Unwieldy-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

1,281

Trades

5,109

lifetime

Volume

$265.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-21 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% -$9,979

Other

1% 29% -$442

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:00 UTC	4	$8.1K	8,560	8,434	+126	Down	+$358	01-29 22:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 21:45 UTC	2	$3.8K	1,978	1,975	+3	Up	+$158	01-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	22	$3.5K	2,208	2,208	+0	Up	+$175	05-07 07:42
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	4	$3.2K	4,530	4,530	+0	Up	-$1,710	01-29 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:55 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,443	1,407	+36	Up	+$491	04-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,350	1,350	+0	Up	+$610	05-08 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,091	1,091	+0	Up	+$56	05-07 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	15	$1.8K	1,473	1,473	+0	Down	+$810	05-07 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 04:55 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,101	1,092	+9	Down	+$66	03-19 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 05:45 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,525	1,501	+24	Up	+$117	03-19 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	8	$1.7K	1,088	1,088	+0	Down	+$467	06-01 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:10 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,601	1,584	+17	Up	-$715	03-25 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:50 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,219	606	+614	Down	-$570	04-13 01:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	821	814	+6	Down	+$32	04-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	8	$1.4K	1,398	1,085	+313	Up	+$5	05-08 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:00 UTC	1	$1.4K	2,145	0	+2,145	Down	-$1,392	04-18 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	8	$1.4K	988	988	+0	Down	+$197	05-07 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:25 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,171	659	+512	Up	-$83	04-13 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:30 UTC	3	$1.4K	988	948	+40	Up	+$540	04-18 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	16	$1.2K	664	664	+0	Down	+$44	05-08 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:15 UTC	43	$1.2K	772	754	+18	Up	+$217	04-23 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	12	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$130	05-07 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	987	972	+15	Down	+$249	03-19 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$1.1K	920	625	+295	Up	+$80	05-08 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	7	$1.1K	714	714	+0	Up	+$127	05-07 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	26	$1.1K	689	689	+0	Down	+$203	09-23 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	18	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Up	+$72	09-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$1.1K	1,165	665	+500	Up	+$91	05-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	15	$1.1K	723	723	+0	Down	+$17	05-07 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	56	$1.1K	622	622	+0	Up	+$53	09-11 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf6f474…
10-17 02:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x8166fc…
10-16 04:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa45595…
10-16 04:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xf17686…
10-16 04:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x742688…
10-16 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	32	54¢	$18	0xd61b77…
10-16 04:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	39¢	$13	0x9235a7…
10-16 03:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0c2c58…
10-16 03:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1ba700…
10-16 03:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	140	30¢	$41	0x3fa3d4…
10-16 03:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x8689dd…
10-16 03:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe4b841…
10-16 03:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0x1a6e8b…
10-16 03:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	114	3¢	$3	0x1b1e3b…
10-16 03:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	46¢	$53	0xd71f69…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc41514…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x809e14…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x6cb9fc…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x5091c6…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3e9418…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x32833d…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x2f9f21…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x26940e…
10-16 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1b7f4c…
10-15 04:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6128ef…
10-15 04:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	130	51¢	$66	0xa135f8…
10-15 03:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0xea9777…
10-15 03:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x80e43d…
10-15 03:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe34226…
10-15 03:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xcd3a85…
10-15 03:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbf1314…
10-15 03:53:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6ed4f5…
10-15 03:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x91b6e3…
10-15 03:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x87add9…
10-15 03:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x0e94da…
10-15 03:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0xb55ac4…
10-14 19:21:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	219	53¢	$116	0xded1fd…
10-14 19:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf3590f…
10-14 19:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x64aaa4…
10-14 19:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	572	9¢	$51	0xff3f87…
10-14 19:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0xc83d6a…
10-14 18:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xf593f0…
10-14 18:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x4ed868…
10-14 18:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	172	25¢	$44	0xe2efcd…
10-14 18:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	172	54¢	$93	0xee4a53…
10-14 18:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	78	85¢	$66	0x4342a3…
10-14 18:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfa210a…
10-14 18:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x9b3722…
10-14 18:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x38e498…
10-14 18:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xf5b8a5…
10-14 18:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xeba892…
10-14 18:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xae60c1…
10-14 18:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9b3811…
10-14 18:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xa611f4…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb9990f…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9fc673…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x92402f…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8c4e7e…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x8b8b24…
10-14 18:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62c5b6…
10-14 18:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1b437…
10-14 18:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x921418…
10-14 04:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xcd1584…
10-14 04:45:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	211	35¢	$74	0xb0daae…
10-14 04:39:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xdced4e…
10-14 04:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0xb76b08…
10-14 04:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x3731b0…
10-14 04:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	151	48¢	$72	0x471dcb…
10-14 04:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0x5af52a…
10-14 04:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9cb7c7…
10-14 04:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xc9b6da…
10-14 04:07:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x766655…
10-14 04:07:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xcb0a83…
10-14 04:07:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x4dcbb6…
10-14 04:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	46	67¢	$30	0x073ab7…
10-14 04:06:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x9512ee…
10-14 04:04:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcf9fd6…
10-14 04:03:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x19205c…
10-14 04:00:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x73e78c…
10-10 02:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xcc2123…
10-10 02:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x38074f…
10-10 02:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	260	59¢	$154	0x2af821…
10-10 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc755df…
10-10 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbbed14…
10-10 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x74e4d1…
10-10 00:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	176	59¢	$104	0x419d73…
10-10 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	176	23¢	$40	0x32d1f4…
10-10 00:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	64	67¢	$43	0xbd27fd…
10-10 00:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x9dbe0e…
10-10 00:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x279371…
10-10 00:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d676c…
10-10 00:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa75dea…
10-10 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05077c…
10-10 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf4af1c…
10-10 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5c6852…
10-08 02:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	175	92¢	$161	0x0c48f3…
10-08 02:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0x7905fb…
10-08 02:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xdc04cf…
10-08 02:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x82c1b4…
10-08 02:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x5ca5f6…