Calculating-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

230

Trades

428

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-31

last 11-04 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

60% 61% +$80

Crypto

38% 58% -$51

Sports

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+5	$1	11¢	$1	$0	10-12 08:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$111	58	58	+0	England	+$5	07-18 22:58
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	2	$55	36	36	+0	Yes	+$15	10-20 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$51	48	48	+0	Up	+$7	10-12 16:19
Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 16:28
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	3	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$23	11-04 21:55
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$13	06-30 18:55
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$43	29	29	+0	England	+$3	07-01 17:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	10-31 22:14
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	4	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	+$9	10-24 15:38
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	10-26 22:55
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	10-20 20:43
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$32	22	22	+0	Belgium	+$12	07-07 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	10-12 16:56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$9	07-04 19:14
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	3	$26	16	16	+0	Belgium	+$6	06-06 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	4	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 17:02
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$26	16	16	+0	France	+$6	06-30 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	10-12 13:28
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	2	$25	15	15	+0	AC Milan	+$5	10-31 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$25	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	10-12 14:59
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$25	15	15	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$5	06-03 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$25	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	10-12 17:01
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-31?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	10-31 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	10-12 17:28
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	2	$24	14	14	+0	Matteo Berrettini	+$4	06-01 19:18
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	06-07 17:48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	11-03 21:22
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	10-31 21:22
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	2	$23	13	13	+0	Under	+$3	07-02 21:01
atp aguilar medvede 2026 07 01	2	$22	12	12	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$2	07-01 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:55:25	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9dbddb…
11-04 17:23:25	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe1276c…
11-04 16:34:45	Silver Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1df76a…
11-04 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7fb627…
11-04 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbae230…
11-04 10:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6aa012…
11-04 10:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x678315…
11-04 10:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x8b7dff…
11-04 10:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3121b4…
11-04 10:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xda29d1…
11-03 21:22:12	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x306571…
11-03 21:21:51	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x21491f…
11-03 21:19:22	Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x223470…
11-03 20:51:27	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xec0906…
11-03 20:21:58	Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x406993…
11-03 19:44:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x769084…
11-03 19:28:49	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x201fcf…
11-03 18:22:43	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x36bef1…
11-01 21:45:33	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a4674…
11-01 21:45:10	New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x99ff13…
11-01 21:44:30	Patriots vs. Dolphins	Patriots	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa9e97a…
11-01 21:44:15	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xce2c12…
11-01 17:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6b88f2…
11-01 17:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf5adfc…
10-31 22:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	91¢	$21	0x972e38…
10-31 22:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x774e08…
10-31 22:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x01f097…
10-31 21:59:28	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x17b3b0…
10-31 21:57:49	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb0d2b3…
10-31 21:52:15	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x376a85…
10-31 21:51:43	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe8dd0f…
10-31 21:24:30	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7e4a8d…
10-31 21:22:58	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x349842…
10-31 20:10:52	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd9f304…
10-31 20:07:48	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x391d9a…
10-31 20:05:57	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa6fa13…
10-31 19:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x57e70d…
10-31 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6ab190…
10-31 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xdc817b…
10-31 18:54:04	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7fde6e…
10-31 18:53:18	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0573df…
10-31 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x513b76…
10-31 18:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe8deea…
10-31 18:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x9e69d1…
10-31 18:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x58093c…
10-31 18:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x69b6f2…
10-31 18:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x808df3…
10-31 18:41:01	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xea54fa…
10-31 18:40:19	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xafbb55…
10-31 18:40:01	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeb23ad…
10-31 18:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda653b…
10-31 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x34c775…
10-31 18:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x21b727…
10-31 18:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x345513…
10-31 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x83f0d0…
10-27 11:47:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9e939f…
10-26 22:55:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x660e1b…
10-26 22:20:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa3cfdc…
10-26 22:14:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x982722…
10-25 21:50:41	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x8058f2…
10-25 21:36:35	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x77211a…
10-25 16:57:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x25f7cc…
10-25 16:50:12	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbf74a6…
10-25 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x4e272d…
10-25 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc44e55…
10-25 16:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf51566…
10-25 15:56:06	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4dcdbc…
10-25 15:49:32	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x362aa8…
10-25 13:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x4570eb…
10-25 13:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2e3aff…
10-25 13:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x82440b…
10-25 13:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcf27ff…
10-24 16:28:57	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfb170b…
10-24 15:38:27	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2f4f87…
10-24 14:46:32	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x29a332…
10-24 14:45:29	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3cba74…
10-24 14:45:06	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0dcedb…
10-24 13:56:54	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xef34fa…
10-24 13:56:47	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf28e13…
10-23 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8b33c2…
10-21 22:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x10d033…
10-21 22:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7767d3…
10-21 20:55:45	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a4b6b…
10-21 19:50:20	Club Brugge KV leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbc3c79…
10-21 18:32:57	Club Brugge KV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x827fee…
10-21 17:04:30	Nico Paz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x317f3d…
10-21 16:24:51	ucl com mnu 2026 10 21 ags nico paz 90107673	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6e0a0e…
10-21 08:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x4aeac8…
10-21 08:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5537de…
10-20 22:03:29	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x35a73e…
10-20 20:50:54	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x829c87…
10-20 20:43:36	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6e4a15…
10-20 18:57:11	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa4a860…
10-20 13:08:54	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa2763b…
10-19 19:46:08	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc150c5…
10-19 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xce89f2…
10-19 16:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	73¢	$8	0xbd8954…
10-19 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x82196f…
10-19 12:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0xe492cb…
10-19 12:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x26af42…