Reckless-Chaise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

3,264

Trades

5,116

lifetime

Volume

$158.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$245

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Other

0% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 11am et	4	$627	526	526	+0	Down	-$176	08-21 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 06:30 UTC	2	$503	267	267	+0	Up	+$25	08-18 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC	2	$503	276	276	+0	Down	+$27	08-21 10:43
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 4pm et	2	$502	257	257	+0	Down	+$12	08-18 21:05
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 12pm et	2	$471	248	248	+0	Down	+$21	08-18 16:59
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 12am et	2	$460	241	241	+0	Up	+$20	08-18 05:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	2	$450	243	243	+0	Down	+$30	08-21 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:10 UTC	3	$438	254	250	+4	Up	+$42	04-23 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$432	322	322	+0	Down	+$32	10-23 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:30 UTC	3	$432	225	224	+1	Up	+$13	04-23 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 15:45 UTC	2	$426	236	236	+0	Up	+$30	08-18 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 11:45 UTC	5	$415	227	226	+1	Down	+$13	03-22 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:55 UTC	4	$414	242	239	+3	Up	+$17	04-24 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$410	213	213	+0	Down	+$10	05-15 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$392	269	269	+0	Up	-$8	05-15 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	4	$381	235	235	+0	Down	-$19	10-17 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$380	310	303	+7	Down	-$29	04-25 12:49
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 5pm et	2	$377	250	250	+0	Up	-$63	08-18 21:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 14:00 UTC	2	$373	196	196	+0	Up	+$3	08-18 14:13
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 3am et	3	$367	269	269	+0	Down	+$62	08-20 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$333	175	175	+0	Up	+$13	10-17 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:55 UTC	2	$320	226	223	+3	Down	+$124	03-24 06:00
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3pm et	9	$314	308	308	+0	Down	-$77	08-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$310	169	168	+0	Down	+$10	10-19 07:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 17:45 UTC	2	$310	162	162	+0	Up	+$10	08-16 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	2	$310	161	161	+0	Up	+$10	08-16 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$308	210	210	+0	Down	+$8	10-24 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$307	175	175	+0	Up	+$7	10-24 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$304	255	149	+105	Up	+$10	05-15 12:18
bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 5am et	2	$303	171	171	+0	Down	+$33	08-17 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbea6ca…
10-24 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	154	41¢	$63	0x7de8c6…
10-24 09:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x1efdc1…
10-24 09:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x924dc4…
10-24 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x08ae0d…
10-24 09:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	107	93¢	$100	0x16c894…
10-24 09:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x96e7ce…
10-24 08:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0d124a…
10-24 08:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	123	89¢	$110	0xbfcb5d…
10-24 08:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x36e3ad…
10-24 08:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	143	94¢	$134	0xaa9e64…
10-24 08:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x06ceb9…
10-24 08:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6d02b9…
10-24 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x44ed7e…
10-24 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x6aae48…
10-24 08:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x44c197…
10-24 08:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	133	78¢	$104	0x8b5988…
10-24 08:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x7d5321…
10-24 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	77	70¢	$54	0xb28b91…
10-24 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x58599e…
10-24 07:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x43b97d…
10-24 07:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	110	87¢	$96	0x1526db…
10-24 07:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x059d20…
10-24 07:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	112	95¢	$107	0x371bff…
10-24 07:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9bb7ab…
10-24 07:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	62	81¢	$51	0xa3d3d8…
10-24 07:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xa1cbd7…
10-24 07:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xf95b9c…
10-24 07:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	72	80¢	$57	0x405871…
10-24 07:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x314944…
10-24 07:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x38cd14…
10-24 07:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x1252aa…
10-24 07:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x4f0158…
10-24 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x429f77…
10-24 07:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0x48dc32…
10-24 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x0fe02c…
10-24 07:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0x92dfda…
10-24 07:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	79¢	$94	0x5203c7…
10-24 06:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xce5b4e…
10-24 06:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x56fc57…
10-24 06:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	68	78¢	$53	0x16469f…
10-24 06:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x726f10…
10-24 06:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	93	82¢	$76	0x36d5f4…
10-24 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa97aa8…
10-24 06:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9c7cab…
10-24 06:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfcc129…
10-24 06:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	78	80¢	$62	0xee22ec…
10-24 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd6af12…
10-24 06:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	64	27¢	$17	0x142e3a…
10-24 06:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xec3c34…
10-24 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd9c07e…
10-24 06:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xccacc5…
10-24 06:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xcb3d07…
10-24 06:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xd92c59…
10-24 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xb9fb54…
10-24 05:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x65e370…
10-24 05:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x37aaa3…
10-23 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	109	96¢	$104	0x13c6fb…
10-23 21:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x597601…
10-23 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0x4be40a…
10-23 21:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x548f74…
10-23 21:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	116	97¢	$113	0xf850c0…
10-23 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x303a35…
10-23 20:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x27a465…
10-23 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x4b08d4…
10-23 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xd42657…
10-23 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x215d4f…
10-23 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	147	89¢	$131	0x9bdd44…
10-23 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x5c2c5e…
10-23 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	123	82¢	$101	0xe0cc89…
10-23 19:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf283aa…
10-23 19:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	159	68¢	$108	0x23ec21…
10-23 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x694975…
10-23 19:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	149	92¢	$137	0x143028…
10-23 19:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x7ebcf7…
10-23 18:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xaa377d…
10-23 18:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2c625d…
10-23 18:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	123	91¢	$112	0xb1367c…
10-23 18:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xeb34a1…
10-23 18:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xd6a376…
10-23 17:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0xc178b3…
10-23 17:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x939f8b…
10-23 17:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	133	89¢	$119	0xc5efb5…
10-23 17:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x55e0a2…
10-23 17:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	189	60¢	$113	0xaf17eb…
10-23 17:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x4ddfe3…
10-23 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0x57f41c…
10-23 17:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x52baee…
10-23 17:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	64	59¢	$38	0xfc9ba7…
10-23 17:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x546b19…
10-23 17:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0xd1fc3f…
10-23 17:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xf6517d…
10-23 17:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x1cead9…
10-23 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xcabe50…
10-23 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	69	81¢	$56	0xe5db63…
10-23 17:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xf0e2e4…
10-23 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x004edc…
10-23 17:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x579b61…
10-23 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xc7f595…
10-23 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xadc851…