Entire-Cone-Theory — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved (90d)

309

Trades (90d)

625

4,294 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.78K

$28.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-24 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

100% 65% -$244

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	16	$55	210	+210	No	-$13	07-05 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?	4	$49	68	+68	Yes	-$49	06-26 08:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?	8	$46	160	+160	No	+$4	07-16 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	3	$46	65	+65	No	+$19	06-29 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?	7	$46	121	+121	No	-$7	06-29 21:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	3	$43	61	+61	Yes	-$43	05-21 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?	6	$43	136	+136	No	-$9	07-17 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?	14	$42	172	+172	No	-$11	07-03 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?	3	$41	97	+97	No	-$4	07-05 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?	7	$36	97	+97	No	-$6	07-05 07:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?	7	$35	96	+96	No	-$1	05-21 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?	8	$35	77	+77	No	-$5	05-21 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	6	$35	88	+88	No	-$4	07-01 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 1?	8	$33	104	+104	No	-$3	07-01 01:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 27?	4	$33	39	+39	No	+$6	06-27 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 7?	4	$31	51	+51	Yes	-$31	07-07 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?	10	$30	174	+174	No	-$8	06-21 14:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?	1	$30	55	+55	No	+$25	07-07 14:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?	1	$30	50	+50	No	+$20	07-07 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?	2	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	06-23 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?	1	$30	50	+50	No	+$20	07-07 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?	3	$30	50	+50	Yes	-$30	07-07 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?	1	$30	49	+49	Yes	-$30	06-23 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?	14	$30	765	+765	No	-$6	06-21 23:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?	1	$30	48	+48	No	+$18	07-07 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?	1	$30	31	+31	Yes	-$30	07-08 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 7?	7	$30	53	+53	Yes	-$30	07-07 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 24?	3	$30	46	+46	No	+$16	06-24 02:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?	1	$30	49	+49	No	+$19	07-07 11:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	3	$30	46	+46	No	+$17	07-07 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 13:42:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x368c13…
08-24 10:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 24?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb99906…
08-24 10:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x19c05d…
08-24 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd2b667…
08-24 04:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xc60719…
08-24 04:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 24?	No	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xc276f7…
08-24 04:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb0e2a6…
08-24 04:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xebcef4…
08-24 04:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb83ace…
08-24 03:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xcf669d…
08-23 22:40:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x29c250…
08-23 21:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x30c54a…
08-23 18:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x14d6dc…
08-23 18:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xe393ad…
08-23 18:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2b79d7…
08-23 17:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xa74658…
08-23 17:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6eb03d…
08-23 16:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa669aa…
08-23 14:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d54eb…
08-23 13:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 23?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x0e7b64…
08-23 13:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 23?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x7f6a96…
08-23 12:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0370e7…
08-23 12:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x420ce1…
08-23 12:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 23?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf3bb8a…
08-23 11:03:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?	No	BUY	27	61¢	$16	0x9cf50d…
08-23 11:00:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 23?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x98cc53…
08-23 10:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x813150…
08-23 09:18:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xa1b05c…
08-23 09:13:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0a0bff…
08-23 07:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa17642…
08-23 07:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1cac9e…
08-23 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9073f1…
08-23 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x260a30…
08-23 06:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb69a40…
08-23 06:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x60b57f…
08-23 06:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9ca03…
08-23 06:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x7ab0b0…
08-23 06:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb7d359…
08-23 06:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3d91db…
08-23 02:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xe08528…
08-23 02:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xc16027…
08-23 01:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8698ee…
08-23 00:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xff729b…
08-22 23:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2e1122…
08-22 23:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf0e880…
08-22 23:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9107be…
08-22 20:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x5ea819…
08-22 18:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xac31a9…
08-22 18:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x182c66…
08-22 17:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xc32876…
08-22 17:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3e1bf4…
08-22 17:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xe5cd98…
08-22 16:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x6246d8…
08-22 16:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2aaa88…
08-22 16:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x2f906b…
08-22 15:13:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x2ada5e…
08-22 10:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x3e8c7b…
08-22 10:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb8af59…
08-22 10:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xa2d9ef…
08-22 10:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x38e04e…
08-22 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xb1cb7f…
08-22 08:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdc0f1d…
08-22 06:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xc77c90…
08-22 06:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xf92b37…
08-22 06:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xce6e42…
08-22 06:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa7053f…
08-22 05:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xf54b75…
08-22 05:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x3ea832…
08-22 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x7e1c63…
08-22 03:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xf2a254…
08-22 02:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 22?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x64030f…
08-22 02:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 22?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x366135…
08-22 02:07:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x47734b…
08-22 02:03:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x427895…
08-21 23:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x5f5476…
08-21 23:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x35769e…
08-21 22:49:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x40f678…
08-21 22:48:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xca0041…
08-21 19:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9b6189…
08-21 19:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x956c7b…
08-21 19:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 21?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x166ab0…
08-21 19:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x95d618…
08-21 17:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdce4f0…
08-21 16:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd49e74…
08-21 16:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x8f3be7…
08-21 15:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcc273b…
08-21 15:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x514bb7…
08-21 14:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x72f951…
08-21 14:35:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x02d2d6…
08-21 12:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 21?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x462988…
08-21 06:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xebc8d9…
08-21 05:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?	No	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x546060…
08-21 05:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x655b69…
08-21 05:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x81c868…
08-21 05:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6526ea…
08-21 05:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb7caaa…
08-21 02:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0x52b683…
08-20 23:55:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x466f16…
08-20 21:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x6c13d9…
08-20 20:58:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 21?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xa2d222…