Unwieldy-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$241

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

111

Trades

2,230

lifetime

Volume

$174.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-02 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$241

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769724000	4	$8.1K	8,560	8,434	+126	open	—	01-29 22:04
btc updown 15m 1769723100	2	$3.8K	1,978	1,975	+3	open	—	01-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	22	$3.5K	2,208	2,208	+0	Up	+$175	05-07 07:42
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	4	$3.2K	4,530	4,530	+0	open	—	01-29 22:49
btc updown 5m 1776491700	2	$2.3K	1,443	1,407	+36	open	—	04-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,350	1,350	+0	Up	+$610	05-08 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,091	1,091	+0	Up	+$56	05-07 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	15	$1.8K	1,473	1,473	+0	Down	+$810	05-07 07:19
btc updown 5m 1773896100	2	$1.7K	1,101	1,092	+9	open	—	03-19 04:58
btc updown 5m 1773899100	2	$1.7K	1,525	1,501	+24	open	—	03-19 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	8	$1.7K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	06-01 06:10
btc updown 5m 1774469400	4	$1.6K	1,601	1,584	+17	open	—	03-25 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776045000	3	$1.6K	1,219	606	+614	open	—	04-13 01:54
btc updown 15m 1776992400	2	$1.5K	821	814	+6	open	—	04-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	8	$1.4K	1,398	1,085	+313	Up	+$5	05-08 05:24
btc updown 5m 1776492000	1	$1.4K	2,145	0	+2,145	open	—	04-18 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	8	$1.4K	988	988	+0	Down	+$197	05-07 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776054300	4	$1.4K	1,171	659	+512	open	—	04-13 04:29
btc updown 5m 1776490200	3	$1.4K	988	948	+40	open	—	04-18 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	16	$1.2K	664	664	+0	Down	+$44	05-08 05:48
btc updown 5m 1776982500	43	$1.2K	772	754	+18	open	—	04-23 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	12	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$130	05-07 01:39
btc updown 5m 1773904500	2	$1.2K	987	972	+15	open	—	03-19 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$1.1K	920	625	+295	Up	+$80	05-08 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	7	$1.1K	714	714	+0	Up	+$127	05-07 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$1.1K	1,165	665	+500	Up	+$91	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	15	$1.1K	723	723	+0	Down	+$17	05-07 06:12
bitcoin above 68k on march 19	2	$1.1K	4,856	4,836	+20	open	—	03-19 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$1.1K	637	637	+0	Up	+$149	05-08 04:14
btc updown 5m 1776173400	2	$1.1K	642	627	+15	open	—	04-14 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 13:48:40	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	BUY	229	17¢	$39	0xb76581…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xf7c3d4…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe9b042…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xd0e705…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc998f1…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xafe81e…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x9a8a0c…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x84faeb…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x5a5763…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x59174c…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x4d7326…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x42f2ba…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x2c4ac7…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x0ef122…
07-03 13:47:37	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0818e2…
07-03 13:46:25	btc updown 5m 1783086300	Up	BUY	234	29¢	$68	0x20f233…
07-02 19:06:08	btc updown 5m 1783019100	Up	BUY	115	34¢	$39	0x97796f…
07-02 19:04:07	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	365	8¢	$29	0x58c434…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xf07c9a…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x988f12…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x916f3a…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x30e35b…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x1ff977…
07-02 19:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x057fc9…
07-02 19:01:17	btc updown 5m 1783018800	Up	BUY	443	17¢	$74	0x384f67…
07-02 15:55:41	btc updown 5m 1783007700	Up	BUY	524	42¢	$221	0xf755cd…
07-02 15:54:41	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	SELL	175	11¢	$19	0x9a5fc1…
07-02 15:54:37	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Down	SELL	208	84¢	$175	0x175082…
07-02 15:53:58	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x34cff7…
07-02 15:53:40	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x17c026…
07-02 15:52:49	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	BUY	101	17¢	$17	0xfd0ff6…
07-02 15:52:49	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xca6371…
07-02 15:52:49	btc updown 5m 1783007400	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x9c468a…
07-02 15:48:44	btc updown 5m 1783007100	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe8e017…
07-02 15:44:37	btc updown 5m 1783006800	Up	SELL	256	91¢	$233	0xee08ca…
07-02 15:44:01	btc updown 5m 1783006800	Up	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x5d9537…
07-02 15:40:52	btc updown 15m 1783006200	Up	SELL	477	54¢	$258	0xc1143d…
07-02 15:40:29	btc updown 15m 1783006200	Up	BUY	477	50¢	$240	0x2c3534…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xd8c3f3…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0xb472a8…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	92	60¢	$55	0xa8e09b…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa6d739…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0xa44a18…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6b3803…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x645363…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x623f4d…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x5a2790…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x3e284b…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x1a96be…
07-02 15:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x10c589…
07-02 15:31:16	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xfea679…
07-02 15:31:16	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xba9616…
07-02 15:31:16	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0x7bf314…
07-02 15:31:16	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x2aa3c9…
07-02 15:31:14	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x29b11f…
07-02 15:31:14	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2116d6…
07-02 15:31:13	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x89a559…
07-02 15:30:29	btc updown 5m 1783006200	Down	BUY	407	41¢	$167	0x7b759c…
07-02 15:28:08	btc updown 5m 1783005900	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x9619db…
07-02 15:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783005900	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa1e50d…
07-02 15:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783005900	Down	SELL	683	27¢	$182	0x49433c…
07-02 15:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783005900	Down	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x3821fb…
07-02 15:26:55	btc updown 5m 1783005900	Down	BUY	704	28¢	$197	0x14832e…
07-02 15:24:19	btc updown 5m 1783005600	Up	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x958a42…
07-02 15:23:28	btc updown 5m 1783005600	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xa467e9…
07-02 15:11:01	btc updown 5m 1783005000	Up	BUY	204	41¢	$83	0x98949f…
07-02 15:08:13	btc updown 5m 1783004700	Up	SELL	1,085	4¢	$43	0x2ca729…
07-02 15:06:28	btc updown 5m 1783004700	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x23c401…
07-02 15:06:07	btc updown 5m 1783004700	Up	BUY	1,070	39¢	$420	0xe519ca…
07-02 15:04:08	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xed9347…
07-02 15:04:08	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x05c837…
07-02 15:03:53	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc519a8…
07-02 15:03:53	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x47f8a1…
07-02 15:02:50	btc updown 5m 1783004400	Up	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x4b6203…
07-02 14:43:14	btc updown 5m 1783003200	Up	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xa00de1…
07-02 14:41:52	btc updown 5m 1783003200	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xa39268…
07-02 14:36:59	btc updown 5m 1783002900	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2b25d0…
07-02 14:36:32	btc updown 5m 1783002900	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xf1d71f…
07-02 13:44:49	btc updown 5m 1782999600	Up	BUY	512	78¢	$400	0x405cc5…
07-02 13:43:14	btc updown 5m 1782999600	Up	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x9d1eb5…
07-02 13:43:10	btc updown 5m 1782999600	Up	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0xf6b40a…
07-02 13:42:25	btc updown 5m 1782999600	Up	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0xe81f1c…
07-02 01:29:01	btc updown 5m 1782955500	Up	SELL	793	71¢	$563	0x4744eb…
07-02 01:28:02	btc updown 5m 1782955500	Up	BUY	793	53¢	$422	0x65a85e…
07-02 01:24:34	btc updown 5m 1782955200	Up	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0x9b8d76…
07-02 01:24:34	btc updown 5m 1782955200	Up	BUY	67	8¢	$5	0x4d1fbb…
07-02 01:10:58	btc updown 5m 1782954600	Up	BUY	292	40¢	$116	0x617713…
07-02 00:05:55	btc updown 5m 1782950700	Up	BUY	119	80¢	$95	0x4a5295…
07-01 23:55:16	btc updown 5m 1782949800	Up	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x8e8f6e…
07-01 23:53:50	btc updown 5m 1782949800	Up	BUY	98	83¢	$81	0xbf6434…
07-01 23:42:19	btc updown 5m 1782949200	Up	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x429503…
07-01 23:22:50	sol updown 5m 1782948000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xeb4941…
07-01 23:20:41	xrp updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd98a61…
07-01 23:20:13	eth updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe37504…
07-01 23:20:11	sol updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfab480…
07-01 23:20:08	btc updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x67f6a8…
07-01 23:18:59	xrp updown 5m 1782947700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6f992b…
07-01 23:17:13	sol updown 5m 1782947700	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdf43b9…
07-01 23:16:50	sol updown 15m 1782947700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe1e3aa…
07-01 23:15:31	xrp updown 5m 1782947700	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf5d246…