Sociable-Mover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

190

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 08-27 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

87% 85% -$414

Crypto

13% 51% +$163

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on june 22 2026	4	$976	750	750	+0	Down	-$271	06-22 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	10	$795	1,420	1,420	+0	Yes	-$622	06-07 07:46
bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	1	$587	600	0	+600	Up	+$13	08-20 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	6	$579	600	0	+600	Yes	+$21	06-02 07:09
wti closes above 71 on june 24 2026	3	$534	410	410	+0	No	-$179	06-24 12:19
wti closes above 75 on august 4 2026	3	$500	300	300	+0	Yes	-$44	08-04 20:13
wti closes above 69 on july 10 2026	1	$500	521	0	+521	Yes	+$21	07-09 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?	1	$495	500	0	+500	Yes	+$5	06-05 20:23
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	4	$483	596	0	+596	Up	+$113	06-07 08:04
xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	9	$457	400	400	+0	Up	+$15	06-11 06:30
xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	4	$434	507	0	+507	Up	+$73	07-21 06:16
xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	7	$425	300	300	+0	Up	-$105	08-27 09:47
wti closes above 68 on july 8 2026	2	$393	412	0	+412	Yes	+$19	07-07 23:09
xauusd up or down on june 15 2026	2	$364	386	0	+386	Up	+$22	06-15 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	3	$357	320	320	+0	Down	-$43	08-24 04:50
wti closes above 66 on july 2 2026	4	$324	340	0	+340	Yes	+$16	07-02 01:54
spy up or down on june 18 2026	1	$320	400	0	+400	Up	+$80	06-18 02:53
xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	2	$314	332	0	+332	Up	+$18	07-14 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	6	$305	315	0	+315	Yes	+$9	06-09 07:02
wti closes above 69 on june 24 2026	1	$282	300	0	+300	Yes	+$18	06-24 12:48
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	2	$277	300	0	+300	No	+$23	06-07 20:50
bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	1	$274	300	0	+300	Yes	+$26	08-20 09:26
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 14?	2	$273	316	0	+316	Yes	+$43	08-14 09:52
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	3	$273	376	0	+376	Yes	+$104	08-05 10:04
wti closes above 68 on june 29 2026	2	$270	300	0	+300	Yes	+$30	06-28 22:56
wti closes above 66 on june 25 2026	1	$260	265	0	+265	Yes	+$6	06-25 00:10
xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	5	$258	225	225	+0	Up	-$117	08-27 09:45
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 9?	1	$254	351	0	+351	Yes	+$97	08-09 09:56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 16?	1	$237	300	0	+300	Yes	+$63	07-16 19:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	3	$236	290	0	+290	Up	+$54	08-26 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 09:47:16	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	90	53¢	$48	0x51065f…
08-27 09:45:43	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	92	31¢	$29	0x1aa83a…
08-27 09:45:09	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x75b2c1…
08-27 09:44:42	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x98fe15…
08-27 09:43:37	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x6ac0c6…
08-27 09:42:33	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	105	53¢	$56	0x27f9d7…
08-27 09:41:52	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x6210cb…
08-27 02:32:58	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	199	88¢	$175	0x243903…
08-27 02:09:49	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x20906e…
08-27 02:03:57	xauusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xe87dd8…
08-27 02:02:43	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa1966c…
08-27 02:01:25	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x378912…
08-26 12:40:21	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x88fa02…
08-26 12:39:46	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xa432ed…
08-26 12:29:19	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf9f3db…
08-26 01:37:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0xe0b674…
08-26 01:37:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	215	81¢	$174	0xd5ae08…
08-26 01:37:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x70cc2b…
08-24 21:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x25571c…
08-24 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	55	33¢	$18	0x4b131c…
08-24 04:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	265	52¢	$139	0x4040bf…
08-24 04:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	320	62¢	$200	0x1fde2e…
08-24 03:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xd6b189…
08-24 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xba7452…
08-24 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x6fc853…
08-24 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x3c3a78…
08-24 03:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x3c6857…
08-24 03:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xba9026…
08-24 03:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x95275c…
08-24 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xd7f9aa…
08-24 02:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x78a4b9…
08-24 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x93a77e…
08-24 01:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7d06ab…
08-24 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xedb840…
08-24 01:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xfe47ac…
08-24 01:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdd801b…
08-24 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb60d84…
08-24 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x21f4bb…
08-24 00:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd7e48…
08-24 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x758e70…
08-24 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x33b204…
08-24 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7fc26f…
08-24 00:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x10a73d…
08-24 00:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xadc913…
08-23 23:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc6768d…
08-23 23:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xf1a504…
08-23 23:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xab4018…
08-23 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1a37fa…
08-23 10:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x849503…
08-23 10:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x140cc0…
08-23 10:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5ffdf1…
08-23 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5dda91…
08-23 09:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3ceaa5…
08-23 09:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x61359c…
08-23 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa0f610…
08-22 00:24:28	will bitcoin reach 80k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x7b969c…
08-21 18:10:37	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4cd1a5…
08-20 09:26:09	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$274	0xada366…
08-20 09:19:45	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	600	98¢	$587	0x10df31…
08-14 09:52:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	81	86¢	$69	0x7f3cc0…
08-14 09:51:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	235	86¢	$203	0x101f08…
08-10 20:31:19	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x4c4058…
08-10 19:11:31	xauusd up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbd9136…
08-10 09:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x17f949…
08-10 09:54:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb795f3…
08-10 09:54:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb2817d…
08-10 09:52:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0xe7d2a0…
08-10 09:14:18	spcx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xec755c…
08-10 09:11:15	spcx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xb4c77d…
08-10 09:10:21	spcx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xe335ff…
08-09 09:56:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	351	72¢	$254	0x84343b…
08-07 09:55:10	xauusd up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0x1907ec…
08-05 10:04:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	76	81¢	$62	0x153fed…
08-05 10:01:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2ca38a…
08-05 09:58:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x9a0146…
08-04 20:13:42	wti closes above 75 on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	142	76¢	$108	0x870fd9…
08-04 20:12:27	wti closes above 75 on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	158	76¢	$119	0xd6d474…
08-04 19:13:33	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x3600d7…
08-04 13:03:54	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x57eaca…
08-04 12:58:12	wti closes above 75 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$272	0xfb9182…
07-29 08:47:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x515585…
07-27 22:29:27	wti closes above 89 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x581d4e…
07-24 10:06:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0xa91f39…
07-24 09:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	96	93¢	$90	0x9759a5…
07-23 10:01:37	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xa9d9ea…
07-23 10:00:19	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x988a60…
07-23 10:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0x530fb5…
07-22 01:40:30	xauusd up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6882da…
07-21 06:16:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 21?	Up	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x95d2cd…
07-21 06:16:19	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x01e058…
07-21 05:10:43	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x16fc60…
07-21 04:06:28	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	147	80¢	$118	0x668e22…
07-19 08:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x7d56ac…
07-18 23:53:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x1415d3…
07-18 23:27:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8ed135…
07-18 23:24:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x3e5995…
07-17 19:45:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xa7efdb…
07-17 19:38:37	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x5d628c…
07-17 19:10:22	wti closes above 75 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x4e6573…
07-17 19:06:36	wti closes above 77 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1a94bb…