Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$146

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-14 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

56% 40% -$6

Other

43% 19% -$9

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-142	-$9	3¢	$-4	+$5	06-14 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	3	$23	17	17	+0	No	+$5	02-10 11:23
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$13	29	29	+0	No	-$1	01-21 22:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$13	111	111	+0	No	+$3	01-13 21:35
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	2	$9	8	8	+0	No	+$1	01-15 11:35
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$9	0	142	-142	open	—	06-14 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$9	11	0	+11	Yes	-$9	06-14 17:00
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	2	$8	17	17	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:18
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$8	0	32	-32	No	+$8	01-03 13:46
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	01-09 11:00
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	2	$4	8	8	+0	No	-$2	01-20 15:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$3	45	45	+0	No	$0	02-08 09:29
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-18 13:00
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	01-13 21:35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 13:00
trump out as president by march 31	2	$2	29	29	+0	No	+$0	01-13 18:57
will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	-$2	02-28 12:23
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	03-12 12:36
will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	02-22 00:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	2	$2	19	0	+19	No	-$2	01-10 20:03
will there be at least 650 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	01-28 19:01
will trump say supreme court during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-24 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-12 09:43
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-05 19:59
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	03-29 13:01
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	2	$1	20	20	+0	No	-$1	03-29 13:01
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	03-29 13:01
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-03 13:59
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-03 13:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-03 13:54
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-03 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:00:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x927174…
06-14 16:58:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0xd984fa…
06-14 11:12:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$3	0xf8e64a…
06-14 11:12:00	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$4	0xffe569…
04-05 19:59:43	Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x771100…
04-05 19:59:17	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x9d705e…
03-29 17:20:22	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3b17f8…
03-29 13:01:52	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4e7b4c…
03-29 13:01:38	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x25d274…
03-29 13:01:36	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xd0cf4c…
03-18 13:01:17	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x739b64…
03-18 13:00:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1ee994…
03-18 13:00:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x69827b…
03-15 11:07:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdb99f7…
03-15 07:28:11	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8180c1…
03-13 16:39:03	will children no more were and are gone win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa157f9…
03-12 12:36:53	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x39d405…
03-12 09:43:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x681e3d…
03-11 16:17:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa43456…
03-07 16:48:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1ac18b…
02-28 12:23:41	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd52be9…
02-28 12:18:53	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0xa3a83c…
02-27 09:35:35	will trump say china in corpus christi on friday 795 482	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f3fe9…
02-25 07:36:10	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6fc8b6…
02-24 18:47:32	will trump say supreme court during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf5c47a…
02-22 00:22:08	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x360bdd…
02-22 00:17:58	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe8535a…
02-22 00:17:32	will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7cbd55…
02-17 19:39:25	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x0048c3…
02-10 11:23:53	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xa72321…
02-08 09:29:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x186da2…
01-28 19:01:52	will there be at least 650 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8237ab…
01-23 14:18:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x610438…
01-23 14:14:12	will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xdd20be…
01-23 12:32:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x0e4446…
01-21 22:22:14	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x78ebcc…
01-20 15:16:16	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x01a82b…
01-20 15:14:56	will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x3ee4f9…
01-19 20:13:16	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xf8772c…
01-19 20:13:10	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x3845b5…
01-19 17:29:12	will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4964ac…
01-15 11:35:28	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x72214f…
01-14 18:19:28	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8041d3…
01-13 21:35:48	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0x96a9dd…
01-13 21:35:38	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x699477…
01-13 18:57:14	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x6dfe0c…
01-13 12:50:55	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3bdd1b…
01-12 21:41:01	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x17d30c…
01-10 20:03:22	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbff999…
01-10 20:02:28	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc571a2…
01-10 11:52:56	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x6b7e06…
01-09 11:00:52	will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcf8bac…
01-08 14:07:24	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x170089…
01-06 15:11:03	us x venezuela ceasefire by january 31	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0cc1c7…
01-05 13:56:37	will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x827167…
01-03 13:59:33	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa338d1…
01-03 13:55:39	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x225d26…
01-03 13:55:11	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf9b694…
01-03 13:54:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x316255…
01-03 13:46:31	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0x2e7558…