Watchful-Airfield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$511

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

341

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$40

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 11-10 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Politics

62% 95% +$503

Other

21% 87% +$10

Crypto

17% 99% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-10 21:27
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 09:20
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 09:21
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 09:20
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-09 09:21
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-10 21:26
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-10 21:26
Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-10 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	50	$1.6K	81,413	81,413	+0	No	+$98	04-20 06:24
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	20	$741	180,600	180,600	+0	No	+$199	04-26 14:37
will green alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	16	$603	21,937	21,937	+0	No	+$55	03-31 12:52
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	22	$351	37,514	37,514	+0	No	+$92	04-03 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	12	$122	61	61	+0	No	$0	02-23 07:09
will miracjl win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	10	$73	24,459	24,459	+0	No	+$24	03-15 14:22
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$70	17,599	17,599	+0	No	+$35	03-12 05:29
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	6	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	02-26 04:34
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	44	$70	34,901	34,901	+0	No	+$0	02-11 03:56
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 560 579	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:44
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	4	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	02-20 10:25
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	4	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	4	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	03-16 10:10
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$6	03-31 07:49
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	$0	02-13 06:06
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 540 559	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:47
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 520 539	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:50
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-26 11:12
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 360 379	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:52
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:37
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-09 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	4	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-17 08:27
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	16	$16	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 07:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	-$2	04-27 13:42
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	$0	05-07 13:36
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-04 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 20:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-13 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 21:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e27e0…
11-10 21:26:45	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb76782…
11-10 21:26:31	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047f05…
11-10 21:26:25	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bf8b2…
11-10 21:26:04	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfdd42…
11-10 21:25:52	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53d159…
11-09 09:21:07	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5c3b4…
11-09 09:21:03	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c5bab…
11-09 09:20:55	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bbf7a…
11-09 09:20:45	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda4b74…
11-06 09:59:30	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf44cdc…
11-06 09:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81eb33…
11-06 09:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36b795…
11-02 21:40:27	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9bbfd…
11-02 21:40:19	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf722c6…
10-31 20:59:46	Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b8d1f…
10-31 20:56:39	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d2380…
10-31 20:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8ebd9…
10-31 20:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x372a8d…
10-30 20:24:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e782f…
10-30 20:24:48	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb46d91…
10-30 20:24:40	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c8f1c…
10-30 20:24:21	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9263da…
10-30 20:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe66c14…
10-30 20:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x056d91…
10-30 20:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x162694…
10-30 20:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9faed6…
10-30 20:22:57	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f72cb…
10-26 20:57:27	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a1e6a…
10-26 20:57:20	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44c7cf…
10-26 20:57:06	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a6867…
10-20 22:05:06	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92f948…
10-20 22:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfacba4…
10-20 22:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b2596…
10-20 22:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81716e…
10-20 22:03:32	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c3b84…
10-20 22:03:23	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ce527…
10-20 22:03:15	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57763d…
10-20 22:03:05	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65c85b…
10-20 22:02:56	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x853baf…
10-20 22:02:47	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1294e…
10-17 09:18:39	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4548a…
10-17 09:18:29	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x302d8d…
10-17 09:18:20	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd781c1…
10-17 09:18:11	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbde839…
10-17 09:17:39	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e6ce9…
10-17 09:17:24	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd367d0…
10-17 09:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdd7d3…
10-17 09:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x615de6…
10-17 09:16:38	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3a5a4…
10-14 10:37:07	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x333095…
10-14 10:36:47	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd086c9…
10-14 10:36:38	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39c0d4…
10-14 10:36:26	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5838b3…
10-14 10:36:19	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38cd74…
10-14 10:36:08	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c01d0…
10-14 10:36:01	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e5aff…
10-14 10:35:50	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c46d8…
10-11 03:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7fb806…
10-11 03:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa19d38…
10-11 03:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09c5ac…
10-09 20:33:07	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8869d…
10-09 20:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fc117…
10-09 20:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8379e7…
10-09 20:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd34178…
10-09 20:32:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2b810…
10-08 21:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x491c12…
10-08 21:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4aa9f4…
10-08 21:36:08	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x95beaf…
10-08 21:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe060d3…
10-08 21:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xbc0df5…
10-08 18:54:09	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x100185…
10-07 15:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00273c…
10-07 15:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd96e1e…
10-07 15:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc7602…
10-07 15:47:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c9bfd…
10-04 07:37:07	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a3c85…
10-04 07:36:50	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a412c…
10-04 07:36:40	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c1c1f…
10-04 07:36:31	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cf9fb…
10-01 16:01:47	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd29611…
10-01 16:01:29	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5984f…
09-29 06:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8eea0…
09-29 06:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc8a75…
09-29 06:00:44	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95dea5…
09-29 06:00:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1a0e0…
09-29 05:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43134b…
09-29 05:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f9579…
09-29 05:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d62f9…
09-29 05:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbac71b…
09-29 05:57:33	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48b7b5…
09-29 05:56:47	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4491ab…
09-22 11:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f7d7d…
09-22 11:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x222409…
09-22 11:10:34	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa41f1c…
09-22 11:10:21	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84ccc4…
09-18 03:26:21	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb08d1e…
09-18 03:26:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3951f9…
09-18 03:25:54	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa26c9d…
09-18 03:25:40	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x627455…