Watchful-Severity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,742

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-06 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% $-5

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773950400	8	$71	78	77	+1	open	—	03-19 20:04
btc updown 5m 1775614800	9	$66	67	40	+27	open	—	04-08 02:25
btc updown 5m 1774826400	4	$64	51	28	+24	open	—	03-29 23:24
btc updown 5m 1773956700	13	$61	62	61	+1	open	—	03-19 21:49
btc updown 5m 1773958800	10	$59	40	39	+0	open	—	03-19 22:24
btc updown 5m 1773964200	7	$50	46	35	+11	open	—	03-19 23:54
btc updown 5m 1773962100	8	$49	34	33	+0	open	—	03-19 23:18
btc updown 5m 1773939900	8	$48	34	34	+0	open	—	03-19 17:08
btc updown 5m 1775586300	8	$45	31	26	+5	open	—	04-07 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774826100	4	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-29 23:19
btc updown 5m 1775601300	3	$41	26	25	+1	open	—	04-07 22:39
btc updown 5m 1773958500	4	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	03-19 22:20
btc updown 5m 1774901400	2	$41	22	21	+0	open	—	03-30 20:15
btc updown 5m 1774899000	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-30 19:34
btc updown 5m 1774901100	2	$40	21	20	+0	open	—	03-30 20:09
btc updown 5m 1775586000	6	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	04-07 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773949200	6	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	03-19 19:44
btc updown 5m 1773954900	6	$37	25	24	+0	open	—	03-19 21:19
btc updown 5m 1773957900	5	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 22:09
btc updown 5m 1773944700	7	$35	24	23	+0	open	—	03-19 18:29
btc updown 5m 1773965400	4	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 00:14
btc updown 5m 1776088200	5	$33	21	20	+0	open	—	04-13 13:53
btc updown 15m 1773419400	7	$33	42	26	+15	open	—	03-13 16:42
btc updown 5m 1773961800	6	$33	26	25	+1	open	—	03-19 23:15
btc updown 5m 1775606400	5	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 00:04
btc updown 5m 1774893000	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 17:54
btc updown 5m 1773939600	10	$31	25	24	+0	open	—	03-19 17:04
btc updown 5m 1774827000	6	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	03-29 23:34
btc updown 5m 1773949500	6	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	03-19 19:48
btc updown 5m 1774926000	8	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 22:29:07	btc updown 5m 1783376700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19bca2…
07-04 01:19:26	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ff038…
07-04 01:18:41	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x5df611…
07-04 00:18:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x2e3930…
07-04 00:13:28	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xabea67…
06-28 19:47:55	cs2 ice ace1 2026 06 28	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x015ea0…
06-28 19:35:50	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf482cb…
06-27 23:02:34	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2cec2d…
06-27 22:07:34	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e61e3…
06-27 22:04:52	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xce5d17…
06-27 21:40:56	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x414d71…
06-27 21:20:53	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x48515b…
06-26 00:03:35	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x83e7df…
06-26 00:03:11	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x72c652…
06-24 16:01:19	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x465d58…
06-24 16:00:14	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x37c23d…
06-22 10:57:25	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts first half	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5f8239…
06-22 10:53:05	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1c7113…
06-21 19:25:14	mlb mil atl 2026 06 21	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9de066…
06-21 19:24:44	mlb cws det 2026 06 21	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6a5218…
06-19 16:34:40	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4e04b0…
06-19 16:34:08	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x063679…
06-19 16:33:29	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xf78057…
06-19 16:33:20	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb39dd6…
06-19 12:21:50	btc updown 5m 1781871600	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x41e8c1…
06-19 12:21:34	btc updown 5m 1781871600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb7475e…
06-04 16:27:48	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc78530…
06-04 16:26:58	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2c22dc…
06-04 16:25:49	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x6a8380…
06-04 16:25:39	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b3488…
06-04 16:19:42	btc updown 5m 1780589700	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ab60f…
06-04 16:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780589700	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xa3bcbd…
06-04 16:18:37	btc updown 5m 1780589700	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x38a260…
06-04 16:18:10	btc updown 5m 1780589700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6e1033…
06-04 13:09:33	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x44c147…
06-04 13:09:06	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb8a35e…
06-04 12:59:24	btc updown 5m 1780577700	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e4aec…
06-04 12:54:27	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x34dd13…
06-04 12:38:30	btc updown 5m 1780576500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb3961f…
06-04 12:29:54	btc updown 5m 1780575900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x629bec…
06-04 11:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780573800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x383c0e…
06-04 11:34:21	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc7e61…
06-04 11:28:57	btc updown 5m 1780572300	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd08318…
06-04 11:24:00	btc updown 5m 1780572000	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf8485b…
06-04 10:59:46	btc updown 5m 1780570500	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb78807…
06-04 10:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780569600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5211ce…
06-04 10:39:18	btc updown 5m 1780569300	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x07e411…
06-03 22:58:48	btc updown 5m 1780527300	Down	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0xa3bd0d…
06-03 22:58:22	btc updown 5m 1780527300	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x40ff5e…
06-03 22:48:33	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb489d2…
06-03 22:48:03	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa2405…
06-03 22:47:21	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xbba11f…
06-03 22:46:57	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5d910d…
06-03 22:33:28	btc updown 5m 1780525800	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x42b8a2…
06-03 22:30:00	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fe45b…
06-03 22:29:22	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x178eb5…
06-03 22:28:30	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x124f60…
06-03 22:08:40	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x97d289…
06-03 22:08:25	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x471bb9…
06-03 21:58:57	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x56e8cd…
06-03 21:44:30	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x78c62b…
06-03 21:44:12	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x046b98…
06-03 21:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x048aa1…
06-03 21:33:37	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8e0c43…
06-03 20:58:37	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa302f6…
06-03 20:58:28	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdbe9bf…
06-03 20:55:04	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce1fc2…
06-03 20:54:39	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x30edf5…
06-03 19:34:37	btc updown 5m 1780515000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8b3f2…
06-03 18:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f2c88…
06-03 18:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x187d8c…
06-03 18:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf33c6a…
06-03 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x503132…
06-03 17:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50950e…
06-03 17:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1e63d7…
06-03 17:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x922c26…
06-03 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x061bfd…
06-03 17:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0x4f4a3f…
06-03 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd3a736…
06-03 17:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x736384…
06-03 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe56a17…
06-03 17:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x163ece…
06-03 16:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x891180…
06-03 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x791f9e…
06-03 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x49472e…
06-03 16:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x217601…
06-03 15:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4596d…
06-03 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb80fbf…
06-03 15:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x732200…
06-03 15:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x391838…
06-03 15:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd2ed92…
06-03 15:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x08de17…
06-03 14:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1b2c72…
06-03 14:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6fc715…
06-03 14:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x3cea65…
06-03 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xdac47f…
06-03 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x88ea42…
06-03 14:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86fdba…
06-03 13:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x737640…
06-03 13:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb84273…