Scrawny-Apparatus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

826

Trades

1,490

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-25 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 66% -$98

Other

2% 40% -$184

Politics

0% 0% -$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 13:45 UTC	2	$765	429	426	+3	Down	+$73	03-09 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 22:45 UTC	2	$695	385	383	+2	Up	+$58	03-08 22:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 22:15 UTC	2	$639	385	381	+4	Down	+$112	03-08 22:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 14:15 UTC	2	$575	318	317	+2	Up	+$48	03-09 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 22:00 UTC	2	$531	307	305	+3	Down	+$68	03-08 22:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 14:00 UTC	2	$530	484	481	+3	Down	-$235	03-09 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 13:30 UTC	2	$502	278	277	+1	Down	+$43	03-10 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 04:00 UTC	2	$466	269	267	+2	Down	+$54	03-07 04:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:45 UTC	2	$463	388	385	+3	Down	-$145	03-10 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 13:45 UTC	2	$446	316	314	+2	Up	-$54	03-10 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 14:30 UTC	2	$406	225	224	+1	Up	+$34	03-09 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:00 UTC	2	$403	318	316	+2	Down	-$93	03-10 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 18:00 UTC	2	$398	220	219	+1	Up	+$33	03-06 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 10:30 UTC	2	$380	209	208	+1	Up	+$29	03-05 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:45 UTC	2	$380	218	216	+2	Down	+$42	03-06 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC	2	$366	204	203	+1	Down	+$33	03-06 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 12:30 UTC	2	$356	183	183	+0	Down	+$9	03-03 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:30 UTC	2	$352	194	193	+1	Up	+$27	03-05 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 04:00 UTC	2	$350	182	181	+0	Up	+$9	03-16 04:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:45 UTC	2	$348	199	197	+2	Down	+$40	03-06 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:45 UTC	2	$344	177	177	+0	Up	+$7	03-16 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:55 UTC	2	$341	178	178	+0	Down	+$11	03-16 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC	2	$339	202	200	+2	Down	+$55	03-06 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:30 UTC	2	$337	187	186	+1	Up	+$28	03-03 18:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:40 UTC	5	$337	175	175	+0	Down	+$9	03-16 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 15:15 UTC	2	$335	186	185	+1	Up	+$28	03-04 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 15:45 UTC	2	$334	185	184	+1	Down	+$28	03-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:45 UTC	2	$331	171	170	+0	Down	+$7	03-16 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:25 UTC	2	$328	170	170	+0	Down	+$7	03-16 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 09:30 UTC	2	$325	180	179	+1	Up	+$27	03-04 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 15:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe8f3ab…
07-25 07:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0xefcf8d…
07-19 21:20:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	76	70¢	$54	0x12ed2e…
07-18 05:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc3e15a…
07-17 20:33:21	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 17?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0e4604…
07-17 17:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdc5630…
07-16 20:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb486a0…
07-15 18:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 15?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x34904e…
07-15 17:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfb1a3b…
07-14 23:37:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x93746b…
07-14 23:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf245a0…
07-14 20:56:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 14?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x93d005…
07-14 16:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x102c79…
07-14 15:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 14?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94ceb1…
07-09 07:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x242393…
07-09 05:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xec3f09…
07-09 04:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x279d8c…
07-09 02:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x834355…
07-09 01:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0xc60d3e…
07-09 01:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x2bb597…
07-09 01:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x8cc642…
07-09 01:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x9b1738…
07-09 01:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xea20e1…
07-09 01:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xe0d241…
07-09 01:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xb2214d…
07-09 01:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xd6598e…
07-09 01:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x228717…
07-09 00:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x49a807…
07-09 00:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x4268c7…
07-09 00:25:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x19ef97…
07-09 00:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xa9940b…
07-09 00:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x661e8a…
07-09 00:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x26561b…
07-09 00:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe5b02f…
07-09 00:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x519a96…
07-09 00:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1,014	0¢	$1	0x6d2efe…
07-09 00:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcada80…
07-09 00:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2,375	0¢	$2	0xc75fea…
07-08 01:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$1	0x2d8429…
07-08 01:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc1dcad…
07-08 00:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x56bc48…
07-08 00:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x71ffbf…
07-06 22:16:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xc14248…
07-06 20:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0xfb7d3b…
07-06 19:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc877a9…
07-06 19:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x6c037d…
07-06 19:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeddcf3…
07-06 19:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x100396…
07-06 19:13:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x820c6e…
07-06 19:13:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb3c60a…
07-06 18:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x78aff6…
07-06 18:37:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xce8cbf…
07-06 18:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x4a57bb…
07-06 18:11:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0d68b8…
07-06 18:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x38b26f…
07-06 17:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b2035…
07-06 17:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x661eaf…
07-06 17:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x55cac1…
07-01 16:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$2	0x7cda7f…
07-01 15:39:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb53878…
07-01 15:39:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x4ff220…
07-01 15:39:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x009a64…
07-01 15:31:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcc641d…
07-01 15:20:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x36cb37…
07-01 15:20:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x59b785…
07-01 15:14:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x39da0b…
07-01 14:55:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd77b65…
07-01 13:30:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x523cc6…
06-30 14:13:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa89939…
06-30 14:01:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x2c1414…
06-30 13:44:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x6ab8cf…
06-30 13:31:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x144fd8…
06-29 13:31:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x7246b5…
06-29 12:01:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x55828d…
06-26 20:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x880ea3…
06-26 12:59:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x421b7c…
06-26 12:45:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xd3038c…
06-26 02:16:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x34503f…
06-25 14:08:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x04660e…
06-25 14:00:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x927045…
06-25 13:54:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x17df9e…
06-25 13:46:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x1453e0…
06-25 13:39:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x360aa0…
06-25 13:31:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x04e327…
06-24 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x73dab3…
06-24 20:01:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xdb9969…
06-24 13:41:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x93b63c…
06-24 13:41:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x88b0c6…
06-24 13:33:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xd33c9f…
06-23 08:41:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x1147c7…
06-23 08:32:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x9de27d…
06-11 17:44:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x88aa2a…
06-11 17:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x6aeb97…
06-10 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa219ff…
06-10 17:32:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xcdbd79…
06-10 15:05:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x0129a7…
06-10 15:01:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x6bcc7f…
06-10 13:40:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x66527c…
06-10 13:31:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x37647c…
06-09 16:59:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xcbf2b1…