Probable-Priority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

112

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

92% 61% +$3

Politics

8% 83% -$8

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:16
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 14:01
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-21 05:27
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-25 01:21
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	07-03 04:38
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 04:53
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-10 20:38
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 21:34
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-29 15:25
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-30 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 08:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 05:20
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-08 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-07 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:04:49	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe27a65…
07-03 04:38:19	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x247b2e…
06-29 15:25:52	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3be06a…
06-29 02:46:44	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x31cc2d…
06-29 01:31:29	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x86f471…
06-28 12:43:35	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa02069…
06-27 21:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd7e7c1…
06-27 20:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xeca381…
06-26 23:58:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd3065a…
06-26 21:35:31	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3692c6…
06-26 03:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd0028d…
06-26 03:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x632a7e…
06-26 03:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3b931b…
06-25 23:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbfec1c…
06-25 12:56:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc00a0d…
06-25 01:21:17	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x720ffe…
06-24 18:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x52922d…
06-24 17:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x745075…
06-24 06:01:37	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaac5ee…
06-24 04:53:56	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x686f33…
06-23 05:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbdbbc7…
06-23 05:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf6cc26…
06-22 03:28:07	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9b3ed0…
06-21 05:27:41	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xae7584…
06-21 02:45:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x499293…
06-21 02:45:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x131280…
06-20 12:14:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x86dfa5…
06-19 18:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x80c0dd…
06-19 16:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x04cf87…
06-19 12:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd267d9…
06-17 15:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7c7ac8…
06-17 14:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1e9fd7…
06-17 14:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 18?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaa59d8…
06-16 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x70c6d2…
06-16 08:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe03a0d…
06-16 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x576ab2…
06-16 07:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf30162…
06-16 07:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x624e0a…
06-15 04:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x958ab3…
06-15 03:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 15?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3b1318…
06-15 03:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5280e6…
06-14 06:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xd0c628…
06-14 06:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5c0015…
06-13 12:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x20a9ec…
06-13 12:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fad86…
06-12 13:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2bb1c1…
06-12 12:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcfe56a…
06-12 05:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x254e6a…
06-12 04:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7092a6…
06-12 04:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x8c5dc9…
06-11 12:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc4258d…
06-10 17:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfb6c16…
06-10 17:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3a45ca…
06-10 16:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b5a7e…
06-09 06:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x23778a…
06-09 05:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff8a63…
06-08 05:18:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2d19ab…
06-08 05:16:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x63e23b…
06-08 04:47:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2eff46…
06-08 03:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x44a31a…
06-07 18:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x37f71d…
06-07 18:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x039ecb…
06-07 17:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc993d0…
06-07 12:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xba2ab7…
06-06 16:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf9dc4b…
06-06 16:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x466f7c…
06-06 16:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4944d6…
06-06 15:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9d358d…
06-06 08:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5dd2da…
06-06 07:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb45289…
06-06 07:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x31f6aa…
06-06 05:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x16d8e0…
06-05 07:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x53576b…
06-05 07:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4f494f…
06-04 08:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xac80cd…
06-04 07:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x83e6b5…
06-03 14:01:25	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4148f9…
06-02 22:18:55	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xeb9d77…
06-02 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc1728e…
06-02 09:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x994704…
06-02 09:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x61db14…
06-01 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
06-01 19:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1bacba…
06-01 11:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb4d231…
06-01 11:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x88eebe…
06-01 10:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc31a98…
06-01 09:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5cf14a…
06-01 07:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x17557d…
05-31 22:16:16	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb89671…
05-31 14:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd465d2…
05-31 03:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5226e9…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x19f0e2…
05-30 13:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf41ef2…
05-30 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe25c96…
05-30 03:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x524ee7…
05-29 20:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x46cf65…
05-29 16:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x333ddc…
05-29 06:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x06436c…
05-29 06:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf53734…
05-28 15:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2a1951…