Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$272

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$518

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-04 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

47% 33% -$100

Crypto

32% 52% -$62

Politics

21% 0% -$110

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes		-28	-$9	91¢	$-25	-$16	05-01 11:14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes		-9	-$5	10¢	$-1	+$4	05-01 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	1	$118	0	213	-213	Yes	-$96	01-22 19:56
will germany strike iran by march 31	1	$60	827	0	+827	No	-$60	03-03 13:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$50	159	0	+159	No	-$50	03-03 14:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$2	04-22 18:04
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	7	$33	31	31	+0	Yes	+$18	03-11 12:09
r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	17	$24	25	15	+10	Certified Skids	-$11	03-11 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:05 UTC	2	$18	26	0	+26	Up	-$18	02-26 23:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:15 UTC	2	$13	14	14	+0	Up	-$7	02-26 23:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	02-26 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	02-26 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	1	$9	12	0	+12	Down	+$3	02-26 23:02
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$9	0	28	-28	open	—	05-01 11:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	3	$9	100	0	+100	Down	-$9	02-26 23:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	1	$8	125	0	+125	Down	-$8	02-26 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:15 UTC	9	$6	150	0	+150	Up	-$6	02-26 23:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	16	$6	580	0	+580	Up	-$6	02-26 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	04-24 18:04
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	1	$5	0	9	-9	open	—	05-01 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-01 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$0	05-01 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$4	375	0	+375	Up	-$4	05-01 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-02 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-02 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$3	310	0	+310	Up	-$3	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-02 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-01 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-01 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	05-02 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$3	14	0	+14	Up	-$3	05-02 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-02 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 01:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xee53da…
05-02 17:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd59ad1…
05-02 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xe3ed53…
05-02 17:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9902e7…
05-02 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x302faa…
05-02 14:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2b1f7d…
05-02 14:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xe9fe1d…
05-02 12:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x7b4836…
05-02 10:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x405168…
05-02 10:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x32aed4…
05-02 09:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x825ad4…
05-02 09:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x224097…
05-02 08:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdbeb5f…
05-02 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa912cd…
05-01 22:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	375	1¢	$4	0x9f3027…
05-01 22:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa5e22f…
05-01 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x09a6e2…
05-01 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x1a196b…
05-01 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xca566a…
05-01 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x50fad7…
05-01 18:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x838220…
05-01 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	310	1¢	$3	0x7f7dfb…
05-01 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6ee8ec…
05-01 12:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4e1143…
05-01 12:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2c1eb0…
05-01 12:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5d375…
05-01 11:14:44	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xa361df…
05-01 11:14:40	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x028aae…
04-24 18:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x31911c…
04-22 18:04:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcab904…
04-12 17:45:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x551f66…
03-24 09:49:03	highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x395ed9…
03-24 09:36:53	highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xbf2448…
03-24 09:36:41	highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x694ee4…
03-24 09:25:11	highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 69forbelow	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x7e00af…
03-11 23:59:11	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x013409…
03-11 14:44:41	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x642eac…
03-11 14:44:07	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2a8053…
03-11 14:43:47	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x26aafa…
03-11 14:43:47	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x00905e…
03-11 14:43:45	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfd931b…
03-11 14:43:45	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd62642…
03-11 14:43:45	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb41b67…
03-11 14:43:45	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x75c335…
03-11 14:43:23	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd7807e…
03-11 14:43:23	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd4523e…
03-11 14:43:23	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa3af1c…
03-11 14:43:23	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x27d7ac…
03-11 14:43:01	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9d1e0e…
03-11 14:43:01	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3dfcf6…
03-11 14:43:01	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2a0312…
03-11 14:43:01	r6siege skids dyv 2026 03 12 game2	Certified Skids	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1f4b83…
03-11 12:09:59	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0xe6c6e3…
03-11 03:40:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 11 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x4ebe09…
03-11 03:27:13	highest temperature in tokyo on march 11 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xf2e25a…
03-11 03:25:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 11 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x35af51…
03-11 03:22:15	highest temperature in tokyo on march 11 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3cb538…
03-09 09:00:17	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x8f07cb…
03-09 08:59:29	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2f1571…
03-09 08:59:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x1789ae…
03-09 08:56:55	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf777a7…
03-09 08:56:33	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7c187a…
03-09 08:56:17	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xfd5e3e…
03-06 01:04:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x93e77d…
03-05 01:03:33	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x9ddb63…
03-03 14:40:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 4 2026 10corhigher	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x619eb8…
03-03 14:13:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0x627232…
03-03 13:56:21	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	827	7¢	$60	0x47e4ca…
03-02 14:08:17	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x1af9aa…
03-02 02:30:55	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xce7259…
03-02 01:21:35	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x78ec7a…
03-01 22:24:09	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x20a755…
03-01 21:44:15	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x206d31…
03-01 15:20:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x46bef2…
03-01 15:19:23	highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2171b0…
02-26 23:35:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xac74be…
02-26 23:35:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa130c8…
02-26 23:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd7db15…
02-26 23:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x30bcbb…
02-26 23:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc32528…
02-26 23:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xba7e31…
02-26 23:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7d07d1…
02-26 23:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7624fc…
02-26 23:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x17d2db…
02-26 23:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xba245f…
02-26 23:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3b49e4…
02-26 23:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x262963…
02-26 23:35:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c7d48…
02-26 23:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa2db79…
02-26 23:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9423ce…
02-26 23:35:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xede3ce…
02-26 23:35:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc74495…
02-26 23:35:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x788f03…
02-26 23:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5f7581…
02-26 23:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xfa042e…
02-26 23:35:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3150c5…
02-26 23:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x401ce1…
02-26 23:35:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x367aca…
02-26 23:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2d398e…
02-26 23:27:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xff6276…