Equal-Drop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-15 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 67% +$4

Other

8% — —

Politics

6% 50% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1772154900	2	$384	311	307	+5	open	—	02-27 01:26
sol updown 5m 1772155200	4	$307	453	449	+3	open	—	02-27 01:24
sol updown 5m 1772155800	2	$226	192	189	+3	open	—	02-27 01:32
eth updown 5m 1772156100	2	$212	257	253	+4	open	—	02-27 01:37
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	7	$196	260	396	-136	open	—	02-28 01:26
eth updown 5m 1772155800	2	$195	183	180	+3	open	—	02-27 01:31
eth updown 5m 1772231400	3	$158	168	166	+2	open	—	02-27 22:33
eth updown 5m 1772121300	4	$156	119	117	+2	open	—	02-26 15:59
btc updown 5m 1772241300	3	$155	289	105	+184	open	—	02-28 01:17
solana up or down february 27 5pm et	2	$155	157	157	+0	open	—	02-27 22:43
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	9	$153	248	187	+62	open	—	03-07 18:25
eth updown 5m 1772154900	2	$148	107	106	+2	open	—	02-27 01:18
xrp updown 5m 1772244000	1	$142	334	0	+334	open	—	02-28 02:01
btc updown 5m 1772140500	2	$140	96	95	+1	open	—	02-26 21:18
sol updown 5m 1772148300	4	$132	143	142	+2	open	—	02-26 23:29
eth updown 15m 1772244900	2	$125	170	167	+3	open	—	02-28 02:17
sol updown 5m 1772243700	2	$124	151	149	+2	open	—	02-28 01:59
sol updown 5m 1772156700	2	$124	119	117	+2	open	—	02-27 01:47
xrp updown 5m 1772154600	2	$116	96	94	+1	open	—	02-27 01:12
btc updown 5m 1773491100	4	$114	84	82	+1	open	—	03-14 12:30
btc updown 15m 1772232300	2	$108	161	159	+2	open	—	02-27 22:58
eth updown 5m 1772157600	2	$106	103	101	+1	open	—	02-27 02:01
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	2	$101	82	82	+0	open	—	02-27 11:39
eth updown 5m 1774116900	4	$100	102	101	+1	open	—	03-21 18:18
btc updown 5m 1772122200	3	$100	82	81	+1	open	—	02-26 16:15
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 btts	2	$98	77	77	+0	open	—	02-28 00:49
xrp updown 5m 1772239800	2	$96	82	81	+1	open	—	02-28 00:53
will trump say no no no during the 2026 state of the union address	3	$94	93	93	+0	open	—	02-25 05:39
btc updown 5m 1772157300	2	$92	100	98	+1	open	—	02-27 01:57
sol updown 5m 1772148900	2	$91	133	133	+1	open	—	02-26 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x85d2b3…
05-15 13:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x062ec6…
05-15 13:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x27f1fa…
05-15 13:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4e4959…
05-15 13:27:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8372ad…
05-15 09:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xcad033…
05-15 09:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x15f4d8…
05-15 09:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x201ea7…
05-15 09:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdcedd7…
05-15 09:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x9548c1…
05-15 09:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xaf9d23…
05-15 09:47:52	Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x0d9311…
05-15 09:47:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xce0f56…
05-15 01:05:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xde9e03…
05-15 01:03:09	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x951cbb…
05-15 01:02:04	Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0x4bf82c…
05-15 00:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x718090…
05-15 00:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0xc45dc3…
05-15 00:41:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x14167e…
05-15 00:38:58	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x02c436…
05-15 00:37:06	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x79d603…
05-15 00:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0x042864…
05-15 00:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x61faab…
05-15 00:33:33	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x64c26c…
05-13 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x992a90…
05-13 22:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfd9210…
05-13 22:44:39	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x569c87…
05-13 22:41:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x20fc0c…
05-13 22:38:23	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8686d0…
05-13 22:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x6a8850…
05-13 22:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x72ddb1…
05-13 22:34:11	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x62847c…
05-13 22:31:16	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x216194…
03-21 22:17:59	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Michael Aswell	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x965e91…
03-21 22:16:39	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	84	31¢	$26	0x5d36aa…
03-21 21:40:05	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x031147…
03-21 20:42:39	eth updown 5m 1774125600	Down	SELL	27	50¢	$13	0x891d3d…
03-21 20:40:43	eth updown 5m 1774125600	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x77b9fb…
03-21 20:37:43	btc updown 5m 1774125300	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9eb359…
03-21 20:35:29	btc updown 5m 1774125300	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa97e67…
03-21 20:30:45	ufc dan54 kur2 2026 03 21	Danny Silva	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd886cc…
03-21 19:39:51	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Axel Sola	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x6b1ab5…
03-21 18:27:13	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf9a99f…
03-21 18:25:27	ufc aus2 iwo 2026 03 21	Austen Lane	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x857bc7…
03-21 18:23:59	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7cf843…
03-21 18:20:57	ufc dan54 kur2 2026 03 21	Danny Silva	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x970bca…
03-21 18:18:11	eth updown 5m 1774116900	Down	SELL	66	66¢	$44	0x5d2c4c…
03-21 18:17:29	eth updown 5m 1774116900	Down	BUY	67	24¢	$16	0x734c24…
03-21 18:17:05	eth updown 5m 1774116900	Up	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xdee58d…
03-21 18:16:09	eth updown 5m 1774116900	Up	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x09ed48…
03-21 18:14:21	sol updown 5m 1774116600	Down	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xf5172a…
03-21 18:12:21	sol updown 5m 1774116600	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf4d6c8…
03-21 18:07:15	btc updown 5m 1774116300	Down	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x230a7c…
03-21 18:05:13	btc updown 5m 1774116000	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xfcbca2…
03-21 18:04:09	btc updown 5m 1774116000	Up	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x24567b…
03-21 18:03:49	btc updown 5m 1774116000	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xa968b3…
03-21 18:03:25	btc updown 5m 1774116000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9ef8d0…
03-21 17:58:39	btc updown 5m 1774115700	Down	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x42e893…
03-21 17:55:43	btc updown 5m 1774115700	Down	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x3e18bb…
03-21 17:40:39	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$11	0xeca259…
03-21 17:40:37	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0x55cdb8…
03-19 17:05:53	btc updown 5m 1773939900	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x59f0db…
03-19 17:02:37	btc updown 5m 1773939600	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x66e7bd…
03-19 16:56:49	btc updown 5m 1773939300	Down	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0x892c45…
03-19 16:55:29	btc updown 5m 1773939300	Down	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xed02e5…
03-19 16:54:27	btc updown 5m 1773939000	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x454dc7…
03-19 16:49:45	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x467fd9…
03-19 16:46:51	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0x40b91d…
03-14 14:36:31	eth updown 15m 1773498600	Up	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xd78cfe…
03-14 12:48:23	ethereum up or down march 14 8am et	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xe30dd1…
03-14 12:44:47	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Down	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xaad1b1…
03-14 12:43:13	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa5111a…
03-14 12:30:09	btc updown 5m 1773491100	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xb5eb0c…
03-14 12:28:41	btc updown 5m 1773491100	Down	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x5de78f…
03-14 12:26:59	btc updown 5m 1773491100	Down	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x4d769e…
03-14 12:25:37	btc updown 5m 1773491100	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x214b34…
03-14 12:22:29	eth updown 5m 1773490800	Down	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xd270eb…
03-14 12:07:13	btc updown 5m 1773489900	Up	SELL	33	56¢	$18	0x6afe81…
03-14 12:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773489900	Up	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x746c36…
03-14 12:03:13	sol updown 5m 1773489600	Up	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x39e408…
03-14 12:01:11	sol updown 5m 1773489600	Up	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x437a6a…
03-14 11:58:51	btc updown 15m 1773488700	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd1dbe3…
03-14 11:57:51	will hottest be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0xaf7b0e…
03-13 20:58:03	eth updown 5m 1773435300	Up	BUY	135	24¢	$32	0xfab74a…
03-13 20:57:41	eth updown 5m 1773435300	Up	SELL	85	26¢	$22	0x8c058c…
03-13 20:55:27	eth updown 5m 1773435300	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x9b40da…
03-13 19:41:35	sol updown 15m 1773430200	Down	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x8ce310…
03-13 19:39:03	sol updown 15m 1773430200	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x3b8b1e…
03-13 19:08:23	sol updown 5m 1773428700	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8862aa…
03-13 19:07:59	sol updown 5m 1773428700	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x5000e8…
03-13 18:59:51	sol updown 5m 1773428100	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xd64cc8…
03-13 18:57:29	sol updown 5m 1773428100	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x86d38b…
03-13 18:50:39	eth updown 5m 1773427800	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x9b5c8a…
03-13 16:50:07	eth updown 15m 1773420300	Down	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xb35e17…
03-13 16:47:23	will charlie kirk be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	69	13¢	$9	0x4e4c38…
03-13 16:47:21	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	Yes	SELL	53	31¢	$16	0x3a234d…
03-13 03:35:45	eth updown 5m 1773372900	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xd4210b…
03-13 03:27:53	will charlie kirk be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xde2f5d…
03-13 03:27:09	will hottest be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	62	42¢	$26	0x26e5f9…
03-13 03:23:19	eth updown 5m 1773372000	Up	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0xb51f3c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xf095…7ba8	231	$786	1,833	03-19 17:09
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	227	$989	2,131	03-14 14:41
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	215	$887.3K	9,601	03-21 20:41
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	210	$127.8K	8,683	03-21 20:39
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	205	$6.92K	877	03-21 20:45
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	200	$33.1K	2,162	05-15 14:54
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	199	$784	1,567	05-15 09:50
Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa	192	$4.61K	727	03-21 18:14