Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,454

lifetime

Volume

$2.17M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$884

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-16 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

62% 68% +$63,147

Other

38% 62% +$18,155

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	502	$443.5K	488,358	114,159	+374,199	Yes	+$10,385	02-03 00:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	234	$258.5K	145,387	143,393	+1,994	No	+$16,022	01-31 19:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	286	$226.8K	187,075	162,862	+24,213	No	+$2,329	01-24 22:40
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$149.2K	150,000	0	+150,000	No	+$750	01-03 18:31
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	230	$134.0K	129,364	58,769	+70,595	No	+$25,247	01-30 02:39
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	7	$129.2K	100,000	32,308	+67,692	No	+$1,854	02-09 13:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	70	$77.4K	77,143	47,644	+29,499	Yes	-$2,583	02-28 12:44
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	23	$69.1K	70,492	0	+70,492	No	+$1,354	02-08 08:31
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$65.3K	66,661	0	+66,661	Yes	+$1,389	02-08 20:08
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$61.2K	61,306	0	+61,306	No	+$123	01-31 17:38
will seguro win all of portugals districts	81	$54.7K	49,648	16,082	+33,566	Yes	+$8,234	02-08 20:31
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	12	$53.6K	26,548	28,681	-2,133	No	+$760	01-30 11:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	125	$49.2K	98,389	94,024	+4,365	No	-$836	01-25 23:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	15	$44.3K	106,971	50,637	+56,335	Yes	+$10,595	02-08 12:17
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	54	$40.3K	24,794	24,793	+0	No	+$3,411	02-01 16:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$39.2K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$780	02-01 00:59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	51	$36.6K	28,383	38,292	-9,909	Yes	+$5,450	01-15 19:11
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	69	$31.1K	40,994	18,807	+22,187	Yes	-$2,213	01-30 06:36
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	72	$29.1K	33,633	0	+33,633	No	+$4,568	01-31 11:25
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	31	$28.3K	24,231	9,294	+14,937	No	+$2,850	01-15 14:17
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	18	$23.2K	28,257	0	+28,257	No	+$5,048	01-11 08:43
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	166	$18.6K	21,820	21,819	+0	No	+$693	01-15 10:24
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	24	$18.6K	19,447	0	+19,447	No	+$873	01-09 05:22
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	21	$11.7K	7,582	7,582	+0	No	+$678	01-15 12:51
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	49	$10.0K	57,251	57,251	+0	No	-$1,126	02-18 18:33
maduro out by february 28 2026	3	$9.1K	24,000	0	+24,000	Yes	-$9,120	01-03 08:23
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	7	$6.8K	7,316	0	+7,316	No	+$470	01-15 13:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$6.3K	4,087	4,087	+0	Yes	+$236	01-24 11:18
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	6	$5.5K	3,379	2,621	+757	No	+$87	02-18 23:33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	26	$5.4K	8,509	8,509	+0	Yes	+$1,350	01-15 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:41:57	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	1,059	5¢	$51	0xd55cda…
05-16 16:02:28	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0xfba7aa…
05-16 12:24:53	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	51	5¢	$2	0xd9229e…
05-16 07:34:00	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	26¢	$69	0xf1be40…
02-28 12:44:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0x4fbce4…
02-28 12:43:37	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5006b3…
02-19 02:41:46	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc7fd0e…
02-19 02:40:16	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x76347a…
02-19 02:03:02	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x49edad…
02-19 02:03:02	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1e220b…
02-19 01:57:28	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3613f5…
02-19 00:36:40	will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$2	0x27858d…
02-18 23:33:58	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	No	SELL	2,621	100¢	$2,619	0x0c99c5…
02-18 18:33:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	42,258	6¢	$2,535	0x853935…
02-11 13:39:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	24,359	1¢	$268	0xc972ac…
02-11 13:38:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	11,700	11¢	$1,287	0xa552ec…
02-09 13:06:03	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,800	0x7f8b09…
02-09 13:05:37	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x083bd3…
02-09 13:05:35	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0x21006c…
02-09 13:05:17	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	SELL	20,288	98¢	$19,882	0x8d9343…
02-09 12:56:29	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	20,000	98¢	$19,500	0x560a0a…
02-09 12:53:53	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	30,000	98¢	$29,250	0x91da97…
02-09 12:46:53	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	50,000	98¢	$48,750	0x99cca2…
02-08 22:01:35	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	522	7¢	$36	0x324217…
02-08 21:58:47	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	650	4¢	$26	0xe2c4cc…
02-08 21:55:39	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	1,752	1¢	$11	0x5dd996…
02-08 21:48:41	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x620056…
02-08 21:48:29	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0x335c5f…
02-08 21:48:15	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	290	6¢	$19	0xd53374…
02-08 21:22:29	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x81af97…
02-08 21:22:27	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xda9c6e…
02-08 21:21:53	will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	101	13¢	$13	0x99d969…
02-08 20:31:41	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	SELL	1,229	99¢	$1,222	0xbed622…
02-08 20:31:29	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	SELL	2,757	99¢	$2,740	0xb0e2af…
02-08 20:31:25	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	SELL	2,448	99¢	$2,433	0x4ed5af…
02-08 20:08:41	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd4b85…
02-08 20:06:27	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb875bb…
02-08 20:05:39	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1,317	100¢	$1,313	0x2e18c6…
02-08 20:05:35	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,910	0x08dc15…
02-08 20:01:25	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0xce45c8…
02-08 20:01:25	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	241	0¢	$0	0x74fb37…
02-08 20:01:25	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x53df23…
02-08 20:01:23	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xd466a1…
02-08 19:52:51	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	1,804	82¢	$1,479	0x519c34…
02-08 19:52:45	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xc12424…
02-08 19:52:33	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x53b57e…
02-08 19:51:21	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x770c69…
02-08 19:51:07	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	66	82¢	$54	0x2ad6e7…
02-08 19:51:01	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	383	82¢	$314	0xab54ab…
02-08 19:50:59	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	964	82¢	$790	0xb30666…
02-08 19:50:35	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	278	82¢	$228	0xce2176…
02-08 19:50:27	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	563	82¢	$462	0x19e489…
02-08 19:49:59	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x2f937e…
02-08 19:41:35	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	2,720	82¢	$2,230	0x3a57a0…
02-08 19:41:15	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	1,233	82¢	$1,011	0x8057c7…
02-08 19:40:45	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	520	82¢	$426	0x9c41f0…
02-08 19:39:59	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	2,374	81¢	$1,923	0xfc81cc…
02-08 19:39:55	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0587d7…
02-08 19:39:43	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	126	81¢	$102	0x9b56a2…
02-08 19:39:43	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	791	81¢	$640	0x864c4f…
02-08 19:27:41	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	1,512	77¢	$1,164	0x826a6a…
02-08 19:27:01	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x0e51ae…
02-08 19:26:59	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xa37a51…
02-08 19:26:57	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	213	77¢	$164	0xd0d155…
02-08 19:26:55	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x17dafd…
02-08 19:26:47	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	1,515	77¢	$1,166	0xa2536a…
02-08 19:26:45	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0x17c47e…
02-08 19:25:27	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	67	72¢	$49	0xd768d2…
02-08 19:25:25	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	740	72¢	$533	0x58a915…
02-08 19:25:17	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	103	72¢	$74	0xce0ca7…
02-08 19:25:07	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	2,131	72¢	$1,534	0xc1c20a…
02-08 19:23:31	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	143	75¢	$107	0x3caed4…
02-08 19:23:27	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	547	75¢	$410	0x23a421…
02-08 19:22:45	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	166	73¢	$121	0xdf9411…
02-08 16:27:35	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	9,621	82¢	$7,889	0x44a986…
02-08 15:56:29	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xfad35a…
02-08 15:54:51	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x28225f…
02-08 15:54:47	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	548	82¢	$449	0x3d4e13…
02-08 15:54:45	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x8a05d8…
02-08 15:54:17	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x28bebe…
02-08 15:48:03	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	652	82¢	$535	0x9bf3c3…
02-08 12:40:55	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	2,480	14¢	$347	0x8f3ede…
02-08 12:40:55	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	374	14¢	$52	0x30b434…
02-08 12:40:53	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd6a7c7…
02-08 12:40:23	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x1a0650…
02-08 12:17:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,995	84¢	$1,676	0x9b5f3a…
02-08 12:00:23	will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	3,319	38¢	$1,261	0x0b462d…
02-08 08:31:25	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	18,330	99¢	$18,183	0x81f9f1…
02-08 04:59:01	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	SELL	9,648	86¢	$8,297	0xd9fb3d…
02-08 02:27:29	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	15,000	99¢	$14,880	0xfb48a3…
02-08 01:42:33	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x7c7100…
02-08 01:36:15	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	1,629	99¢	$1,616	0xb5f54d…
02-07 17:06:11	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd16bbd…
02-07 17:05:43	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	16,862	99¢	$16,693	0x72e9a9…
02-07 16:55:11	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x206eca…
02-07 16:50:03	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	962	99¢	$952	0xe6dcd1…
02-07 16:41:25	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x49603a…
02-07 16:38:39	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	2,371	99¢	$2,347	0xebf006…
02-07 15:31:55	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xd95a57…
02-07 15:30:59	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	762	99¢	$754	0x56203d…