Curvy-Sleepiness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-13 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 43% $-29

Other

30% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-42

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$118	825	825	+0	open	—	05-13 08:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$70	13,347	3,347	+10,000	open	—	04-27 15:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$68	332	332	+0	No	$-42	05-06 14:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$68	316	306	+10	open	—	04-15 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$59	72	46	+26	Down	+$1	05-06 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$57	88	38	+50	open	—	04-28 18:08
btc updown 5m 1776291900	3	$49	36	34	+2	open	—	04-15 22:30
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$44	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	04-01 11:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$38	179	179	+0	open	—	05-05 16:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$37	286	286	+0	open	—	05-05 16:42
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$36	96	17	+79	open	—	04-28 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	04-28 17:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$31	758	728	+29	open	—	04-15 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-28 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$27	60	27	+33	open	—	04-28 18:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$27	179	172	+6	open	—	04-13 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-28 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 18:16
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-28 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$18	83	0	+83	Up	$-18	05-06 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	8	$18	34	0	+34	Down	$-18	05-13 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$17	39	3	+35	Down	$-10	05-06 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$13	14	6	+8	open	—	04-28 17:36
btc updown 5m 1776291600	6	$13	106	0	+106	open	—	04-15 22:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 18:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$12	48	0	+48	open	—	04-28 17:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 17:47
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-28 18:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x792d41…
05-13 08:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd385e9…
05-13 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xccadcb…
05-13 08:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35b184…
05-13 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2fb16a…
05-13 08:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdec84f…
05-13 08:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5ebd74…
05-13 08:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd67a66…
05-13 08:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0x97ff67…
05-13 08:42:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	825	2¢	$19	0x5ff27a…
05-07 00:34:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	825	12¢	$99	0xde8884…
05-06 14:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x9afa90…
05-06 14:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x27a929…
05-06 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x56f44d…
05-06 14:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbd4455…
05-06 14:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0xe520e8…
05-06 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x2128a5…
05-06 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x355032…
05-06 14:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4141ee…
05-06 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x8723b2…
05-06 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe6d5e2…
05-06 14:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x58cb4d…
05-06 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x59ab7f…
05-06 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb735e0…
05-06 14:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5533fe…
05-06 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xee2d77…
05-06 14:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4daba6…
05-06 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0x95e3cc…
05-06 14:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1ee337…
05-06 14:00:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	332	4¢	$13	0xb7d0ba…
05-05 16:43:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	194	17¢	$33	0xd63f4f…
05-05 16:42:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	179	10¢	$18	0x4fd0cd…
05-05 16:42:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	286	6¢	$17	0x100237…
05-05 13:08:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	138	16¢	$22	0x504a0e…
05-05 13:07:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	179	11¢	$20	0x71f41c…
05-05 13:07:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x8b6d51…
04-28 18:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x04b8f9…
04-28 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x805bdd…
04-28 18:20:18	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf5b721…
04-28 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb5f18c…
04-28 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd6d8a5…
04-28 18:11:18	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdc8723…
04-28 18:10:54	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa891d6…
04-28 18:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd5ae7a…
04-28 18:09:32	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xac3452…
04-28 18:09:06	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x430aef…
04-28 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbaaabd…
04-28 18:08:18	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0xa09863…
04-28 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x9f5cc1…
04-28 18:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc11a7c…
04-28 18:06:40	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x82e99f…
04-28 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4557b6…
04-28 18:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaa9ad7…
04-28 18:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x358d0d…
04-28 18:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xd80079…
04-28 18:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xd797b4…
04-28 18:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcf6eeb…
04-28 18:01:00	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe44323…
04-28 18:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x11d9e9…
04-28 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc66691…
04-28 17:57:46	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd76ea7…
04-28 17:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x61c33d…
04-28 17:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc342ba…
04-28 17:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x611c26…
04-28 17:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x721e24…
04-28 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x373d5b…
04-28 17:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x7c7add…
04-28 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x057320…
04-28 17:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xaa5de2…
04-28 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x74bf23…
04-28 17:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x8f36ef…
04-28 17:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7777eb…
04-28 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x54ffc7…
04-28 17:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xac19ce…
04-28 17:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x31c2bc…
04-28 17:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1fcf61…
04-28 17:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x471f38…
04-28 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x490fae…
04-28 17:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa3f07e…
04-27 15:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd0f6e5…
04-27 15:37:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1053c2…
04-27 15:36:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbca01c…
04-27 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x6575a7…
04-15 22:30:36	btc updown 5m 1776291900	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xbb7098…
04-15 22:29:00	btc updown 5m 1776291900	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9b971f…
04-15 22:25:20	btc updown 5m 1776291900	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4829c6…
04-15 22:22:32	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0b4e70…
04-15 22:21:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	728	1¢	$6	0x66a2b3…
04-15 22:21:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	306	3¢	$8	0x9b22b6…
04-15 22:21:10	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfe6a0e…
04-15 22:21:10	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe4af04…
04-15 22:21:10	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x82c224…
04-15 22:21:08	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x4aeb7b…
04-15 22:21:08	btc updown 5m 1776291600	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x431ccb…
04-15 22:18:16	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xdff92f…
04-15 22:18:16	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x4cf436…
04-15 22:17:42	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x039183…
04-13 20:22:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,235	1¢	$23	0x69abf7…
04-13 20:21:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	172	4¢	$7	0x3f8b30…
04-13 06:48:55	btc updown 5m 1776062700	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa86412…