Runny-Laugh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-09 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-1

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776720300	6	$191	116	114	+2	open	—	04-20 21:31
btc updown 5m 1776711900	4	$93	54	52	+2	open	—	04-20 19:10
btc updown 5m 1776712500	4	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	04-20 19:20
btc updown 5m 1776694800	3	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	04-20 14:23
btc updown 5m 1776720600	3	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	04-20 21:33
btc updown 5m 1776713100	2	$76	43	42	+1	open	—	04-20 19:30
btc updown 5m 1776721200	2	$71	43	42	+1	open	—	04-20 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776712800	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 19:25
btc updown 5m 1776709500	2	$66	41	40	+1	open	—	04-20 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$63	235	43	+192	open	—	04-26 19:25
btc updown 5m 1776714900	4	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 20:01
btc updown 5m 1776719400	2	$58	35	34	+1	open	—	04-20 21:13
btc updown 5m 1776725100	3	$56	38	36	+1	open	—	04-20 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776709800	3	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 18:36
btc updown 5m 1781025900	4	$52	29	29	+0	open	—	06-09 17:30
btc updown 5m 1781026800	3	$48	38	38	+0	open	—	06-09 17:45
btc updown 5m 1776724500	4	$46	34	33	+1	open	—	04-20 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776693000	2	$46	27	27	+1	open	—	04-20 13:56
btc updown 5m 1776719100	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	04-20 21:10
btc updown 5m 1781021400	4	$45	39	39	+0	open	—	06-09 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776713700	1	$42	482	0	+482	open	—	04-20 19:39
btc updown 5m 1776715200	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776724800	2	$33	26	25	+1	open	—	04-20 22:44
btc updown 5m 1776731100	2	$32	25	24	+1	open	—	04-21 00:30
btc updown 5m 1781025000	5	$31	43	26	+17	open	—	06-09 17:14
btc updown 5m 1776712200	1	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	04-20 19:12
btc updown 5m 1776612900	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-19 15:39
btc updown 5m 1776721500	3	$30	38	14	+24	open	—	04-20 21:48
btc updown 5m 1781008500	5	$29	63	51	+12	open	—	06-09 12:38
btc updown 5m 1776726300	4	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:14:03	btc updown 5m 1781028600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe68633…
06-09 18:11:39	btc updown 5m 1781028600	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x964988…
06-09 18:10:43	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xff40ce…
06-09 18:09:22	btc updown 5m 1781028300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c4198…
06-09 18:09:10	btc updown 5m 1781028300	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xee7901…
06-09 18:09:00	btc updown 5m 1781028300	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc7edeb…
06-09 18:00:18	btc updown 5m 1781028000	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe07b8e…
06-09 17:52:13	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeb76a8…
06-09 17:51:39	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x65d0cf…
06-09 17:50:45	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x69d100…
06-09 17:50:15	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47886b…
06-09 17:48:06	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x0ac2b7…
06-09 17:47:43	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x093c56…
06-09 17:46:45	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x691e08…
06-09 17:45:34	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x534b95…
06-09 17:42:42	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x212ef2…
06-09 17:42:25	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf8b024…
06-09 17:30:34	btc updown 5m 1781025900	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x03d346…
06-09 17:29:54	btc updown 5m 1781025900	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x160c1c…
06-09 17:29:48	btc updown 5m 1781025900	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9e7827…
06-09 17:27:28	btc updown 5m 1781025900	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x83f6f7…
06-09 17:23:30	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb13c6f…
06-09 17:22:04	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7c96f…
06-09 17:16:30	btc updown 5m 1781025300	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3f747a…
06-09 17:15:22	btc updown 5m 1781025300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc625b7…
06-09 17:14:46	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2a9cbd…
06-09 17:13:36	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	SELL	23	72¢	$17	0x86fa80…
06-09 17:12:45	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x77ac5a…
06-09 17:12:19	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x1f087e…
06-09 17:11:15	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x725218…
06-09 17:08:28	btc updown 5m 1781024700	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c25d8…
06-09 17:07:46	btc updown 5m 1781024700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xebddb9…
06-09 17:06:51	btc updown 5m 1781024700	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3076a9…
06-09 16:22:39	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe19c42…
06-09 16:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0e6dc4…
06-09 16:21:55	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xceac66…
06-09 16:21:45	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7ecc88…
06-09 16:21:06	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdeace8…
06-09 16:19:24	btc updown 5m 1781021700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe530fe…
06-09 16:19:22	btc updown 5m 1781021700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa5983d…
06-09 16:15:39	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xa0d96f…
06-09 16:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x120552…
06-09 16:12:04	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x439579…
06-09 16:11:48	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9ff7a3…
06-09 16:10:21	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x671dd0…
06-09 16:07:16	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x557693…
06-09 16:05:19	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9359d8…
06-09 16:02:54	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x38676c…
06-09 16:02:42	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x37a737…
06-09 16:02:31	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x13834c…
06-09 16:02:13	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x183c96…
06-09 16:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe77961…
06-09 15:59:57	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6bd2db…
06-09 15:55:21	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x32eb07…
06-09 15:54:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	186	3¢	$5	0xd91898…
06-09 15:19:49	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xfc074b…
06-09 15:18:28	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x036af5…
06-09 15:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x04e441…
06-09 15:16:40	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x88a571…
06-09 13:15:07	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdda953…
06-09 13:13:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$6	0x9a349b…
06-09 13:06:34	btc updown 5m 1781010300	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x83dad3…
06-09 13:06:07	btc updown 5m 1781010300	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x35900b…
06-09 13:05:51	btc updown 5m 1781010300	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe7fb71…
06-09 13:04:04	btc updown 5m 1781010000	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x253abc…
06-09 12:44:10	btc updown 5m 1781008800	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3e8258…
06-09 12:40:57	btc updown 5m 1781008800	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde5be6…
06-09 12:38:58	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1d44fd…
06-09 12:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Down	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xf09c44…
06-09 12:37:22	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe742ad…
06-09 12:37:06	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2146f1…
06-09 12:37:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2a7455…
06-09 05:07:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x8bc7d2…
06-09 05:07:21	btc updown 5m 1780981500	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x8317d9…
06-09 05:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780981500	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf0c0e0…
06-09 05:04:30	btc updown 5m 1780981200	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x7dd25c…
06-09 05:03:51	btc updown 5m 1780981200	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4b005e…
06-09 05:03:30	btc updown 5m 1780981200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x910f7b…
06-08 20:41:16	btc updown 5m 1780951200	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x356f5d…
06-08 20:40:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xb6f237…
06-08 20:39:01	btc updown 5m 1780950900	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x35f1f6…
06-08 20:38:03	btc updown 5m 1780950900	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3f9da1…
05-07 17:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x7385c9…
05-07 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbc3f0e…
05-07 02:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x30450a…
05-05 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3aee77…
05-05 20:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9868c7…
05-05 20:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x6c74db…
04-29 01:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1ca5e2…
04-29 00:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa551d5…
04-27 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x539665…
04-27 19:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4fe06a…
04-27 19:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x337032…
04-27 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc382e3…
04-27 19:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1c2895…
04-27 19:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3ea180…
04-27 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2a76a…
04-27 15:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbb4675…
04-26 22:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xd976e4…
04-26 22:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd863c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	115	$49.1K	7,846	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	115	$42.7K	6,439	06-09 18:13
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	115	$36.2K	10,278	06-09 18:14
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	114	$11.9K	2,778	06-09 18:11
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	112	$77.3K	12,918	06-09 18:14
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	112	$48.8K	2,140	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	112	$28.3K	1,145	06-09 18:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	111	$243.0K	11,204	06-09 18:15