Outlying-Visit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$541

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 09-09 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 53% -$61

Other

16% 20% -$18

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$56	47	47	+0	Down	+$3	05-31 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$49	46	46	+0	Down	+$9	05-31 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$32	40	16	+24	Up	-$8	05-31 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-31 14:54
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	3	$30	91	48	+43	No	-$10	09-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	-$30	05-26 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$25	545	45	+500	Up	-$5	05-31 14:49
Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	4	$25	64	64	+0	No	+$3	09-07 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$20	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-31 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-31 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$3	05-31 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$15	16	9	+7	Up	-$5	05-31 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$15	51	51	+0	Up	-$5	05-31 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	05-26 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	09-08 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	09-09 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$7	11	1	+10	Up	-$5	09-07 12:53
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	1	$6	32	0	+32	No	-$6	09-08 05:50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	05-26 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	05-31 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	05-31 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-26 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	09-08 12:23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	2	$4	36	36	+0	No	-$4	06-14 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 19:32:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd8dfd9…
09-09 19:28:21	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x81b73b…
09-09 09:48:03	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7b4c90…
09-09 09:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x9b52ec…
09-09 09:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7ede59…
09-09 09:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x076994…
09-09 09:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x07ea4a…
09-09 09:40:27	Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x63d624…
09-09 09:38:52	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x373611…
09-09 09:37:03	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd118b8…
09-08 21:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x25dadb…
09-08 21:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x876a0b…
09-08 12:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x62ecda…
09-08 12:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0e1fad…
09-08 12:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa305a1…
09-08 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x156ff3…
09-08 12:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb64c83…
09-08 11:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7b83a8…
09-08 08:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8aeeb…
09-08 08:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xcbc1c6…
09-08 08:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x27763d…
09-08 05:50:48	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xc2987c…
09-07 21:21:36	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x400208…
09-07 20:23:45	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d8474…
09-07 20:22:25	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x6f749f…
09-07 13:04:16	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-07?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7e39bc…
09-07 12:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6e012c…
09-07 12:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd04832…
09-07 12:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x06e624…
09-07 12:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xaf55c5…
09-07 12:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb95df1…
09-07 12:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8a081…
09-07 12:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55b596…
06-14 00:05:03	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x3fa2a1…
06-14 00:00:12	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x3ee384…
06-12 04:23:00	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2bd9c6…
06-10 08:33:43	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xbaf6eb…
06-01 09:30:17	Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Mathys Domenc vs Dan Brand	Mathys Domenc	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x490846…
06-01 09:29:31	Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Mathys Domenc vs Dan Brand	Dan Brand	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x518e57…
06-01 09:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7e4595…
06-01 09:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x58f208…
06-01 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xba334f…
06-01 09:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcb10b3…
06-01 09:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x1461cc…
06-01 09:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5db1ad…
06-01 09:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x109495…
06-01 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x71b027…
05-31 15:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xa67739…
05-31 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4dbd1b…
05-31 15:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x1b12e5…
05-31 15:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x65d77e…
05-31 15:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdf0041…
05-31 15:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x8273d2…
05-31 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4fd398…
05-31 15:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x6815ed…
05-31 15:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x298d1b…
05-31 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xc9c431…
05-31 15:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x8f64b4…
05-31 15:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x785523…
05-31 15:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x476052…
05-31 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x5cf6e2…
05-31 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0xb0edb9…
05-31 15:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x8cd66c…
05-31 15:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x709647…
05-31 15:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x979e0e…
05-31 15:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2b0d59…
05-31 15:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xae1f62…
05-31 15:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfd22a6…
05-31 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8bd004…
05-31 14:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2cd19b…
05-31 14:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x82f9a8…
05-31 14:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde8a8a…
05-31 14:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x7ec141…
05-31 14:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x525685…
05-31 14:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xa2c5e2…
05-31 14:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf467f2…
05-31 14:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4c0b94…
05-31 14:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x8b8060…
05-31 14:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xffb6bd…
05-31 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x1c9100…
05-31 14:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x39a12a…
05-31 14:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9b1386…
05-31 14:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6cbd18…
05-31 14:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa8671c…
05-31 14:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5a4fea…
05-31 14:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x938102…
05-31 14:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x04e23b…
05-31 14:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xde56bc…
05-31 14:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x618627…
05-31 14:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5c753d…
05-31 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x389a9b…
05-31 14:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x318931…
05-31 14:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x210d5d…
05-31 14:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x128c87…
05-31 14:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd3a990…
05-31 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf4c79c…
05-31 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0ae153…
05-31 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xaccac4…
05-31 14:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d15c7…
05-31 13:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8e0858…