Buoyant-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

505

Trades

1,249

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-19 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

75% 32% -$101

Crypto

24% 82% -$43

Politics

1% 50% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	9	$55	164	157	+7	No	-$4	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	10	$52	126	126	+0	Yes	+$11	03-13 13:58
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	37	$51	77	77	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	19	$49	32	32	+0	Yes	+$10	03-30 16:58
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	8	$47	35	35	+0	Yes	+$23	03-27 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	12	$39	105	101	+4	Yes	+$2	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	28	$39	92	92	+0	No	-$8	03-31 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	25	$36	98	98	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 18:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	8	$35	168	168	+0	No	-$4	03-10 15:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	24	$32	111	111	+0	No	-$2	04-01 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?	2	$32	23	23	+0	No	+$14	08-12 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	9	$31	108	103	+5	No	-$3	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	9	$30	41	41	+0	No	-$7	03-09 03:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	8	$28	110	110	+0	No	$0	03-10 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	2	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$10	08-12 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9?	2	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$10	08-09 21:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	21	$27	89	89	+0	No	-$1	04-01 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	10	$26	96	87	+9	No	+$15	04-25 03:48
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	10	$25	63	63	+0	Yes	$0	03-08 18:01
highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 19c	3	$25	81	78	+3	No	-$4	04-02 19:30
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	6	$25	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	03-17 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	2	$24	40	40	+0	Yes	+$18	07-29 14:46
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 200 219	2	$23	121	121	+0	No	+$1	03-06 18:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	6	$23	64	62	+1	Yes	+$5	04-13 01:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$3	03-06 18:07
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	7	$23	79	79	+0	No	+$9	03-09 03:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	9	$21	56	56	+0	No	-$2	04-01 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 28?	2	$21	15	15	+0	No	+$3	07-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 26?	2	$21	21	21	+0	No	+$3	07-26 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	2	$20	23	23	+0	No	+$2	07-31 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 03:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x0c9336…
08-17 23:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd1e9e0…
08-16 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x7ec40c…
08-16 11:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xa31ca9…
08-15 11:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0xb48ffb…
08-13 15:49:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x85c89d…
08-12 23:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x54b2ac…
08-12 23:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x102198…
08-12 23:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xd4e9ef…
08-12 23:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xb37cb1…
08-12 18:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xb23927…
08-12 18:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x409095…
08-12 18:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x731035…
08-12 07:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x2763a3…
08-12 07:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8e46ed…
08-11 15:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x851de8…
08-11 15:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x68185e…
08-10 07:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xccb7a2…
08-09 22:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8f82c8…
08-09 22:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x3b6f62…
08-09 22:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x815208…
08-09 21:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4bf629…
08-08 12:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xc27018…
08-08 12:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x148af8…
08-04 22:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x1e1aeb…
08-04 22:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x76607c…
08-04 22:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x48b161…
08-04 22:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xbd3a4f…
08-04 22:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x014aed…
08-03 04:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x42d2d9…
08-03 03:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x60b5c5…
08-02 12:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xab2005…
08-02 11:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x7b439e…
08-01 12:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$9	0xfd77bb…
08-01 12:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xacd6a0…
08-01 12:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xa8f38b…
08-01 11:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x8cde45…
08-01 10:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x5dcd4a…
07-31 23:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x79f173…
07-31 15:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	No	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0xe72521…
07-30 22:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xb71c64…
07-30 22:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0xf6d059…
07-30 17:15:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xf5336b…
07-30 07:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xe39264…
07-30 05:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	56	14¢	$8	0x2de916…
07-30 03:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?	No	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0xee7510…
07-30 03:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x3cbdc8…
07-29 23:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xbd2a9e…
07-29 23:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x62d657…
07-29 17:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x283c72…
07-29 16:03:29	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbe6ca7…
07-29 14:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xbd1ae4…
07-29 14:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x8559dd…
07-28 21:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x98fb22…
07-28 21:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0xb3d7c0…
07-28 01:49:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x71e9ca…
07-28 01:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 28?	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xf5c898…
07-27 22:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc1b433…
07-27 22:46:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?	No	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x54e159…
07-26 20:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 27?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x71ff91…
07-26 12:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x1dc8ce…
07-26 08:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xabcbcb…
07-26 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 26?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$12	0xb7d27b…
07-26 00:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 26?	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x1b6d13…
07-25 02:11:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0xbdd637…
07-24 22:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x0cf540…
07-24 16:27:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xaa658b…
07-24 11:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xac64ca…
07-24 03:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 24?	No	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xfdc0a2…
07-23 11:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3890eb…
07-22 12:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x7c61e0…
07-22 11:34:58	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x08f061…
07-22 11:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe4124e…
07-22 11:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7d5172…
07-22 11:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa77853…
07-21 21:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfd426f…
07-21 21:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd3d2b7…
07-21 21:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x266818…
07-20 18:59:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x2987fa…
07-20 18:59:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x0535f8…
07-20 18:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x88d05c…
07-20 18:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x69f284…
07-19 21:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xc954f8…
07-19 21:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x4da104…
07-19 21:45:18	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2ab083…
07-19 20:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xc9488b…
07-19 10:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8adb49…
07-18 23:20:21	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717132206212	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x44ca5f…
07-18 23:19:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa3783f…
07-18 23:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x625860…
07-18 06:39:07	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132724266	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb062ca…
07-18 00:06:36	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x61f72e…
06-14 00:29:07	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7d3427…
06-12 23:12:25	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe2b9c9…
06-12 00:25:18	Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x42f3a6…
06-12 00:22:33	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3c0ce…
05-31 03:12:44	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8a85b4…
05-10 03:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x946584…
05-09 08:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xed4f0d…
05-09 08:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6a584f…