Buoyant-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-14 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Crypto

30% 71% $-0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	9	$55	164	157	+7	open	—	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	10	$52	126	126	+0	open	—	03-13 13:58
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	37	$51	77	77	+0	open	—	03-31 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	19	$49	32	32	+0	open	—	03-30 16:58
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	8	$47	35	35	+0	open	—	03-27 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	12	$39	105	101	+4	open	—	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	28	$39	92	92	+0	open	—	03-31 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	25	$36	98	98	+0	open	—	04-01 18:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	8	$35	168	168	+0	open	—	03-10 15:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	24	$32	111	111	+0	open	—	04-01 16:05
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	9	$31	108	103	+5	open	—	04-05 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	9	$30	41	41	+0	open	—	03-09 03:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	8	$28	110	110	+0	open	—	03-10 18:25
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	21	$27	89	89	+0	open	—	04-01 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	10	$26	96	87	+9	open	—	04-25 03:48
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	10	$25	63	63	+0	open	—	03-08 18:01
highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 19c	3	$25	81	78	+3	open	—	04-02 19:30
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	6	$25	66	66	+0	open	—	03-17 16:18
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 200 219	2	$23	121	121	+0	open	—	03-06 18:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	6	$23	64	62	+1	open	—	04-13 01:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-06 18:07
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	7	$23	79	79	+0	open	—	03-09 03:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	9	$21	56	56	+0	open	—	04-01 18:08
highest temperature in san francisco on april 15 2026 62 63f	2	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-14 07:50
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	16	$20	77	77	+0	open	—	03-30 17:35
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	8	$20	59	38	+21	open	—	03-11 08:48
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	4	$19	51	51	+0	open	—	03-13 13:58
highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 90 91f	4	$19	29	28	+1	open	—	04-17 04:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	3	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	03-06 08:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	7	$18	42	42	+0	open	—	04-11 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 00:29:07	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7d3427…
06-12 23:12:25	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe2b9c9…
06-12 00:22:33	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3c0ce…
05-09 08:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xed4f0d…
05-09 08:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6a584f…
05-09 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc01e41…
05-09 04:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c7828…
05-09 03:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0912d2…
05-09 03:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x50dde8…
05-09 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0xd78932…
05-09 03:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd4216e…
05-08 15:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3a2606…
05-08 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa54d45…
04-27 16:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcd17c7…
04-27 09:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x81ecb2…
04-27 07:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x622d7c…
04-26 14:21:08	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xf709da…
04-26 14:20:58	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xacaf97…
04-26 13:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xbd69af…
04-26 10:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0c9ec2…
04-26 09:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x83b2d9…
04-26 09:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x7eae45…
04-26 04:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe98f87…
04-26 00:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa2e15e…
04-25 21:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd228fa…
04-25 13:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xb2c64b…
04-25 08:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x3ccd03…
04-25 05:59:44	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xe9cdd6…
04-25 05:59:38	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xdb8be7…
04-25 03:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x766652…
04-25 03:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7eddce…
04-25 01:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xf43893…
04-25 01:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x0f3876…
04-24 19:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xfae168…
04-24 16:26:54	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x9f6766…
04-24 16:26:28	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xf78397…
04-24 06:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xd8feb2…
04-24 04:01:52	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x94be1c…
04-24 03:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x0f5a14…
04-24 02:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x69332f…
04-24 02:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x6d110f…
04-24 02:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x8b6a81…
04-24 01:22:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x169676…
04-23 15:31:42	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x9a3e62…
04-23 13:05:44	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xa40416…
04-23 07:40:18	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x14c68c…
04-23 04:49:00	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x688132…
04-23 01:37:50	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x0719f8…
04-22 17:41:38	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x1f979d…
04-22 17:10:46	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xcd3553…
04-22 17:07:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x257d0c…
04-22 17:06:30	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5857ce…
04-22 10:33:50	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$2	0xdd2521…
04-22 07:49:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5d49a8…
04-22 02:58:42	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa1d894…
04-20 05:56:54	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6ca0e3…
04-19 12:36:02	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xfb6275…
04-18 07:44:26	highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0a14ad…
04-17 04:25:46	highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 90 91f	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xe82208…
04-16 16:17:36	highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 90 91f	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x4054d3…
04-16 14:30:12	highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 90 91f	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x035a97…
04-16 13:13:54	highest temperature in atlanta on april 16 2026 86 87f	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x8642b2…
04-16 05:22:28	highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 90 91f	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3c8cce…
04-15 13:56:26	highest temperature in atlanta on april 16 2026 86 87f	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x092321…
04-14 07:50:51	highest temperature in san francisco on april 15 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3cea1c…
04-14 01:24:19	highest temperature in san francisco on april 15 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb89387…
04-13 13:54:43	highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 21corbelow	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xc4bc9e…
04-13 05:01:43	highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 21corbelow	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x354b4e…
04-13 01:25:27	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0x96d6cb…
04-12 10:45:03	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0x4b4bac…
04-12 05:43:59	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x76c791…
04-12 04:27:01	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0x5d6c7d…
04-12 03:36:31	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x0fbe3f…
04-12 03:00:47	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4faf18…
04-12 03:00:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6fb0ad…
04-11 08:47:45	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe7275f…
04-11 08:47:15	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x97760f…
04-11 08:05:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x687a6f…
04-11 04:06:03	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xd2f175…
04-10 13:45:29	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x76ac6b…
04-10 10:59:15	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x737ce4…
04-10 10:58:13	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x327fc8…
04-10 10:57:43	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8dd19f…
04-10 01:24:49	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x89475e…
04-10 01:22:47	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x5edd86…
04-09 10:46:29	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 6corbelow	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$3	0x9b6fdd…
04-09 08:08:27	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 6corbelow	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xeb911a…
04-08 10:01:07	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 9 2026 33c	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x9addc0…
04-08 09:28:15	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 9 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb95194…
04-07 08:35:39	highest temperature in dallas on april 8 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7177e7…
04-07 08:23:55	highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xef4bec…
04-07 08:09:13	highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf8b23e…
04-07 01:22:47	highest temperature in dallas on april 7 2026 72 73f	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xd46743…
04-06 14:27:33	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x2392d9…
04-06 07:09:59	highest temperature in dallas on april 7 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8a7b82…
04-05 15:43:13	highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0xf50496…
04-05 14:50:25	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x787115…
04-05 14:07:17	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	19	39¢	$8	0x8b5e50…
04-05 01:33:51	highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x02148f…
04-05 01:33:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x73eb35…