Weary-Oldie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

6,857

Trades

32,908

lifetime

Volume

$243.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% +$19,197

Other

0% 25% +$255

Sports

0% 0% -$70

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+75	$10	13¢	$10	$0	09-23 19:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+48	$10	19¢	$9	-$1	09-23 19:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	+36	$20	2¢	$1	-$19	10-02 17:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	+91	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-02 17:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:20 UTC	89	$1.1K	2,174	+2,174	Down	-$254	07-29 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:55 UTC	30	$1.1K	1,184	+1,184	Down	+$106	08-02 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:20 UTC	36	$1.0K	1,478	+1,478	Up	-$1,030	07-25 11:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:20 UTC	24	$938	1,238	+1,238	Up	+$300	08-04 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:00 UTC	96	$847	3,163	+3,163	Up	-$847	07-25 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	19	$810	1,286	+1,286	Down	-$810	08-03 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:15 UTC	23	$799	976	+976	Down	+$177	08-01 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	21	$772	834	+834	Down	+$62	08-01 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:55 UTC	49	$751	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$258	07-25 10:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:40 UTC	28	$737	824	+824	Up	+$86	07-31 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:55 UTC	23	$736	774	+774	Up	+$39	08-03 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 13:20 UTC	21	$735	770	+770	Down	+$35	08-01 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	15	$734	772	+772	Up	+$37	08-04 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:55 UTC	13	$723	757	+757	Up	+$34	08-01 10:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:20 UTC	34	$713	932	+932	Down	-$523	07-30 02:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:10 UTC	19	$701	751	+751	Up	+$50	08-05 06:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:30 UTC	21	$698	905	+905	Up	+$207	07-24 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:40 UTC	28	$694	949	+949	Up	-$694	08-05 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	39	$677	951	+951	Down	-$233	08-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:35 UTC	15	$676	706	+706	Up	+$30	08-03 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 13:55 UTC	18	$672	706	+706	Down	+$34	08-01 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:55 UTC	13	$670	707	+707	Down	+$37	08-01 13:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 02:20 UTC	15	$669	836	+836	Up	+$82	07-25 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:00 UTC	17	$659	706	+706	Up	+$47	08-03 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:40 UTC	17	$656	713	+713	Up	+$58	08-01 14:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:15 UTC	7	$640	901	+901	Up	+$241	07-24 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:15 UTC	4	$636	738	+738	Up	+$102	08-05 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:20 UTC	19	$630	752	+752	Up	+$122	07-29 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:15 UTC	16	$630	656	+656	Up	+$26	08-02 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	30	$623	826	+826	Up	+$203	07-26 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1bde24…
10-27 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf57a74…
10-27 08:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x44115c…
10-27 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xabb2f9…
10-27 05:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa45a68…
10-27 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x46c733…
10-27 00:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x189644…
10-27 00:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x806fb5…
10-26 23:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc81c90…
10-26 23:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7679d8…
10-26 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfb5070…
10-26 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf24650…
10-26 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x50957a…
10-26 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x929faf…
10-26 16:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xaef377…
10-26 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7ff162…
10-26 16:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x37a805…
10-26 16:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x47f19d…
10-26 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc6eeff…
10-26 16:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3a03ef…
10-26 15:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4010ec…
10-26 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa9d0df…
10-26 15:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x443d3b…
10-26 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x74859b…
10-26 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2b8aaa…
10-26 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x434d3d…
10-26 14:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6f8d29…
10-26 13:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x260eae…
10-26 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6c2e40…
10-26 13:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4e6bc7…
10-26 13:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xab6b6c…
10-26 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8aac94…
10-26 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdbedd0…
10-26 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xff55c0…
10-26 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdba4ce…
10-26 03:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9f8c99…
10-26 02:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6726e3…
10-26 02:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xea4c70…
10-26 02:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7c93b6…
10-26 02:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5f5083…
10-26 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x672dc8…
10-26 01:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc2362e…
10-26 01:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x074c2f…
10-26 01:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x229f7e…
10-26 00:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd2c866…
10-26 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x37d652…
10-26 00:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd00c83…
10-25 23:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5ead27…
10-25 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x18df9a…
10-25 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x096d7c…
10-25 17:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc459b8…
10-25 17:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe7b9ff…
10-25 12:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc88bee…
10-25 09:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd7c7ac…
10-25 08:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb70c1b…
10-25 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x248657…
10-24 20:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe4e746…
10-24 19:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x400e68…
10-24 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x114a80…
10-24 18:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xef174b…
10-24 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x858bc4…
10-24 18:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xea6c8e…
10-24 17:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x691740…
10-24 17:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x37542f…
10-24 17:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6f9b01…
10-24 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0018d8…
10-24 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x17011c…
10-24 16:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbdc4b2…
10-24 16:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa9ee7d…
10-24 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xce0bcb…
10-24 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x106b40…
10-24 15:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6c1dfe…
10-24 14:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x73ee8e…
10-24 14:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x94900c…
10-24 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x77ccdf…
10-24 10:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc94775…
10-24 08:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x33f03f…
10-24 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc27fcb…
10-24 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x526122…
10-24 04:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x524f28…
10-24 01:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6dc8a8…
10-24 01:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x907aa1…
10-24 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1cfb5b…
10-24 01:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x63d427…
10-24 00:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x210a7f…
10-23 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x92ea98…
10-23 20:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe246c2…
10-23 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb7297a…
10-23 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9d5aa2…
10-23 18:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x16cc2d…
10-23 17:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6369c6…
10-23 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4bd792…
10-23 16:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9c7dd6…
10-23 16:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x636b3d…
10-23 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x764c71…
10-23 15:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2b7142…
10-23 14:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xca1aea…
10-23 14:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb6bbbd…
10-23 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x623113…
10-23 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf6be23…