Self-Assured-Neglect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

666

lifetime

Volume

$678

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-12 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 222 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	9	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-02 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$7	55	17	+38	Up	$-3	05-05 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	8	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$4	9	8	+1	open	—	04-27 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	6	$4	37	4	+33	open	—	04-30 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 07:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x49cb5d…
05-12 10:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xb3dcb0…
05-12 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa0f1c9…
05-12 10:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x79aaa2…
05-12 10:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x79d45e…
05-12 09:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x5d198d…
05-12 09:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb09fa9…
05-12 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x758e40…
05-12 08:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x79c83f…
05-12 08:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3f6f35…
05-12 08:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x0bd677…
05-12 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x54b7b0…
05-08 10:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xcf288c…
05-08 10:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdd30a6…
05-08 10:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x0100e8…
05-08 10:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4160d0…
05-08 10:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x85806e…
05-08 10:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xd9ffb9…
05-08 10:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfd221…
05-08 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x614783…
05-08 09:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x59b0c6…
05-08 09:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x3c1d13…
05-08 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x98eca7…
05-08 09:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb45495…
05-08 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb1dd50…
05-08 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa58d8f…
05-08 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xfa0545…
05-08 09:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7dbbe4…
05-08 09:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadd243…
05-08 09:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2da91b…
05-07 09:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35fb1b…
05-07 09:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfb2741…
05-07 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcdb8ca…
05-07 09:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x68ab98…
05-07 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed5c3f…
05-07 08:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xc74bb4…
05-07 08:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x98afeb…
05-07 08:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9a28a6…
05-07 08:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x13e03c…
05-07 08:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b9ed1…
05-07 08:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x61ce6f…
05-07 08:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x703ef7…
05-07 08:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xf4277c…
05-07 08:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x766072…
05-07 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8dae65…
05-07 08:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbe0635…
05-07 08:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x21bc73…
05-07 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x84fd97…
05-07 08:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc46490…
05-07 08:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x14b34d…
05-07 08:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3263f4…
05-07 08:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xb735c5…
05-07 08:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x494ae9…
05-07 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0c901…
05-07 08:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x6c3a29…
05-07 08:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd42be…
05-07 08:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x22b9f8…
05-07 08:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x459593…
05-07 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xee51bf…
05-07 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xed4e74…
05-07 08:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x52cbe3…
05-07 08:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x982799…
05-05 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4eb5af…
05-05 13:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0bc96f…
05-05 13:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x8a6120…
05-05 13:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x33dc8a…
05-05 13:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x8860fb…
05-05 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc07a02…
05-05 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x8a88aa…
05-05 13:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5148a3…
05-05 12:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x93c3c8…
05-05 12:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb52366…
05-05 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x55991d…
05-05 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9adbe4…
05-05 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc8c8c4…
05-05 12:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0e045d…
05-05 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xdf6811…
05-05 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc1a7be…
05-05 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf699e7…
05-05 11:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd512b7…
05-05 11:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x45fc6b…
05-05 11:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf47ede…
05-05 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc83517…
05-05 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9912a7…
05-05 11:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39bb0d…
05-05 10:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xf47b43…
05-05 10:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd53d61…
05-05 10:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x10a367…
05-05 10:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d7148…
05-05 10:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xaea10e…
05-05 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x07b391…
05-05 10:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x98d273…
05-05 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2d4a06…
05-04 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x4252aa…
05-04 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe691e4…
05-04 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x928df0…
05-04 18:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x586d0d…
05-04 18:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xcac8c4…
05-04 18:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x08e146…
05-04 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4449d…