Lost-Fort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$346

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

117

Trades

2,528

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-13 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 56% $-346

Other

14% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773334500	3	$496	418	377	+42	open	—	03-12 16:58
btc updown 5m 1773288900	2	$335	261	257	+4	open	—	03-12 04:18
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	2	$327	169	169	+0	open	—	02-10 06:21
btc updown 5m 1773333900	4	$312	283	279	+3	open	—	03-12 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$311	245	245	+0	Down	+$72	05-09 08:43
btc updown 15m 1770727500	6	$291	375	341	+34	open	—	02-10 12:54
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	2	$290	163	163	+0	open	—	02-10 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776404100	15	$290	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 05:39
highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 14c	2	$282	145	145	+0	open	—	03-16 08:09
btc updown 15m 1770650100	2	$265	274	271	+4	open	—	02-09 15:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 14c	2	$256	137	137	+0	open	—	03-15 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	4	$256	138	138	+0	open	—	03-15 07:50
btc updown 5m 1774891800	2	$255	180	176	+3	open	—	03-30 17:34
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$253	137	137	+0	open	—	02-08 00:46
btc updown 5m 1773561300	2	$223	163	160	+3	open	—	03-15 07:58
btc updown 5m 1776402600	9	$221	242	236	+7	open	—	04-17 05:13
btc updown 5m 1775117400	2	$216	200	193	+7	open	—	04-02 08:14
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$210	123	123	+0	open	—	02-09 15:15
btc updown 5m 1773335700	3	$209	275	133	+142	open	—	03-12 17:17
highest temperature in singapore on march 20 2026 30c	2	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	03-19 12:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 21corhigher	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-19 03:41
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	03-18 11:38
btc updown 5m 1773288600	2	$198	124	122	+2	open	—	03-12 04:14
highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 44 45f	2	$193	98	98	+0	open	—	03-17 16:32
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 18corhigher	2	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	03-17 04:22
btc updown 5m 1773336300	2	$184	123	121	+2	open	—	03-12 17:29
btc updown 5m 1775064900	2	$182	192	182	+10	open	—	04-01 17:38
btc updown 5m 1773148500	3	$181	141	139	+2	open	—	03-10 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$176	152	152	+0	Down	+$46	05-13 20:46
btc updown 5m 1773206400	2	$173	149	147	+2	open	—	03-11 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 21:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x892539…
05-13 21:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe18f09…
05-13 21:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ca313…
05-13 21:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf990d3…
05-13 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xbf69a2…
05-13 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbd5d26…
05-13 21:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaca836…
05-13 21:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe48e39…
05-13 21:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3eda86…
05-13 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3072e4…
05-13 21:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x524676…
05-13 21:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x084596…
05-13 21:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x25647f…
05-13 21:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xefb86e…
05-13 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe7e6ef…
05-13 21:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf8698…
05-13 21:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	104	93¢	$97	0xb38ba0…
05-13 21:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x717cc7…
05-13 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa0b6b4…
05-13 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2f804a…
05-13 20:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xc2b691…
05-13 20:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6de2d2…
05-13 20:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x293fc5…
05-13 20:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x16bed6…
05-13 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x73b3be…
05-13 20:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x0e4e27…
05-13 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7c3f67…
05-13 20:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d0cbd…
05-13 20:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	152	73¢	$111	0x75a485…
05-13 20:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x768544…
05-13 20:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd2c274…
05-13 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x88e44f…
05-13 20:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0x1a7ee9…
05-13 20:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3f5f4f…
05-13 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x81ca4a…
05-13 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x83b92e…
05-13 20:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x783699…
05-13 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8c2779…
05-12 17:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x74da77…
05-12 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xff6419…
05-12 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e0a15…
05-12 17:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7fd2ac…
05-12 17:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x168bb8…
05-12 17:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x3f2878…
05-12 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe57ee7…
05-12 17:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd632d7…
05-12 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9ddbbb…
05-12 17:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8eb188…
05-12 17:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x2c241a…
05-12 17:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x44fe95…
05-12 17:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2ab750…
05-12 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x29eecb…
05-12 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x34216c…
05-12 17:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x057226…
05-12 16:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x876207…
05-12 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x956e44…
05-12 14:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x916777…
05-12 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5e2949…
05-12 13:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b6d6d…
05-12 13:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7d6695…
05-12 13:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x52ed41…
05-10 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x2286fb…
05-10 00:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xb35eb9…
05-10 00:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x0e2345…
05-10 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x469f2d…
05-10 00:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xf277b5…
05-10 00:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x833570…
05-10 00:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x7bca7d…
05-10 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x892ca8…
05-10 00:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x79f885…
05-10 00:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0b9825…
05-10 00:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb5dcd5…
05-09 15:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5a4dc5…
05-09 14:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdd7999…
05-09 14:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd8a8e5…
05-09 14:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	62¢	$11	0xb338c5…
05-09 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5465a2…
05-09 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xab948d…
05-09 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb166c1…
05-09 14:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x28c5c4…
05-09 14:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ce990…
05-09 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x300cd3…
05-09 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	247	2¢	$5	0x749948…
05-09 11:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb56048…
05-09 11:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x71ad14…
05-09 11:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x06aa81…
05-09 11:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf0f131…
05-09 11:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa887de…
05-09 11:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0da5bb…
05-09 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9a91ed…
05-09 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x96f772…
05-09 11:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd4b1ed…
05-09 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4f73d6…
05-09 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf528f9…
05-09 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbc2b78…
05-09 10:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x129bfb…
05-09 10:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x303b2e…
05-09 10:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x827b53…
05-09 10:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfd31f8…
05-09 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	54	32¢	$17	0xa6222b…