Arid-Leap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,214

lifetime

Volume

$2.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-06 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776600000	3	$59	31	29	+2	open	—	04-19 12:16
btc updown 15m 1776609000	2	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	04-19 14:44
btc updown 15m 1776626100	2	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 19:29
btc updown 15m 1776527100	2	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 15:56
btc updown 15m 1776627900	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 19:59
btc updown 15m 1776503700	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 09:28
btc updown 15m 1776515400	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 12:44
btc updown 15m 1776618900	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 17:26
btc updown 15m 1776567600	2	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	04-19 03:14
btc updown 15m 1776560400	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 01:11
btc updown 15m 1776528000	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 16:12
btc updown 15m 1776611700	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 15:22
btc updown 15m 1776387600	3	$26	15	14	+1	open	—	04-17 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 23:29
btc updown 15m 1776463200	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 22:15
btc updown 15m 1776417300	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-17 09:28
btc updown 15m 1777014000	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 22:29
btc updown 15m 1777012200	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 06:44
btc updown 15m 1776420900	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 10:28
btc updown 15m 1775870100	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-11 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 21:55
btc updown 15m 1776941100	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 10:58
btc updown 15m 1777016700	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 03:11
btc updown 15m 1777013100	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 06:59
btc updown 15m 1776390300	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x93eadc…
05-06 22:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x64e44d…
05-06 22:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8578cb…
05-06 22:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x653372…
05-06 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x36c080…
05-06 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae7184…
05-06 21:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaac9c2…
05-06 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x283996…
05-06 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbd39b7…
05-06 12:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x30df98…
05-06 12:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55774d…
05-06 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaa9ff1…
05-06 11:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9befe9…
05-06 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x56afef…
05-06 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0d2422…
05-06 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5fa5ad…
05-06 10:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x82b882…
05-06 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f5119…
05-06 10:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1d9ca3…
05-06 09:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x18272f…
05-06 09:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9625d2…
05-06 09:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x05f7eb…
05-06 09:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x00df69…
05-06 06:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x179149…
05-06 06:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcebfd1…
05-06 06:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0a55dc…
05-06 06:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x36f789…
05-06 05:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3a7d1a…
05-06 05:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x342171…
05-06 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x10134f…
05-06 05:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb7406d…
05-06 04:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x457012…
05-06 04:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x79c166…
05-06 04:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe8944f…
05-06 03:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x805f75…
05-06 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xec6f8c…
05-06 03:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf27354…
05-06 03:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xccb7de…
05-06 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b9fac…
05-06 00:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc1a956…
05-06 00:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5c2400…
05-06 00:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc9908b…
05-05 23:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x3d27b3…
05-05 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x697990…
05-05 23:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfa164d…
05-05 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x544714…
05-05 22:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd3f693…
05-05 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x52378f…
05-05 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x30e938…
05-05 22:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x891c56…
05-05 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf823c0…
05-05 21:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf61081…
05-05 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x426f85…
05-05 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x4e391d…
05-05 21:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x73588c…
05-05 12:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x053867…
05-05 12:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0e4478…
05-05 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3e289c…
05-05 12:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x90476e…
05-05 11:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd4488c…
05-05 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x30b137…
05-05 11:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc94de0…
05-05 10:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x61ec4b…
05-05 10:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x73460f…
05-05 10:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3946e5…
05-05 10:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x38e4fd…
05-05 09:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x44a478…
05-05 09:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x162af0…
05-05 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x28f935…
05-05 09:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x09dca4…
05-05 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0796d6…
05-05 06:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc39f90…
05-05 06:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x859e49…
05-05 06:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5b2af3…
05-05 05:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x31eab7…
05-05 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd0ec25…
05-05 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2aac44…
05-05 05:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x084ca7…
05-05 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9edba1…
05-05 04:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc421bf…
05-05 04:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45d356…
05-05 04:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe8599b…
05-05 03:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2e5465…
05-05 03:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd5957e…
05-05 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8c1ff0…
05-05 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x0ab766…
05-05 03:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd72d80…
05-05 00:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e4dd9…
05-05 00:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbb8ee9…
05-05 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf2c10d…
05-05 00:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd8fac8…
05-04 23:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5e5a08…
05-04 23:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x737d29…
05-04 23:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xb2e243…
05-04 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd46011…
05-04 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2ff22a…
05-04 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xaa6793…
05-04 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe40eb7…
05-04 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc93439…
05-04 22:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9bd542…