Soft-Idea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

147

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-29 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 39% -$320

Other

5% 38% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:40 UTC	2	$232	179	170	+8	Up	+$113	04-17 17:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:45 UTC	5	$143	117	112	+4	Down	+$29	04-18 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:00 UTC	2	$133	78	76	+1	Up	+$20	04-20 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:00 UTC	2	$127	77	75	+2	Down	+$24	04-18 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:00 UTC	5	$102	88	86	+2	Up	-$10	04-18 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:55 UTC	2	$100	59	58	+1	Up	+$16	04-20 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:35 UTC	3	$93	65	62	+2	Down	+$33	04-17 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:35 UTC	4	$88	98	95	+3	Down	-$34	04-18 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$80	59	59	+0	Up	+$20	05-07 11:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:55 UTC	2	$80	50	49	+1	Down	+$18	04-18 19:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC	2	$79	52	50	+2	Down	+$21	04-18 18:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	3	$78	115	49	+66	Up	-$16	08-02 16:38
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:00 UTC	1	$75	167	0	+167	Down	-$75	04-20 10:05
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:25 UTC	2	$75	49	48	+1	Down	+$18	04-20 12:29
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:00 UTC	3	$66	83	32	+52	Down	-$14	04-19 22:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:50 UTC	2	$63	45	43	+2	Down	+$24	04-20 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:30 UTC	2	$63	41	40	+1	Down	+$14	04-20 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:20 UTC	2	$56	31	30	+0	Up	+$5	04-18 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:50 UTC	5	$56	245	59	+185	Down	-$18	04-18 18:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:10 UTC	1	$52	115	0	+115	Up	-$52	04-20 10:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:30 UTC	1	$52	85	0	+85	Down	-$52	04-18 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:55 UTC	2	$52	34	33	+1	Up	+$12	04-18 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:40 UTC	4	$51	45	44	+2	Up	+$6	04-19 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$51	42	37	+5	Down	+$9	05-11 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$51	34	34	+0	Down	+$11	04-29 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	3	$51	64	39	+26	Up	-$13	04-23 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$49	34	34	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:05 UTC	3	$46	115	59	+56	Up	-$37	04-18 19:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:50 UTC	1	$44	53	0	+53	Down	+$9	04-18 16:52
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:15 UTC	2	$43	34	33	+2	Up	+$18	04-20 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 23:50:07	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xb5280f…
08-05 15:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xfe3be0…
08-02 16:38:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0xb5028e…
08-02 16:36:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	Down	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0xdfce84…
08-02 16:35:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0xbaef0c…
08-02 16:29:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	240	8¢	$20	0x20dd22…
08-02 16:29:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	240	4¢	$9	0x33487e…
08-02 16:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	105	9¢	$9	0x6a652f…
08-02 15:41:48	Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0xff7c53…
07-14 19:27:22	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xa05924…
05-25 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xd4ae75…
05-21 12:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x906aab…
05-14 22:46:41	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0xf2a260…
05-14 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x1b6429…
05-14 09:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xbd4b20…
05-14 09:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdfeaab…
05-14 09:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xade770…
05-14 09:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x52fc8f…
05-14 09:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x6d999b…
05-14 09:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf1bd08…
05-11 12:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8fb110…
05-11 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7af3fa…
05-11 12:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xba0a57…
05-11 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x927268…
05-11 12:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x74795c…
05-11 10:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9c5b6d…
05-11 10:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x8f474d…
05-11 10:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0x514b25…
05-11 10:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x1c749d…
05-11 10:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x46ee47…
05-11 10:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0x3a556a…
05-11 10:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xb15962…
05-11 10:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0xb2befb…
05-11 10:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x1eeb3e…
05-10 21:07:27	Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	61	13¢	$8	0x6fe344…
05-10 19:40:42	Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0xc6e767…
05-08 10:11:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xed5d86…
05-08 10:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1379ac…
05-08 10:00:39	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xd6cce9…
05-08 09:59:59	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x86d310…
05-08 09:57:30	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xc584c2…
05-08 09:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x8245fc…
05-08 09:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xf65015…
05-08 09:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa1b14d…
05-07 11:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0xe691d3…
05-07 11:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x5fab54…
05-07 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x7b845d…
05-07 11:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xf0cdb4…
05-07 11:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x614424…
05-07 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x7d4e25…
04-29 21:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb3cc4a…
04-29 21:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb306f9…
04-29 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x2d7d0a…
04-29 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x973359…
04-29 21:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0398e4…
04-29 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x8db877…
04-29 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xb2eefb…
04-27 20:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x8865d1…
04-27 20:36:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x5d994c…
04-26 20:52:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x7d4d7a…
04-26 20:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x400893…
04-26 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x17fa0c…
04-26 20:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd1f601…
04-26 15:36:28	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe1a64d…
04-26 15:31:12	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x14ec58…
04-26 15:26:20	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0dcf1e…
04-23 10:41:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x812727…
04-23 10:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x13c5e1…
04-23 10:38:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x8edb99…
04-23 10:37:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x19fce1…
04-23 10:32:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0x90f165…
04-23 10:31:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x04d47d…
04-23 10:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0x9503ff…
04-23 10:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x1af3a6…
04-23 10:26:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf622c4…
04-23 10:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9d2b5d…
04-23 10:24:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3455f…
04-23 10:24:24	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0xc568e0…
04-23 10:23:14	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd651f9…
04-23 10:15:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0x2e1692…
04-23 10:13:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0x5f2d6d…
04-23 10:11:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0f385b…
04-23 10:08:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xce409e…
04-23 10:03:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xf91a08…
04-23 09:55:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xbd5c34…
04-23 09:54:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xf81498…
04-23 09:52:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2255f6…
04-23 09:46:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x08d195…
04-23 09:43:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x456da6…
04-23 09:42:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x831c1a…
04-23 09:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xeaf2e5…
04-23 00:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0xe3496f…
04-23 00:37:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x5598b9…
04-23 00:35:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5112d5…
04-23 00:33:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x688305…
04-23 00:29:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x8fecab…
04-23 00:29:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x46e4d2…
04-23 00:26:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdf3d81…
04-23 00:21:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x632766…
04-23 00:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0xb9f987…