Twin-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,456

lifetime

Volume

$8.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-07 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773713400	2	$241	233	230	+3	open	—	03-17 02:11
btc updown 5m 1773777300	1	$113	209	0	+209	open	—	03-17 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773588300	2	$107	76	75	+1	open	—	03-15 15:30
btc updown 5m 1773777000	1	$66	132	0	+132	open	—	03-17 19:48
btc updown 5m 1773715200	1	$65	130	0	+130	open	—	03-17 02:37
btc updown 5m 1773712800	1	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	03-17 01:57
btc updown 5m 1773615900	2	$56	41	40	+1	open	—	03-15 23:10
btc updown 5m 1775933700	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-11 18:53
btc updown 5m 1777047600	3	$36	64	18	+47	open	—	04-24 16:23
btc updown 5m 1773576900	2	$35	34	34	+0	open	—	03-15 12:17
btc updown 5m 1773776700	1	$33	66	0	+66	open	—	03-17 19:44
btc updown 5m 1773712200	1	$32	65	0	+65	open	—	03-17 01:48
btc updown 5m 1773627000	1	$32	89	0	+89	open	—	03-16 02:11
btc updown 5m 1773722100	1	$32	73	0	+73	open	—	03-17 04:35
btc updown 5m 1775932500	1	$29	56	0	+56	open	—	04-11 18:33
btc updown 5m 1776979500	7	$28	31	30	+1	open	—	04-23 21:29
btc updown 5m 1773603600	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	03-15 19:45
btc updown 5m 1773523200	2	$25	18	17	+0	open	—	03-14 21:25
btc updown 5m 1775933400	1	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	04-11 18:49
btc updown 5m 1773592800	2	$24	17	16	+0	open	—	03-15 16:45
btc updown 5m 1773428100	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET	16	$23	45	2	+43	open	—	04-30 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	16	$23	35	16	+19	open	—	04-30 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$23	27	0	+27	open	—	04-25 20:33
btc updown 5m 1773605100	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-15 20:10
btc updown 5m 1773567900	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-15 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$22	44	0	+44	open	—	04-28 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	8	$22	43	2	+41	open	—	04-29 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776978900	2	$21	23	22	+0	open	—	04-23 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 15:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x64698e…
05-07 15:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x504d34…
05-07 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc8c938…
05-06 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8d080…
05-06 01:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x55d54c…
05-05 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x509503…
05-05 10:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0c5ff…
05-05 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2c8226…
05-05 10:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb2ff83…
05-05 10:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x031aba…
05-05 01:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xba7899…
05-04 11:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea7da9…
05-04 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2bf377…
05-04 05:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe792d…
05-04 02:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x32a1d0…
05-04 02:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd6fed0…
05-04 02:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd938b0…
05-04 00:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5547b1…
05-03 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8d8a1e…
05-03 02:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf06dcc…
05-03 01:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x848f27…
05-03 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb04e3b…
05-03 00:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a7c46…
05-02 01:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x94d122…
05-02 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe26f21…
05-01 03:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc9c1fb…
05-01 03:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3f910e…
05-01 03:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc66974…
05-01 03:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x80d42d…
05-01 03:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc610fb…
05-01 03:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7fb007…
05-01 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbc91e6…
05-01 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd14e0a…
05-01 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88dca1…
05-01 02:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x95cd6d…
05-01 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x985dd7…
05-01 02:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x11b02d…
05-01 02:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b5f9c…
05-01 02:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9d36fe…
05-01 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf20eca…
05-01 01:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x24ad17…
05-01 01:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3db08c…
05-01 01:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5a90e8…
05-01 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc7be1b…
05-01 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3edcfa…
05-01 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb5bf6d…
05-01 01:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf5240f…
05-01 01:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c2599…
05-01 01:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x83f596…
05-01 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x749d04…
05-01 00:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x639c9f…
05-01 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f5236…
05-01 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2b7fb2…
05-01 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0c9f45…
05-01 00:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdd8663…
05-01 00:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x03a500…
05-01 00:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa4c76f…
05-01 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0308c0…
05-01 00:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9587ac…
04-30 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1aaf9d…
04-30 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x62afd8…
04-30 23:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x31bb07…
04-30 23:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4bd192…
04-30 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc9653b…
04-30 23:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x50e56d…
04-30 23:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x857351…
04-30 23:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0308ec…
04-30 23:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x55e853…
04-30 23:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x64e3e8…
04-30 23:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x19c60c…
04-30 23:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8ab95c…
04-30 23:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe6e5e6…
04-30 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8341e8…
04-30 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x434fec…
04-30 22:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3b3d8f…
04-30 22:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2f40ba…
04-30 22:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xea3550…
04-30 22:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6b96e5…
04-30 22:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35488e…
04-30 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2261f2…
04-30 22:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x9e602c…
04-30 22:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x93c595…
04-30 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xca6662…
04-30 22:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x617b36…
04-30 22:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3a243d…
04-30 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8dfa9e…
04-30 22:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x854067…
04-30 22:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb3c33a…
04-30 22:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa2b654…
04-30 22:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c20a0…
04-30 21:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x47e12c…
04-30 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9d96a5…
04-30 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x3d73b7…
04-30 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x22abcb…
04-30 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1ba01d…
04-30 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9ed53d…
04-30 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x08aac6…
04-30 21:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8758f0…
04-30 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcbcb1a…
04-30 12:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x651649…