Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 08-19 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 81% -$28

Politics

31% 79% -$43

Other

28% 74% +$6

Tech

2% 0% -$16

Sports

1% 75% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	2	$47	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-10 15:40
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	4	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	08-16 00:07
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	3	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	07-21 00:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 21?	5	$42	46	46	+0	Yes	-$3	07-20 15:42
ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	2	$41	26	26	+0	Up	-$8	07-27 14:37
Will Angie Craig win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	08-12 05:26
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-19 00:00
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-17 00:11
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 08:04
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-19 00:02
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-10 09:20
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-10 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?	4	$37	24	24	+0	No	-$10	08-19 14:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$34	24	16	+8	No	-$5	07-26 07:39
will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 1	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	-$5	08-01 18:45
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	-$4	07-27 23:04
bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	-$8	08-19 14:59
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	08-14 00:03
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	2	$29	125	125	+0	No	-$16	07-20 17:07
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	1	$24	27	0	+27	No	+$3	07-26 20:51
xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	2	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$1	08-12 10:51
nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	1	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$1	08-05 04:57
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 23	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$1	07-23 17:18
will trump say six seven during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255823	1	$23	25	0	+25	No	+$2	07-24 12:01
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	1	$23	25	0	+25	No	+$2	08-03 12:02
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	2	$23	25	25	+0	Yes	-$23	08-13 13:33
txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 1pt92	1	$22	24	0	+24	Yes	+$2	07-22 09:06
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	-$22	07-29 00:45
bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	08-17 08:45
ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93	1	$21	23	0	+23	Yes	+$2	07-28 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 15:06:18	ethereum above 2000 on august 19 2026	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x838796…
08-19 14:59:46	ethereum above 2000 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdefdf7…
08-19 14:59:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xc2d65a…
08-19 14:59:13	bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x6fa4ff…
08-19 14:59:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?	No	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x01de9a…
08-19 14:09:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb7365d…
08-19 12:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xddbc67…
08-19 07:27:54	bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7cddec…
08-19 00:02:04	Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xeb73f2…
08-19 00:00:13	Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2c02fd…
08-18 23:36:09	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x32627d…
08-18 23:23:55	Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x5fdfcd…
08-18 12:01:48	Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa4c4dc…
08-18 12:01:48	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 25–30%?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x3a6ca8…
08-17 16:21:55	Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa5db9…
08-17 16:21:54	Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x41194f…
08-17 12:03:39	Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x969f20…
08-17 12:03:37	Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x1414aa…
08-17 08:45:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa268d6…
08-17 08:45:55	bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x15ee45…
08-17 00:11:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x84a3a6…
08-17 00:01:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a4946…
08-16 16:03:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x2b18c5…
08-16 00:07:00	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xee4dc3…
08-16 00:04:57	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x87f2b1…
08-15 20:04:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x548266…
08-15 18:38:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf224c0…
08-15 08:04:48	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xff9b41…
08-15 06:26:07	bitcoin above 62k on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe39b9…
08-15 04:50:55	ethereum above 1900 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x85410e…
08-15 04:46:40	Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa96321…
08-15 04:46:27	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x3d1f56…
08-15 04:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 15?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x6a32dd…
08-14 18:52:40	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in new york 20260811183234698	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5c29b1…
08-14 12:05:52	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x466021…
08-14 12:00:43	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xddc694…
08-14 04:01:51	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x05b994…
08-14 00:14:18	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xcd198e…
08-14 00:11:31	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xefa867…
08-14 00:03:46	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf51986…
08-13 17:27:40	Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4490f3…
08-13 13:33:39	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x9fc719…
08-13 12:07:39	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf2b5b5…
08-13 11:35:37	bitcoin above 62k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf1e326…
08-13 06:05:12	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x254768…
08-12 23:59:16	Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x40e1e4…
08-12 18:24:06	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x46645c…
08-12 16:22:06	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x628e6b…
08-12 16:21:22	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9c0828…
08-12 10:51:51	xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x92018a…
08-12 06:31:00	bitcoin above 62k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5a1b9c…
08-12 06:25:36	xrp above 1 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xbef4cd…
08-12 05:26:15	Will Angie Craig win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xce28d6…
08-12 00:20:25	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3e483d…
08-12 00:06:51	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaac5f3…
08-11 16:04:10	Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x81ff44…
08-11 12:03:34	Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf81786…
08-11 12:03:33	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xd8470e…
08-11 12:02:45	Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9ef2c9…
08-10 16:23:37	will trump say save america act during tele rally 20260809153916668	Yes	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xc60e28…
08-10 16:23:01	Will Angie Craig win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf40840…
08-10 16:23:01	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x37295c…
08-10 15:40:39	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x0d6dd4…
08-10 12:02:55	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe744f3…
08-10 10:01:04	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc1f7c1…
08-10 09:20:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6ac48b…
08-10 09:20:07	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x821431…
08-10 08:43:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x46fc8d…
08-10 08:37:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xba4650…
08-08 15:24:58	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x9d412c…
08-08 15:24:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x927141…
08-05 06:46:26	bitcoin above 66k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x568281…
08-05 04:57:45	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x51adb1…
08-04 20:36:29	Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3c341f…
08-04 18:11:02	Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x1920dc…
08-04 04:03:41	ethereum above 1800 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf75214…
08-03 12:02:18	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xd7837f…
08-02 12:02:02	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x444b5d…
08-01 18:52:15	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa4151b…
08-01 18:45:39	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 1	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xda32ba…
08-01 18:05:21	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x5a6f71…
08-01 17:36:26	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 1	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x518c76…
08-01 17:26:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2942cc…
08-01 06:17:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 1?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x4b089a…
07-30 16:23:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc0c872…
07-30 04:25:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x66b2bb…
07-29 19:48:36	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 29	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x996508…
07-29 04:26:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x81d2dd…
07-29 00:45:01	Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x56f1d5…
07-28 21:21:50	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa84e83…
07-28 06:02:33	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc6135e…
07-28 01:03:03	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xc382cd…
07-27 23:04:18	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xa07a6f…
07-27 22:49:10	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 27	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x618e73…
07-27 14:38:09	will trump say china or chinese during michigan remarks 20260724162420365	Yes	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xd8ff6e…
07-27 14:37:30	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x9385ea…
07-27 12:23:19	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xaee10a…
07-27 09:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf6fc65…
07-26 20:51:34	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x4d33b3…
07-26 11:59:51	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x8d8d55…