Ironclad-Paddock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

339

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$210

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

80% 55% -$175

Sports

15% 65% +$98

Crypto

4% 43% -$124

Tech

1% 67% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	+195	$100	52¢	$102	+$2	10-24 23:07
Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?	Yes	+258	$100	35¢	$91	-$9	10-24 23:07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+36	$20	44¢	$16	-$4	09-24 10:46
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+172	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	09-22 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?	4	$1.3K	1,291	696	+595	Yes	+$268	05-29 02:16
Clemson vs. California	7	$715	467	467	+0	Clemson	+$1	09-26 05:42
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	10	$475	543	401	+141	Henry Bernet	-$24	10-02 18:21
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	4	$399	350	125	+225	Yes	+$23	06-19 23:53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$358	673	673	+0	No	+$118	07-19 21:34
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	2	$285	294	294	+0	Yes	+$85	10-21 00:55
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$255	372	172	+200	Yes	+$55	05-30 18:28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$231	161	161	+0	Yes	+$31	06-22 18:10
atp chidekh bernet 2026 10 03	2	$225	641	625	+16	Clement Chidekh	+$25	10-03 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	17	$224	221	159	+62	Down	-$10	02-08 18:57
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	5	$213	333	333	+0	Yes	+$13	05-19 20:22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	2	$209	213	213	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 18:08
Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	2	$208	115	115	+0	Yes	+$8	10-02 17:35
wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	5	$206	149	149	+0	Maya Joint	+$6	09-26 03:54
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-09-20?	3	$206	143	141	+2	Yes	+$8	09-20 21:26
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?	2	$200	385	0	+385	Yes	+$185	05-09 23:52
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-20?	1	$199	272	0	+272	Yes	+$74	09-20 01:18
Will AZ win on 2026-09-20?	1	$172	218	0	+218	Yes	+$46	09-19 23:03
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets	2	$163	100	100	+0	Blue Jackets	+$19	09-25 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:15 UTC	12	$162	216	64	+152	Up	-$93	02-08 18:24
Sabres vs. Red Wings	2	$153	100	100	+0	Red Wings	+$9	09-25 01:48
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?	2	$134	159	159	+0	No	-$66	05-09 23:51
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-20?	1	$129	270	0	+270	Yes	+$141	09-20 15:27
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?	6	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	+$36	09-23 00:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:30 UTC	8	$127	150	50	+100	Up	-$46	02-08 18:39
Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	2	$121	119	119	+0	Yes	+$21	08-24 02:05
Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	3	$121	100	100	+0	Yes	+$61	09-21 02:00
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	4	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	10-10 16:14
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	2	$119	556	556	+0	Under	-$81	06-19 20:25
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?	1	$118	200	0	+200	Yes	+$82	08-16 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:41:14	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x5a1864…
10-24 23:37:30	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x12dfe3…
10-24 23:09:54	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$1	0x0f3384…
10-24 23:07:57	Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?	Yes	BUY	258	39¢	$100	0x76a7b6…
10-24 23:07:35	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xcbef91…
10-24 15:14:23	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x1a0193…
10-24 15:14:02	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xdfbc7d…
10-24 15:13:50	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x80f59b…
10-23 23:21:12	Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	77	29¢	$22	0x3e9f75…
10-21 14:51:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xc84883…
10-21 00:55:00	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	294	63¢	$185	0x69feb2…
10-20 22:45:14	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x1b7b93…
10-20 22:44:24	Will CA Tigre win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x06b343…
10-20 22:44:14	Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x27d919…
10-20 22:42:14	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xac656f…
10-20 22:41:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x32c79f…
10-10 16:14:40	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xf1ff63…
10-10 16:14:40	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xdbee00…
10-10 16:14:40	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0xa02efb…
10-03 15:03:41	atp chidekh bernet 2026 10 03	Henry Bernet	SELL	625	20¢	$125	0x369f39…
10-03 14:53:51	atp chidekh bernet 2026 10 03	Henry Bernet	BUY	641	16¢	$100	0xf8ea1b…
10-02 18:42:20	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe894f7…
10-02 18:42:05	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xe346bc…
10-02 18:41:21	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xa95a34…
10-02 18:39:00	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xbf97a2…
10-02 18:37:57	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x9a50fe…
10-02 18:37:12	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x425f12…
10-02 18:36:26	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x47c6e4…
10-02 18:34:54	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7fe2e0…
10-02 18:21:32	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb87262…
10-02 18:21:11	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa55183…
10-02 18:20:33	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Henry Bernet	SELL	261	64¢	$167	0x0b94e6…
10-02 18:16:57	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x18d704…
10-02 18:15:08	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x09e7d3…
10-02 18:07:05	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x57bafc…
10-02 17:55:39	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	SELL	90	37¢	$33	0xa77072…
10-02 17:55:30	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Henry Bernet	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xe3410b…
10-02 17:47:39	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbaf664…
10-02 17:35:02	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	115	94¢	$108	0x27b1fa…
10-02 17:27:12	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Henry Bernet	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf83bd2…
10-02 17:24:15	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw	Felix Balshaw	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xb29bbc…
10-02 17:23:12	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7648a9…
09-29 23:30:09	Panthers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x87a254…
09-29 20:30:11	Panthers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x28d061…
09-29 20:29:45	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xabdad2…
09-28 03:04:44	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xebba2f…
09-28 02:27:03	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x448d15…
09-28 02:22:59	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x64f61d…
09-28 02:02:45	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5a04f2…
09-28 02:02:15	Will Australia vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7ebbc8…
09-28 02:01:45	Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xedba01…
09-28 00:42:15	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	122	47¢	$57	0xf4d2db…
09-28 00:08:32	Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0xa1178d…
09-28 00:07:53	Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2bfe69…
09-28 00:07:53	Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x13ff12…
09-28 00:05:32	Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x683876…
09-28 00:01:42	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xacf796…
09-27 21:08:35	Racing Club Avellaneda vs. Boca Juniors: Boca Juniors O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd890be…
09-27 04:07:15	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x8e19ae…
09-27 04:02:03	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9bfe30…
09-27 04:01:44	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x56949b…
09-27 04:01:33	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0b4a15…
09-27 04:01:30	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x53f8ed…
09-26 18:53:20	atp dias mena 2026 09 26	Facundo Mena	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x6c095a…
09-26 18:17:06	atp dias mena 2026 09 26	Facundo Mena	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xa77650…
09-26 05:42:26	Clemson vs. California	Clemson	SELL	365	95¢	$347	0x58a793…
09-26 05:42:26	Clemson vs. California	Clemson	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x191007…
09-26 05:37:26	Clemson vs. California	California	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x84e9d9…
09-26 05:16:45	Clemson vs. California	Clemson	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x353fdb…
09-26 05:15:50	Clemson vs. California	Clemson	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x216395…
09-26 03:54:14	wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	Maya Joint	SELL	99	71¢	$70	0x2a3062…
09-26 03:53:26	wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	Maya Joint	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xa53d5c…
09-26 03:53:14	wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	Maya Joint	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0xfbb2fe…
09-26 03:52:35	wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	Maya Joint	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0x76499b…
09-26 03:26:12	wta tararud joint 2026 09 24	Maya Joint	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x400e6a…
09-26 03:24:15	Clemson vs. California	California	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xcdb053…
09-26 03:24:00	Clemson vs. California	California	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0x23403c…
09-25 23:05:06	Jets vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x2649dd…
09-25 21:59:06	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Chicago Cubs	SELL	95	59¢	$56	0xd332b8…
09-25 21:58:44	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Chicago Cubs	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa263ba…
09-25 21:58:02	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Chicago Cubs	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe6f599…
09-25 21:37:11	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Chicago Cubs	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xc79892…
09-25 20:00:26	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x6eb059…
09-25 18:47:38	Will Girona FC win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x23df12…
09-25 01:48:41	Sabres vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xbfc32a…
09-25 00:27:44	Penguins vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xcd1816…
09-24 23:12:48	Sabres vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xc16069…
09-24 23:12:17	Penguins vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xdd1dff…
09-24 17:30:18	Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa00a37…
09-24 17:29:38	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0x31f75d…
09-24 17:27:30	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	56	62¢	$34	0x7a8d1c…
09-24 12:55:35	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x6a5212…
09-24 10:50:56	Will Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x2c5917…
09-24 10:46:47	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xea503c…
09-24 10:45:33	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x0ab16f…
09-24 10:44:59	Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x660960…
09-24 10:44:20	Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x70fdd7…
09-24 10:42:59	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x3845f0…
09-24 10:42:48	Will Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb76c7d…
09-24 10:42:39	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x0117f5…