Ambitious-Bit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$457

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

4,119

Trades

16,507

lifetime

Volume

$143.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-03 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% -$457

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:45 UTC	16	$225	130	129	+1	Up	+$26	03-05 08:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 17:15 UTC	8	$220	125	124	+1	Down	+$22	03-10 17:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC	9	$217	123	122	+1	Down	+$20	03-10 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 07:30 UTC	13	$215	119	119	+0	Up	+$16	03-06 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 19:45 UTC	8	$215	119	119	+0	Down	+$16	03-05 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	8	$215	118	118	+0	Down	+$15	03-04 13:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 17:15 UTC	9	$214	119	118	+1	Down	+$16	03-10 17:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	26	$213	117	117	+0	Down	+$13	03-04 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC	9	$212	116	116	+0	Down	+$13	03-04 08:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 19:30 UTC	8	$212	116	115	+0	Up	+$12	03-10 19:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	16	$211	118	118	+0	Down	+$18	03-11 02:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:00 UTC	17	$210	115	114	+0	Down	+$12	03-05 08:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:30 UTC	5	$210	115	115	+0	Down	+$13	03-05 17:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 01:45 UTC	8	$210	114	113	+0	Up	+$10	03-06 01:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC	7	$210	115	115	+0	Down	+$13	03-04 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 12:00 UTC	17	$209	113	113	+0	Up	+$10	03-05 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 07:00 UTC	5	$207	110	110	+0	Down	+$7	03-04 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 02:00 UTC	6	$206	110	110	+0	Up	+$7	03-06 02:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 07:00 UTC	18	$206	110	109	+0	Up	+$7	03-10 07:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC	7	$206	110	110	+0	Down	+$8	03-06 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 22:15 UTC	5	$206	109	109	+0	Up	+$6	03-10 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 07:15 UTC	13	$205	109	109	+0	Up	+$7	03-10 07:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 18:30 UTC	8	$205	110	110	+0	Down	+$8	03-10 18:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 18:30 UTC	28	$205	110	110	+0	Down	+$8	03-10 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 07:30 UTC	7	$205	109	109	+0	Up	+$6	03-04 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:15 UTC	6	$204	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	03-05 17:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:15 UTC	7	$204	108	108	+0	Down	+$5	03-05 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 03:15 UTC	5	$204	107	107	+0	Up	+$4	03-06 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC	6	$203	107	107	+0	Down	+$5	03-06 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:30 UTC	13	$203	106	106	+0	Up	+$3	03-03 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 07:20:09	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x83a01a…
10-03 07:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1eca14…
10-03 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb4f8ce…
10-03 01:35:08	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8ab8ab…
10-03 00:05:09	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd3c72d…
10-02 11:50:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x7a545e…
10-02 00:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x444875…
10-01 00:50:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x266375…
09-30 23:20:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7d91e8…
09-30 23:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa7cc1b…
09-30 23:20:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x157213…
09-30 21:50:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x09c0c8…
09-30 21:50:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf7acfc…
09-30 12:05:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x6f9745…
09-29 12:20:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4804bb…
09-29 08:20:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4f9ebd…
09-29 03:50:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x78b87d…
09-29 01:05:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc1611c…
09-29 00:05:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8968f7…
09-28 22:05:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3d6aba…
09-28 20:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x43bd2c…
09-28 11:35:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7c8f13…
09-28 05:20:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3daf90…
09-28 05:20:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x36861a…
09-27 18:35:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4a2733…
09-27 17:05:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x283e8d…
09-26 10:50:08	Solana Up or Down - September 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x39a974…
09-26 08:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x994dc7…
09-26 05:50:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x965a8a…
09-26 02:50:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc73e49…
09-25 17:35:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdc95da…
09-25 17:35:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc60fe0…
09-25 05:20:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcb63a9…
09-25 05:20:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1069e8…
09-25 05:20:08	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xbb76a7…
09-25 02:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x54879b…
09-25 00:50:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xecdcb6…
09-24 20:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x13e1da…
09-24 20:05:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xca8260…
09-24 16:50:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x188392…
09-24 06:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc9e81a…
09-24 04:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdc228c…
09-24 03:20:09	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4d6f20…
09-24 03:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4a3450…
09-23 20:20:08	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1d9fa5…
09-23 20:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x148eb3…
09-23 10:35:08	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf7ec89…
09-23 01:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4d6984…
09-22 17:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa309bc…
09-22 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3e856d…
09-22 12:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x146bff…
09-22 05:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x010ba5…
09-22 04:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe01572…
09-22 02:05:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf52da9…
09-21 18:50:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0dab54…
09-21 18:35:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe252ad…
09-20 10:20:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcf2e23…
09-20 10:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf8c607…
09-20 02:50:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4c6b8e…
09-20 02:50:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xbd2880…
09-10 18:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x167c12…
09-10 18:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1d591b…
09-10 17:05:09	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x464b2d…
09-10 15:50:07	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4c4012…
09-10 14:20:07	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6ed92c…
09-10 14:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x756d6d…
09-10 12:20:07	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbb6df3…
09-10 12:05:09	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xab3fd1…
09-07 07:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa70426…
09-07 07:45:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeba826…
09-07 07:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x27d1c6…
09-02 09:00:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x06379c…
09-02 09:00:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9b3f01…
09-02 09:00:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x87d47f…
09-02 09:00:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x42d54e…
08-27 10:45:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x072ce1…
08-27 10:45:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x20d313…
08-27 10:45:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x186dea…
08-27 10:45:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xcbce45…
08-27 10:45:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x25924c…
08-27 10:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbff5aa…
08-27 10:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc137b8…
08-27 10:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x407c44…
08-27 10:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8c6db9…
08-21 12:00:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc6d963…
08-21 12:00:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x907c76…
08-21 12:00:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0b613c…
08-21 12:00:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc30a41…
08-21 12:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x45066f…
08-21 12:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe2a37…
08-21 12:00:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1192c1…
08-21 12:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x401aec…
08-20 03:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xcebcbd…
08-20 03:30:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa877a9…
08-20 03:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc9de58…
08-20 03:30:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x066836…
08-18 03:15:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdb54e1…
08-18 03:15:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xeceddb…
08-18 03:15:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x981711…
08-17 08:46:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdc983f…