Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$52.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-22 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$29

Politics

43% 0% $-60

Sports

6% 100% +$16

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	65	$9.6K	23,275	26,000	-2,725	open	—	04-03 17:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	8	$6.4K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	04-08 05:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$4.5K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	04-15 16:30
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	74	$4.5K	5,004	6,174	-1,171	open	—	03-31 15:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-03 10:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$2.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	03-24 08:00
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	17	$1.9K	1,442	1,442	+0	open	—	02-16 15:44
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	16	$1.9K	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	03-25 15:58
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-24 07:46
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$1.7K	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	03-24 06:58
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	38	$1.7K	7,705	0	+7,705	open	—	03-24 15:35
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$1.7K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-24 07:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-15 16:29
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	21	$1.2K	1,106	1,438	-332	open	—	04-22 03:17
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	11,500	0	+11,500	open	—	04-16 03:22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$1.1K	3,629	3,629	+0	open	—	03-16 03:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	1	$988	10,983	0	+10,983	open	—	04-16 03:06
will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	23	$722	440	440	+0	open	—	03-19 20:43
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$533	413	413	+0	open	—	03-24 14:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$490	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	04-16 02:40
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$299	500	0	+500	open	—	03-19 05:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$240	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$-60	04-15 16:30
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$199	33,389	0	+33,389	open	—	03-16 05:25
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$169	2,066	0	+2,066	open	—	04-16 03:23
btc updown 5m 1771339500	4	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 14:49
will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	26	$164	256	256	+0	open	—	03-30 13:53
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$151	11,645	0	+11,645	open	—	03-14 10:25
will peoples party pple finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$140	137	137	+0	open	—	02-08 13:54
btc updown 5m 1771340100	8	$134	100	69	+31	open	—	02-17 14:59
btc updown 5m 1771340700	12	$126	200	100	+100	open	—	02-17 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 03:17:10	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xa26dcf…
04-22 02:46:20	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	37	59¢	$22	0x6c830d…
04-22 02:45:32	Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	851	59¢	$502	0x0744d3…
04-16 03:23:06	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,066	8¢	$169	0x9b36a9…
04-16 03:22:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,500	10¢	$1,150	0xccfe26…
04-16 03:06:46	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,983	9¢	$988	0x2a5445…
04-16 02:40:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	35,000	1¢	$490	0xe40043…
04-16 02:37:46	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	974	3¢	$27	0x51d3c4…
04-16 02:37:42	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x210282…
04-16 02:36:04	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	867	3¢	$28	0x022c85…
04-15 16:30:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x9acbfd…
04-15 16:30:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	2,700	96¢	$2,593	0xd1dadc…
04-15 16:29:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	1,000	89¢	$893	0x85c3f7…
04-10 16:38:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$634	0xff0357…
04-10 16:37:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x6ec8d0…
04-10 10:13:09	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	294	4¢	$12	0xac0537…
04-10 10:12:01	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x604ced…
04-10 10:04:03	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xdedc15…
04-10 10:03:53	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xa4a939…
04-08 05:46:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	1,722	98¢	$1,697	0x54f7b0…
04-08 02:41:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x8310da…
04-08 02:38:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	420	98¢	$414	0x76bfa3…
04-08 02:36:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	668	98¢	$658	0x637cc8…
04-08 02:35:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	490	98¢	$482	0x74a7a7…
04-04 12:50:43	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,445	0¢	$1	0x0dc744…
04-04 12:45:49	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3b1476…
04-04 12:39:05	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x184216…
04-04 12:37:15	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,400	0¢	$1	0x405699…
04-04 12:36:47	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8d52ee…
04-04 12:35:57	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc8f49e…
04-04 12:35:07	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,200	0¢	$1	0x776ed8…
04-04 12:29:13	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6,745	0¢	$7	0x00d119…
04-03 22:30:01	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	782	0¢	$1	0x97113d…
04-03 22:23:49	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xaed3ce…
04-03 22:23:45	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd030f4…
04-03 22:17:23	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10,215	0¢	$10	0x34120e…
04-03 17:37:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	7,500	17¢	$1,275	0x76d186…
04-03 16:57:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	839	13¢	$109	0x393611…
04-03 16:57:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xf00505…
04-03 16:57:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x8af78b…
04-03 16:57:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x82151a…
04-03 16:57:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x1c25e1…
04-03 16:57:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	814	13¢	$106	0xeabc80…
04-03 16:51:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	721	12¢	$87	0xec1666…
04-03 16:50:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	714	13¢	$93	0xda85c4…
04-03 16:49:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x46fd44…
04-03 16:49:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	303	13¢	$39	0x31d0e0…
04-03 16:49:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x3e308b…
04-03 16:49:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe48d6b…
04-03 16:49:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	231	13¢	$30	0xb13d6a…
04-03 16:49:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xfd176a…
04-03 16:49:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x470490…
04-03 16:49:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x1a2560…
04-03 16:48:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x662120…
04-03 16:48:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xb132c7…
04-03 16:48:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xc03cee…
04-03 16:48:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x4fc6f5…
04-03 16:48:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x388db2…
04-03 16:48:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x83c048…
04-03 16:47:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	154	13¢	$20	0x75cff8…
04-03 16:47:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x6faf7e…
04-03 16:47:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x24735d…
04-03 16:47:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xcda8d0…
04-03 16:47:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0xf00eeb…
04-03 16:47:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xb7e5ae…
04-03 16:47:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	310	13¢	$40	0x872972…
04-03 16:43:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0xa151b5…
04-03 16:43:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,700	12¢	$204	0x31373b…
04-03 16:43:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0x1d99fb…
04-03 16:43:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe0a927…
04-03 16:43:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	461	12¢	$55	0x5b6e87…
04-03 16:34:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2,500	12¢	$300	0xb7be62…
04-03 16:26:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3,000	13¢	$390	0x640ffc…
04-03 16:22:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,865	11¢	$205	0xc98848…
04-03 16:22:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	135	11¢	$15	0xa5751d…
04-03 16:18:39	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf9803d…
04-03 12:28:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,200	0x154ae2…
04-03 11:44:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,584	24¢	$1,100	0x8d25b8…
04-03 11:44:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	260	25¢	$65	0xf2d697…
04-03 11:44:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1326a6…
04-03 11:43:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x3949ad…
04-03 11:43:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x64275e…
04-03 11:43:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x7569d3…
04-03 11:42:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x232f89…
04-03 11:42:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x408fab…
04-03 11:42:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x6978df…
04-03 11:42:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa16e79…
04-03 11:42:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x86afda…
04-03 11:42:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,124	25¢	$281	0x60be90…
04-03 11:34:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0xabb851…
04-03 11:34:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x801dbb…
04-03 11:34:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1ca956…
04-03 11:33:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x96d23d…
04-03 11:33:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x361fb1…
04-03 11:33:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x381c0a…
04-03 11:33:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,868	25¢	$467	0x738759…
04-03 11:32:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	253	25¢	$63	0x191591…
04-03 11:27:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,999	24¢	$1,200	0x478905…
04-03 11:27:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	74	22¢	$16	0x80c153…
04-03 11:27:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,825	22¢	$622	0x55cef7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	65	$16.6K	9,035	04-17 15:22
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	58	$443.7K	7,649	05-07 22:44
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$66.7K	772	04-27 23:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	53	$6.63K	1,757	04-28 10:16
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	53	$3.02K	2,374	05-08 18:33
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	52	$131.6K	10,096	04-30 15:22
(anonymous) 0xaca8…6894	52	$697	513	02-18 21:52
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	51	$5.50K	2,168	02-17 15:14