Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$595

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

22.1%

Resolved

167

Trades

975

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$125

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 08-04 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

85% 26% -$421

Politics

10% 7% -$81

Tech

4% 10% -$22

Crypto

2% 17% -$73

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+100	$62	97¢	$97	+$35	07-14 18:32
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	+25	$11	74¢	$18	+$8	07-15 20:40
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	+25	$16	26¢	$7	-$10	07-16 16:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$38	3¢	$3	-$35	07-14 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	56	$529	916	28	+888	Yes	-$57	07-16 16:20
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	29	$320	622	28	+594	No	-$10	07-23 19:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	18	$279	561	298	+263	Yes	-$12	07-14 15:30
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	7	$229	620	0	+620	Yes	-$9	07-15 21:44
will jpmorgan jpm close at usd 1 trillion or more market cap by august 31 20260715163827894	25	$215	377	17	+360	No	-$17	07-24 12:34
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	20	$199	366	6	+360	No	-$10	07-23 19:01
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	9	$186	356	44	+312	No	-$15	07-30 17:36
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	26	$179	349	13	+336	No	-$8	07-30 17:36
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	19	$178	327	7	+320	Yes	-$10	07-23 19:01
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	8	$177	337	0	+337	No	-$27	07-21 15:48
will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	20	$169	299	23	+276	Yes	-$27	07-30 17:36
will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	14	$148	260	20	+240	No	-$19	07-24 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	14	$147	344	0	+344	Yes	+$47	07-15 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	6	$141	253	0	+253	No	+$12	07-20 10:37
Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	13	$137	216	20	+196	No	-$6	07-21 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	6	$134	200	0	+200	No	+$16	07-15 12:18
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	13	$127	197	35	+162	Yes	-$21	07-16 16:20
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	12	$126	240	0	+240	Yes	-$6	07-18 07:50
over 1pt5m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419656	17	$122	170	20	+150	Yes	-$15	07-24 06:47
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	14	$121	252	0	+252	No	+$48	07-17 06:17
will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 110m by august 31 20260721170950174	10	$118	200	0	+200	No	-$18	07-23 20:48
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	7	$110	208	7	+201	Yes	-$4	07-21 12:14
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	17	$110	216	24	+192	open	—	08-04 09:12
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	13	$107	197	3	+194	No	-$6	07-24 12:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	7	$103	250	200	+50	No	-$21	07-14 15:39
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	10	$100	173	0	+173	No	+$73	07-13 12:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	07-14 18:43
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	25	$98	180	20	+160	Yes	-$14	07-30 17:36
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	7	$94	189	0	+189	Yes	-$35	07-16 12:36
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	16	$93	140	5	+135	No	-$18	07-21 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 09:12:39	Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x6be872…
08-04 09:12:39	Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2e1332…
08-04 00:59:15	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x79d48a…
08-03 23:26:21	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xf919ce…
08-03 10:40:47	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x33a70d…
08-02 13:49:50	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xed5ab5…
08-02 07:01:15	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xabfc2b…
08-02 06:48:27	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7a18a4…
07-31 11:09:15	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x50f140…
07-31 11:09:02	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x30747d…
07-31 10:54:29	Will Steve Carell – “Rooster” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa6ba7e…
07-31 03:41:53	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb1f399…
07-30 23:35:50	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x289276…
07-30 18:43:50	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x64dae9…
07-30 17:36:36	Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4014d4…
07-30 17:36:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x405b2c…
07-30 17:36:33	Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x86f71d…
07-30 17:36:32	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xa3197d…
07-30 17:36:30	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 60m by august 31 20260723155541885	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5e3cc8…
07-30 17:36:27	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xcbb5e1…
07-30 17:36:27	Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x08ab2d…
07-30 17:36:26	Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe2c885…
07-30 17:36:23	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 115m by august 31 20260721170950175	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xf0b5cf…
07-30 17:36:23	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x7e5b06…
07-30 17:36:21	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x461fd6…
07-30 17:36:20	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xef0cc4…
07-30 17:36:20	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x20c440…
07-30 17:36:17	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xdddc4c…
07-30 17:36:17	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x22a609…
07-30 17:36:15	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe4afdb…
07-30 17:36:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x4b7cd7…
07-30 17:36:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x493c5d…
07-30 17:36:11	Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$7	0x1aa1e9…
07-30 17:36:09	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x91ea5d…
07-29 14:16:53	Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x268fc8…
07-24 12:34:49	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x167a93…
07-24 12:34:48	will jpmorgan jpm close at usd 1 trillion or more market cap by august 31 20260715163827894	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x5ec0af…
07-24 12:34:46	over 2m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419657	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x683f08…
07-24 12:34:45	will lana del rey release a new album by september 30 20260717173736118	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfaf5b1…
07-24 12:34:45	over 4m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419660	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x77b138…
07-24 12:34:45	over 4m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419660	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x356032…
07-24 12:34:43	Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3453b0…
07-24 12:34:42	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb80c2f…
07-24 12:34:40	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xb0a991…
07-24 12:34:39	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x6fbf76…
07-24 12:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xb626db…
07-24 12:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x46cc24…
07-24 12:34:36	Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0x5c44e2…
07-24 11:59:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xe80e88…
07-24 11:59:49	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3c35e4…
07-24 11:19:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x667af8…
07-24 11:10:45	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1c8181…
07-24 11:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	81	6¢	$5	0x91a21d…
07-24 11:00:12	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x119c7a…
07-24 10:47:49	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xccc4b8…
07-24 10:24:13	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x351526…
07-24 09:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x741f61…
07-24 09:14:36	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x11f657…
07-24 08:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x07f7e6…
07-24 08:36:12	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd44fc9…
07-24 08:19:36	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3bc05c…
07-24 06:47:46	over 1pt5m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419656	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x43bea8…
07-24 06:24:34	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xabc239…
07-24 06:22:37	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xfe1be8…
07-24 05:53:43	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0xe539f9…
07-24 05:30:36	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x64b20d…
07-24 05:23:42	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x64cf24…
07-24 05:15:00	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x15590d…
07-24 05:00:52	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x20e631…
07-24 04:59:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x8341ec…
07-24 04:44:55	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4a0851…
07-24 04:39:55	Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc005d2…
07-24 04:12:10	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x5c5619…
07-24 03:41:21	Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x8dfc10…
07-24 03:25:54	Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x262b02…
07-24 02:56:46	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xeeef4b…
07-24 02:56:45	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x066103…
07-24 02:42:19	Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa05880…
07-24 02:39:37	Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9ccaee…
07-24 02:39:37	Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x93c44e…
07-24 02:38:30	Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc027cb…
07-24 02:33:04	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x61d3ad…
07-24 02:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xee7129…
07-24 01:58:07	Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x904a3d…
07-24 01:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x6bd106…
07-24 01:31:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xba1e28…
07-24 00:58:04	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xcf33e4…
07-24 00:58:04	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2a3008…
07-24 00:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xf7d0fe…
07-24 00:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x352f7b…
07-24 00:20:31	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xc843c2…
07-24 00:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$27	0xc813a4…
07-24 00:06:45	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc60985…
07-24 00:02:15	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xee09ab…
07-23 23:50:57	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x64f97b…
07-23 23:38:37	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x9bfdb1…
07-23 23:38:37	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x976a3b…
07-23 23:28:55	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x5c3677…
07-23 23:24:30	will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf62172…
07-23 23:23:54	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb2249d…