Insecure-Drum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

299

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:49
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:48
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:27
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:52
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 01:42
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34642c…
11-08 12:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95b12f…
11-07 02:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe79336…
11-05 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d3412…
11-04 02:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23b792…
11-03 12:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3c831…
11-02 13:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1fca1…
11-01 04:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec8701…
10-31 09:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd265cb…
10-30 09:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4cf63…
10-29 17:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xedc524…
10-29 08:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6b597e…
10-28 05:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x656d3f…
10-27 08:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3182d4…
10-26 08:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5ff6c…
10-24 09:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f43d6…
10-22 10:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x415ba1…
10-20 04:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512c6e…
10-19 08:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe37747…
10-18 08:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f7d69…
10-17 08:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2bcab…
10-16 08:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed62b4…
10-15 08:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa71707…
10-14 08:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15a474…
10-13 08:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71f107…
10-12 08:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9125e7…
10-11 07:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedfc60…
10-08 08:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89a828…
10-07 13:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d1d9b…
10-06 07:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x644cff…
10-04 10:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x395616…
10-03 05:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39e2dd…
10-02 07:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318eef…
10-01 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19509a…
09-30 11:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59fcb5…
09-29 09:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460036…
09-28 09:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80cc5b…
09-27 08:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x975c85…
09-25 08:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2df03c…
09-24 08:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fbfc1…
09-23 05:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5f350…
09-22 07:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed388d…
09-21 08:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf21026…
09-20 05:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14f3cb…
09-19 07:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ab3ff…
09-18 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9dd5b…
09-17 03:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf125a0…
09-16 07:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc202f1…
09-15 08:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d2c35…
09-14 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9b56d…
09-13 09:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dbb97…
09-12 10:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32aa5…
09-11 07:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1608d2…
09-10 02:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2601d…
09-09 01:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a45a…
09-08 01:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x086e4c…
09-07 03:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe158d…
09-06 17:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f9a27…
09-06 08:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe947ad…
09-05 09:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0ffa2…
09-04 09:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9be0fa…
09-03 08:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5642dd…
09-01 01:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4443b…
08-30 07:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf01968…
08-29 06:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99529e…
08-28 06:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ece2…
08-27 07:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd612d1…
08-26 08:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaf04b…
08-25 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a0b3…
08-24 09:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6eac90…
08-23 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa175ab…
08-22 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf5093…
08-21 03:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffbf16…
08-20 08:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3d4d2…
08-19 08:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01997c…
08-18 04:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1195…
08-17 07:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x286d0d…
08-16 10:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf28b3e…
08-15 08:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda13b5…
08-14 06:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfae5b0…
08-13 07:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55d432…
08-12 07:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e38a2…
08-11 00:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadd274…
08-10 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x777c7f…
08-09 01:10:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc3f52…
08-08 07:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x692768…
08-07 00:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x863195…
08-06 00:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1460c…
08-05 07:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1d817…
08-04 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cd02b…
08-03 01:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ab69c…
08-02 01:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f686a…
08-01 00:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90c449…
07-31 07:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd82a65…
07-30 01:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebf356…
07-29 05:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57868a…
07-28 05:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f7d7…
07-27 07:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633f69…
07-26 06:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73cde5…
07-25 00:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b2af4…