Remorseful-Randomisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.95K

Unrealized P&L

+$299

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$32.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$3.50K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-30 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

55% 39% +$580

Politics

26% 100% +$695

Sports

20% 29% +$692

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,037	$2,200	80¢	$2.4K	+$244	10-30 09:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+723	$500	74¢	$539	+$39	10-30 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+610	$500	84¢	$515	+$15	10-30 08:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$5.0K	2,847	2,847	+0	Yes	+$695	04-12 19:34
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	9	$4.0K	2,246	2,246	+0	No	+$354	09-30 13:37
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$2.2K	3,037	0	+3,037	open	—	10-30 09:00
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.1K	1,232	1,232	+0	Yes	+$373	07-19 23:03
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	13	$1.4K	1,600	240	+1,360	Yes	+$418	10-17 14:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	15	$1.1K	2,442	1,393	+1,048	Yes	-$398	10-13 13:13
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	8	$1.0K	896	724	+172	No	+$74	10-05 17:42
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	2	$1.0K	1,065	0	+1,065	Mbappé	+$65	10-26 07:47
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	3	$970	1,270	0	+1,270	No	+$300	10-07 10:15
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	5	$970	1,192	0	+1,192	No	+$222	07-28 05:57
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	5	$950	1,378	0	+1,378	No	+$428	10-17 14:22
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$887	748	748	+0	Yes	+$483	07-15 21:35
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	1	$773	0	775	-775	Yes	-$2	05-05 11:28
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	6	$537	1,062	0	+1,062	Rodri	-$537	10-21 15:37
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$528	758	0	+758	No	-$528	06-25 04:03
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	2	$516	1,231	0	+1,231	Yes	+$715	06-22 05:17
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$500	877	0	+877	Yes	+$377	05-29 18:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$500	723	0	+723	open	—	10-30 08:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$500	610	0	+610	open	—	10-30 08:59
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	6	$460	1,643	0	+1,643	Mbappé	-$460	10-26 18:45
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	5	$431	481	286	+196	No	+$146	10-11 21:11
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	7	$341	306	306	+0	No	+$70	06-22 21:22
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	4	$323	361	167	+194	No	+$107	10-17 14:25
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	356	0	+356	Yes	-$300	07-14 22:15
Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	2	$300	395	0	+395	open	—	10-29 22:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	16	$297	1,394	123	+1,271	No	-$127	10-09 19:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	3	$275	170	170	+0	No	+$65	09-30 19:58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$208	189	189	+0	No	+$8	06-17 18:40
Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	1	$200	278	0	+278	open	—	10-27 02:27
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$200	327	0	+327	Spain	+$127	07-14 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:00:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	893	78¢	$700	0x4cc527…
10-30 08:59:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x6be81a…
10-30 08:59:12	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x631301…
10-30 07:58:15	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 15+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8b1701…
10-30 07:57:55	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 10+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xa85c5a…
10-29 22:19:27	Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0x9443ac…
10-29 22:14:48	Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe51ad8…
10-29 22:14:18	Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x53020f…
10-29 22:12:28	Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc703e2…
10-28 12:43:29	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0x5fb68f…
10-28 12:30:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xf3665c…
10-27 02:27:15	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x5e01a4…
10-27 02:07:05	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xffc397…
10-27 02:00:45	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	725	69¢	$500	0xfd6724…
10-26 18:45:32	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8dd871…
10-26 15:47:08	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0x70a021…
10-26 07:47:21	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x8bf4d2…
10-24 19:55:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x6d9a67…
10-24 19:47:05	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x3c6c52…
10-24 19:45:48	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	119	3¢	$4	0x653601…
10-24 19:45:35	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x718271…
10-24 19:37:51	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	196	25¢	$50	0x02d3a2…
10-23 21:49:15	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x7f5a0c…
10-21 20:19:17	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x789623…
10-21 15:38:27	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	758	33¢	$250	0xb8eda5…
10-21 15:37:05	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfdf690…
10-21 03:38:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x6777e2…
10-20 19:11:15	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x3fe0c3…
10-19 21:40:58	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc0adf9…
10-18 21:00:38	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0x646fac…
10-17 15:56:54	Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	422	1¢	$2	0x212a61…
10-17 15:56:17	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	993	1¢	$5	0x64ee7c…
10-17 14:25:05	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0xd7fe72…
10-17 14:22:05	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf049be…
10-17 14:21:23	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x917c91…
10-17 14:18:35	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	240	95¢	$228	0xba6ca2…
10-16 19:24:22	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x01bc7d…
10-15 21:18:14	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x973ac5…
10-14 15:47:30	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x18ada7…
10-13 14:30:29	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	904	66¢	$600	0xd575c2…
10-13 13:32:19	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?	Yes	BUY	176	28¢	$50	0xbd0a96…
10-13 13:31:05	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x4997bf…
10-13 13:20:46	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	550	9¢	$50	0x4914c8…
10-13 13:14:35	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x347c27…
10-13 13:13:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	1,393	27¢	$374	0x919727…
10-13 11:09:49	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xbcc936…
10-13 11:09:26	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x967777…
10-12 19:31:32	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x9ca45c…
10-11 21:12:13	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xfd3010…
10-11 21:11:17	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x473820…
10-11 21:10:07	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	289	69¢	$200	0x5e0e67…
10-10 03:28:50	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	92	56¢	$52	0x278225…
10-10 03:27:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0x5b0b6b…
10-10 03:27:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2922ba…
10-09 20:00:32	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	162	9¢	$15	0x6f7d49…
10-09 19:59:59	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0x20491d…
10-09 19:59:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x69c0e0…
10-08 19:45:56	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	267	7¢	$20	0x55e6c7…
10-08 19:44:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x3614a6…
10-07 20:41:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	693	14¢	$100	0x5e2309…
10-07 10:15:17	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	No	BUY	614	81¢	$500	0x6bd89f…
10-07 10:14:27	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	Yes	SELL	132	80¢	$106	0x899c5b…
10-07 10:14:00	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	167	71¢	$118	0x0c7779…
10-05 18:19:38	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	91	59¢	$53	0xa69389…
10-05 18:10:38	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x937348…
10-05 18:07:05	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	362	0¢	$1	0xa56b98…
10-05 17:53:32	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x18f9bb…
10-05 17:46:53	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x137d03…
10-05 17:42:53	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0xed960f…
10-05 17:41:55	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x6081bf…
10-05 17:25:29	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	993	0¢	$2	0x855ff0…
10-05 17:13:14	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x935020…
10-05 17:11:16	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x67ed2a…
10-05 17:08:02	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xae3891…
10-05 16:30:31	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb5c6f6…
10-05 16:23:47	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x38e590…
10-05 16:10:08	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb861bf…
10-05 16:10:08	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x66a6ec…
10-05 16:10:08	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x5992b8…
10-05 16:10:08	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x0bce54…
10-05 16:06:22	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	327	96¢	$314	0x439593…
10-05 12:06:04	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	1,681	0¢	$3	0x203efa…
10-04 09:55:16	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x8c23c2…
10-03 19:39:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	314	32¢	$100	0xe9d3b9…
10-02 12:36:48	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	211	24¢	$50	0x6f93e0…
10-01 21:39:57	Will Roma finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xbc3930…
10-01 21:39:36	Will Borussia Dortmund finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xb6cbfa…
10-01 21:38:24	Will Liverpool finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4fcbd0…
10-01 21:36:11	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x576a57…
10-01 21:35:47	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x799304…
10-01 20:43:21	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	501	60¢	$300	0xdbb3bb…
10-01 18:31:38	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x64d920…
10-01 14:24:35	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	265	76¢	$200	0xd60ad9…
10-01 14:23:29	Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$10	0x18f892…
10-01 14:23:00	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xfeae01…
10-01 14:21:21	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x3e6287…
09-30 19:59:12	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x0f5ad5…
09-30 19:58:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x80c959…
09-30 19:49:42	Will Napoli finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7a394d…
09-30 19:49:08	Will RB Leipzig finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0b7632…