Old-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-01 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$0

Other

22% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$15

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-28 10:51
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-02 03:23
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-24 07:58
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-06 09:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	1	$98	99	+99	open	—	03-15 01:50
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-09 09:35
bitcoin above 72k on february 28	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	02-28 01:39
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-21 06:53
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-16 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-25 10:59
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-19 02:02
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-11 09:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	03-04 09:10
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	02-04 11:10
ethereum above 3500 on january 6	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-06 03:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 19	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-19 06:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 16	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-15 08:34
bitcoin above 78k on january 28	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-27 08:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 31	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-31 11:26
bitcoin above 98k on january 24	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-23 02:33
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-10 02:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	06-01 09:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	05-20 01:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	05-15 07:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$72	72	+72	Yes	+$0	05-13 06:18
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-13 07:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$35	16,181	+16,181	open	—	04-29 11:28
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$23	37	+37	Spurs	+$15	05-07 06:28
cbb gmsn geows 2026 02 13	1	$20	35	+35	open	—	02-13 07:53
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 560 579	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	02-13 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 09:26:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe8ab7f…
05-20 01:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x549dd1…
05-15 07:50:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3a0f5c…
05-13 06:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x1355ff…
05-13 06:09:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9d7ea…
05-13 06:09:26	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8bfa33…
05-13 06:09:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4300e4…
05-07 06:28:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0x44cd40…
04-29 11:28:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,181	0¢	$35	0x644fdc…
04-25 10:59:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4ea189…
04-21 06:53:02	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xcfd51b…
04-16 03:07:52	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xdf1309…
04-11 09:06:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x458bfd…
04-11 09:06:33	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773004…
04-11 09:06:23	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8fc18…
04-06 09:44:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x326079…
04-02 03:23:19	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x21c940…
03-28 10:51:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x24de0d…
03-24 07:58:15	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3cdeed…
03-19 02:02:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xec640d…
03-19 02:01:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 840 879	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7097dc…
03-15 01:50:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x992622…
03-09 09:35:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x95a3c2…
03-04 09:10:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x291317…
02-28 01:39:33	bitcoin above 72k on february 28	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xd4a8f0…
02-13 07:57:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 560 579	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2987b5…
02-13 07:57:01	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x385d49…
02-13 07:53:49	cbb gmsn geows 2026 02 13	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x791f7f…
02-04 11:10:38	bitcoin above 88k on february 5	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd6db5e…
01-31 11:26:12	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x12bf9c…
01-27 08:07:53	bitcoin above 78k on january 28	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc7b66e…
01-23 02:33:32	bitcoin above 98k on january 24	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc56eff…
01-23 02:33:20	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4ba3c…
01-19 06:48:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 19	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc90f4e…
01-15 08:34:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 16	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x30b033…
01-15 08:34:22	will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x700401…
01-15 08:34:14	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebf6e4…
01-10 02:51:54	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7f5f45…
01-06 03:52:37	ethereum above 3500 on january 6	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x352bcd…