Tepid-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 04-27 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

42% 0% —

Other

41% 0% —

Politics

17% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$764	396	396	+0	No	+$0	03-23 14:10
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$628	529	529	+0	open	—	03-22 00:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$608	320	320	+0	open	—	03-24 03:28
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$554	286	286	+0	open	—	03-21 09:03
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$553	282	282	+0	No	+$0	03-20 12:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$368	203	203	+0	open	—	04-23 20:21
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$276	0	280	-280	open	—	03-24 18:31
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	03-25 13:14
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$208	114	114	+0	open	—	04-24 18:34
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	5	$204	115	115	+0	open	—	04-26 23:09
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$200	191	191	+0	Yes	+$13	04-24 15:36
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	3	$80	45	45	+0	open	—	04-27 09:12
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$53	236	236	+0	open	—	04-25 09:48
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$51	465	465	+0	open	—	03-23 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 09:12:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	Yes	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xe44dd7…
04-27 09:12:44	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	Yes	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0xceaa52…
04-27 07:43:58	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of April?	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x0257b5…
04-26 23:09:26	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0x31386f…
04-26 23:09:26	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x1e3f89…
04-26 20:35:54	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$54	0xc8d06a…
04-26 20:35:54	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xbdccf1…
04-26 20:35:54	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb3e935…
04-25 09:48:12	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	236	10¢	$24	0x7fa955…
04-25 04:26:52	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	134	12¢	$16	0xfc3334…
04-25 04:26:52	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	102	12¢	$12	0x25ca4f…
04-24 18:34:06	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	114	94¢	$107	0xce7e98…
04-24 16:41:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	114	89¢	$101	0x5bf00c…
04-24 15:36:48	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	191	56¢	$106	0x19542d…
04-24 11:31:14	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	191	49¢	$94	0x1479cf…
04-23 20:21:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	97	93¢	$91	0x8aa57a…
04-23 17:03:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0x4a5fd4…
04-23 16:57:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	106	90¢	$95	0x09b803…
04-23 15:22:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	106	90¢	$96	0x167a40…
03-25 13:14:39	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x38dd24…
03-25 09:24:53	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa08c1c…
03-25 09:24:17	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x78409d…
03-24 18:31:35	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	280	98¢	$276	0x5cc6e6…
03-24 03:28:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x6b8e98…
03-24 03:28:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x580ee6…
03-24 03:28:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	264	95¢	$250	0xfae578…
03-23 23:24:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	95¢	$304	0x27da95…
03-23 18:56:03	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	465	5¢	$25	0xe7a3fe…
03-23 16:46:21	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	276	5¢	$15	0xe5f48a…
03-23 16:46:21	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	189	6¢	$10	0x5a766b…
03-23 14:10:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0xe15b32…
03-23 11:12:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x345f2c…
03-23 11:12:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x112acf…
03-22 00:20:27	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	317	96¢	$304	0xd2f52a…
03-22 00:19:41	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	317	96¢	$304	0x1c98e7…
03-21 17:31:39	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	212	4¢	$10	0x0fa808…
03-21 15:56:45	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	212	4¢	$9	0x679ce6…
03-21 09:03:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xbeca93…
03-21 09:03:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	242	97¢	$234	0xa0137d…
03-21 05:33:47	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	286	97¢	$277	0x54a238…
03-20 20:48:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	316	96¢	$305	0x33d1e2…
03-20 19:33:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	316	96¢	$305	0x00fcc8…
03-20 12:29:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0xde7c50…
03-20 12:29:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	188	98¢	$184	0x69791d…
03-20 07:43:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf603f8…
03-20 07:43:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0x806bef…