29 20:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7571e2…
05-29 20:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfae976…
05-29 19:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x15e1d2…
05-29 19:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x52d8ce…
05-29 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4877bd…
05-29 18:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2305d7…
05-29 18:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xfabdc2…
05-29 18:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x804e2f…
05-29 17:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xde3311…
05-29 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9732c2…
05-29 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd1a153…
05-29 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0xa41991…
05-29 17:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd72e67…
05-29 16:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xac5a09…
05-29 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8c26f1…
05-29 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd85e8e…
05-29 16:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b0d88…
05-29 16:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x643482…
05-29 15:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x6f62dc…
05-29 15:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x845687…
05-29 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xcb5807…
05-29 15:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd136ef…
05-29 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x890540…
05-29 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x07a53e…
05-29 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x187b40…
05-29 14:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6a58e2…
05-29 14:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb0bbb1…
05-29 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2475f5…
05-29 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97ff46…
05-29 13:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0xd57d63…
05-29 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0a5ede…
05-29 11:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa386d2…
05-29 11:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x5447a5…
05-29 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc71a07…
05-29 11:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x0ef506…
05-29 11:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x31f05f…
05-29 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xcd8e3c…
05-29 09:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x63babc…
05-29 09:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xb32a8d…
05-29 08:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f4d37…
05-29 08:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7a0e72…
05-29 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xf58f26…
05-29 07:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x66dd9f…
05-29 07:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0952a1…
05-29 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x953a4b…
05-29 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xca8be5…
05-29 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xd98065…
05-29 04:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x55b1bf…
05-29 04:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4865c…
05-29 04:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa21708…
05-29 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x9b3c27…
05-29 03:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01d1a8…
05-29 02:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x62fdb5…
05-29 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x5788fb…
05-29 01:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x672717…
05-29 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1bb35a…
05-29 00:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17f440…
05-29 00:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4083cc…
05-29 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1306b1…
05-29 00:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd9dd3…
05-29 00:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x25c688…
05-29 00:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x28338c…
05-28 23:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd775c4…
05-28 23:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x20c2df…
05-28 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x1534db…
05-28 21:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd797d…
05-28 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6747d…
05-28 21:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xd387a7…
05-28 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0f0855…
05-28 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xecae72…
05-28 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2be4b…
05-28 19:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x839148…
05-28 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcabc18…
05-28 18:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x54d530…
05-28 17:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x537009…
05-28 16:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x62c6f1…