Early-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$667

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-05 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

35% 80% +$3

Crypto

26% — —

Sports

19% 0% $-77

Politics

12% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+444	$382	86¢	$380	$-2	06-05 08:24
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+333	$289	86¢	$288	$-2	06-05 08:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$777	818	0	+818	open	—	04-07 00:55
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	1	$777	782	0	+782	open	—	02-09 05:45
Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	1	$666	713	0	+713	open	—	02-09 05:51
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$555	561	0	+561	open	—	01-27 14:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$552	569	0	+569	open	—	01-08 04:13
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$504	507	0	+507	open	—	01-06 13:52
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$382	444	0	+444	open	—	06-05 08:24
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	3	$344	387	301	+86	open	—	04-25 03:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$293	299	0	+299	open	—	05-18 04:23
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$289	333	0	+333	open	—	06-05 08:25
will bitcoin reach 100k january 12 18	1	$282	300	0	+300	open	—	01-12 15:20
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	1	$222	278	0	+278	open	—	02-09 05:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$222	226	0	+226	open	—	03-22 00:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$186	188	0	+188	open	—	03-19 05:54
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	1	$184	197	0	+197	open	—	04-16 05:10
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5	1	$183	199	0	+199	Under	+$16	05-09 10:28
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	1	$177	186	0	+186	open	—	03-22 00:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$177	201	0	+201	open	—	03-22 00:48
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$168	184	0	+184	open	—	04-14 05:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	1	$161	189	0	+189	open	—	05-18 04:16
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$161	162	0	+162	open	—	01-19 05:35
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$161	180	0	+180	open	—	05-18 04:20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5	1	$157	189	0	+189	Under	+$32	05-09 10:33
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	1	$145	167	0	+167	open	—	04-25 03:18
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	1	$144	166	0	+166	Over	+$22	05-09 10:22
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 5 11	1	$143	149	0	+149	open	—	01-11 05:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$141	150	0	+150	open	—	03-22 00:49
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5	1	$125	167	0	+167	Over	+$42	05-09 10:21
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	1	$114	144	0	+144	open	—	05-09 10:29
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	1	$108	137	0	+137	Under	$-108	05-09 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 08:25:54	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	87¢	$289	0xb80059…
06-05 08:24:42	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	444	86¢	$382	0x0e7d7d…
05-18 04:23:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x213af1…
05-18 04:20:06	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	180	89¢	$161	0x93b4d4…
05-18 04:18:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2a5f5b…
05-18 04:16:17	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	BUY	189	85¢	$161	0x99dc8e…
05-18 04:13:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xd45a90…
05-18 04:12:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	272	98¢	$267	0xfd18f8…
05-09 10:37:29	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	121	76¢	$92	0x9c1834…
05-09 10:36:25	VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	137	79¢	$108	0x2a0241…
05-09 10:33:45	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	189	83¢	$157	0xeed8a0…
05-09 10:29:05	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	144	79¢	$114	0x7df2f3…
05-09 10:28:15	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	199	92¢	$183	0x609601…
05-09 10:22:26	Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	166	87¢	$144	0xa983a7…
05-09 10:21:25	Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	167	75¢	$125	0x7c522b…
04-25 03:18:44	Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	167	87¢	$145	0x2d6c2d…
04-25 03:17:58	Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	301	49¢	$148	0x5de068…
04-25 03:16:18	Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x008c5d…
04-25 03:16:06	Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	93	51¢	$47	0xa22358…
04-16 05:10:52	Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	No	BUY	197	94¢	$184	0x9cc54d…
04-14 05:21:29	Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	184	91¢	$168	0xa3e8e1…
04-14 05:19:51	Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x46a927…
04-07 00:57:57	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x348d89…
04-07 00:57:33	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x3aeaa2…
04-07 00:57:21	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 ful	No	BUY	94	82¢	$77	0x067235…
04-07 00:55:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	818	95¢	$777	0x4ebb6a…
03-26 10:26:49	atp couliba vasilev 2026 03 26	Alexander Vasilev	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x5c16c7…
03-22 00:49:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x2c21fd…
03-22 00:48:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0xabc55d…
03-22 00:48:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	201	88¢	$177	0x5c28a8…
03-22 00:47:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	226	98¢	$222	0x1498f4…
03-19 05:54:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0x61df13…
03-09 16:00:21	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x80cba5…
03-05 07:44:29	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x458039…
03-05 07:32:57	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf2025d…
03-05 07:27:49	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xb20c35…
03-05 07:26:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x7020e0…
03-05 07:25:27	epl tot cry 2026 03 05 tot	Yes	BUY	118	40¢	$47	0x5f7168…
03-05 07:24:45	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x6e1180…
03-05 07:24:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9ddd1a…
02-09 05:52:13	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xab16fa…
02-09 05:51:43	Will Elche finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	713	93¢	$666	0x0578bf…
02-09 05:49:53	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	188	41¢	$77	0x9b88d3…
02-09 05:45:53	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	278	80¢	$222	0x412e3b…
02-09 05:45:25	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	782	99¢	$777	0xbe7aff…
01-27 14:03:55	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	561	99¢	$555	0x523d4b…
01-19 05:35:42	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0xf790d6…
01-12 15:20:16	will bitcoin reach 100k january 12 18	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x9219b0…
01-12 13:43:44	epl liv bur 2026 01 17 liv	Yes	BUY	96	80¢	$77	0x76a5ba…
01-12 13:43:26	sea int lec 2026 01 14 int	Yes	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0xf29223…
01-12 13:42:06	bitcoin above 90k on january 12	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x207194…
01-11 05:43:22	will bitcoin dip to 88k january 5 11	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0x2f44d2…
01-08 04:18:33	sea int nap 2026 01 11 nap	No	BUY	93	83¢	$77	0x4d166b…
01-08 04:18:13	fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 spread home 1pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	166	46¢	$77	0xe8ccaa…
01-08 04:17:57	epl ars liv 2026 01 08 draw	Yes	BUY	335	23¢	$77	0xe88254…
01-08 04:13:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	444	97¢	$432	0x3f76cc…
01-06 14:49:29	bitcoin up or down on january 6	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xde605e…
01-06 13:56:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xa4152f…
01-06 13:55:57	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x094667…
01-06 13:55:45	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x1a7a32…
01-06 13:52:55	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	507	99¢	$504	0x7a8811…
01-06 13:52:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x509011…