Flawless-Bias — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$435

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-5

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$5	6	5	+1	open	—	05-14 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:01:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbe9030…
05-15 13:00:15	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xd845a5…
05-15 12:31:26	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x799418…
05-15 12:30:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e4fdc…
05-15 12:10:40	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x912933…
05-15 12:10:34	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xe5a9d8…
05-15 12:10:29	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x6e3068…
05-15 12:10:15	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x91bafa…
05-15 12:10:13	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc84ca2…
05-15 11:56:24	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x012432…
05-15 11:55:12	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x434ba1…
05-15 11:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe6a794…
05-15 11:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6bfc88…
05-15 11:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x06bc35…
05-15 11:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb31aaa…
05-15 10:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x1077e5…
05-15 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf50600…
05-15 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7bf89b…
05-15 10:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x2ace49…
05-15 10:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe97dd9…
05-15 10:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x431ad2…
05-15 10:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc94c6b…
05-15 10:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x38a366…
05-15 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x76ffc5…
05-15 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xab3f9d…
05-15 09:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x013042…
05-15 09:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x102faf…
05-15 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xd79d08…
05-15 09:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x4746c1…
05-15 09:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x909406…
05-15 09:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xadc81e…
05-15 08:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x44749f…
05-15 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc1cfb8…
05-15 08:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x17de8e…
05-15 08:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x53eabe…
05-15 08:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc797bf…
05-15 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x56ede2…
05-15 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x4de0ae…
05-15 08:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9e266d…
05-15 08:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x5783a4…
05-15 08:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x05d7fe…
05-15 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xef7850…
05-15 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2bacb3…
05-15 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1ae956…
05-15 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x0ab64c…
05-15 07:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc5d656…
05-15 07:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x70e084…
05-15 07:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xb6a23f…
05-15 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x558d71…
05-15 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x608fc8…
05-15 07:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x26b700…
05-15 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8dc3a0…
05-15 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe5c1bb…
05-15 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xbe8b51…
05-15 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x24310a…
05-15 07:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdd7d5e…
05-15 07:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xb6de3c…
05-15 07:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdee267…
05-15 06:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x52c1d7…
05-15 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xccf491…
05-15 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x044516…
05-15 06:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2b7531…
05-15 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa4b461…
05-15 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x264ae7…
05-15 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x0aaea3…
05-15 06:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf2de08…
05-15 06:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x14e8b9…
05-15 06:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xbac31a…
05-15 06:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x892631…
05-15 06:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xeffe6e…
05-15 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x22052c…
05-15 06:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x1b927e…
05-15 06:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3378c2…
05-15 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x112df5…
05-15 05:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xd2886f…
05-15 05:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x830d23…
05-15 05:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x786725…
05-15 05:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x2b7ca8…
05-15 05:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xdde321…
05-15 05:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8f92c6…
05-15 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xff868b…
05-15 05:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb9977…
05-15 05:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x70b09c…
05-15 04:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbb1b20…
05-15 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6033eb…
05-15 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x32e168…
05-15 04:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x7f4139…
05-15 04:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc4e511…
05-15 04:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x9e033d…
05-15 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1c9130…
05-15 04:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x3753ac…
05-15 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x35bf3b…
05-15 04:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9e3503…
05-15 04:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xb689ec…
05-15 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0943da…
05-15 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x25a8ba…
05-15 03:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x1b0829…
05-15 03:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x63831f…
05-15 03:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x84c3a7…
05-15 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9dfc7a…