Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

585

Trades

1,511

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-04 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 42% -$694

Other

29% 28% -$1,548

Politics

14% 50% +$772

Sports

2% 0% -$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 559 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	—	+7	$4	98¢	$7	+$3	11-04 04:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	07-28 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$1.4K	3,975	3,974	+0	No	+$668	04-15 16:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	9	$1.1K	92,726	0	+92,726	No	-$1,055	06-10 16:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$480	2,705	0	+2,705	No	-$480	06-25 13:00
spx up or down on april 16 2026	2	$261	164	161	+3	Up	+$64	04-16 20:13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$241	833	833	+0	No	+$141	05-25 19:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$225	500	500	+0	No	+$25	04-18 18:16
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$174	704	674	+30	Yes	+$4	04-18 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	4	$173	260	113	+147	Up	+$35	06-07 21:09
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves	33	$154	116	109	+7	Cincinnati Reds	-$6	09-24 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	4	$135	110	110	+0	Up	+$35	06-07 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:00 UTC	6	$116	862	71	+790	Down	-$44	06-07 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:35 UTC	2	$110	145	0	+145	Up	-$93	04-18 20:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$100	2,638	0	+2,638	No	-$100	04-19 16:00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$100	370	0	+370	No	-$100	07-16 04:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	1	$100	333	0	+333	No	-$100	04-18 18:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	1	$100	315	0	+315	Yes	+$215	07-15 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:30 UTC	4	$88	64	64	+0	Up	+$38	06-24 17:35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	4	$85	209	104	+105	No	+$5	07-11 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:10 UTC	2	$84	60	60	+0	Up	+$34	06-07 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	3	$82	114	56	+58	Up	-$18	06-07 20:56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	3	$80	95	95	+0	Yes	+$50	07-05 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:50 UTC	4	$74	50	48	+1	Down	+$15	04-18 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	5	$68	77	77	+0	Down	+$40	06-04 20:00
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	2	$67	222	222	+0	No	+$27	07-14 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:30 UTC	13	$64	70	60	+10	Down	-$6	09-24 16:25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$60	1,417	0	+1,417	No	-$60	06-11 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:20 UTC	2	$58	34	34	+0	Up	+$8	06-07 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$58	40	40	+0	Up	+$18	10-20 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$58	38	38	+0	Up	+$18	10-26 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$58	39	39	+0	Up	+$18	10-26 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4d86e3…
11-04 03:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf3eea1…
11-03 23:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x084f82…
11-03 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x4dcf18…
11-03 13:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x119544…
11-03 13:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xa00081…
11-03 12:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4f3130…
11-03 09:07:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbf8f97…
11-03 07:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6dfa98…
11-02 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x41364e…
10-31 22:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xdbbffe…
10-31 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5a5605…
10-31 11:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xba64fd…
10-30 23:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x72f0ef…
10-30 18:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x4d9697…
10-30 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe48bf9…
10-30 10:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x3393b3…
10-30 03:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x64cd20…
10-30 03:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x25ed6d…
10-29 23:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7fbdb6…
10-29 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x54353c…
10-29 20:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x2e421c…
10-29 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x79e635…
10-29 05:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x6b81ec…
10-29 01:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xcc398b…
10-29 01:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1f1bb2…
10-29 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xee46d6…
10-29 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x643d09…
10-28 20:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x98ab6b…
10-28 20:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x1f4a9e…
10-28 12:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x68b7e4…
10-28 08:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4f04f1…
10-28 08:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0xda92cc…
10-28 08:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc03d75…
10-28 08:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0xa19b56…
10-27 21:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0c6225…
10-27 17:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x058a74…
10-27 15:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4fe73c…
10-27 12:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x518d95…
10-27 10:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x8137e9…
10-27 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x819ecd…
10-27 07:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x9fe229…
10-27 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x72721f…
10-27 06:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfde096…
10-26 23:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x3cb1c8…
10-26 23:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x71b53e…
10-26 23:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xae7506…
10-26 17:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x541b20…
10-26 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xbafceb…
10-26 16:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7b34e9…
10-26 14:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x07fe37…
10-26 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x394297…
10-26 08:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe91cdc…
10-26 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd772b9…
10-25 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xe83bcc…
10-25 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe52af5…
10-25 16:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x832ffe…
10-25 15:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x9982dd…
10-25 08:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd51e77…
10-25 05:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe7ec47…
10-25 02:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x249517…
10-25 01:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x9ced83…
10-24 23:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x01d85b…
10-24 21:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x41b4cf…
10-24 16:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x721b17…
10-24 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x6b3d1c…
10-24 14:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x2de9f0…
10-24 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x39f216…
10-24 05:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0xce4ec5…
10-24 05:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x1d4a9f…
10-24 03:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x1e58d1…
10-24 00:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x2ece29…
10-24 00:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xcf43b9…
10-23 22:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9121ba…
10-23 02:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x14a96b…
10-23 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfd3e1c…
10-22 16:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x632a7e…
10-22 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6f5b82…
10-22 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x1f6fdf…
10-22 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x60756f…
10-21 19:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x333b18…
10-21 19:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x76cda4…
10-21 13:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x37ede7…
10-21 13:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xccd1ec…
10-21 13:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xadb52a…
10-21 07:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x1d9651…
10-20 15:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xe10117…
10-20 15:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0b165e…
10-20 14:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x36a58c…
10-20 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1683e6…
10-19 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x39d919…
10-19 16:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8c51a5…
10-19 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	95¢	$36	0xc232dc…
10-19 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xaa1da4…
10-19 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc4e55b…
10-19 10:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2555b3…
10-19 02:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x01cb77…
10-18 23:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6b4840…
10-18 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x06fee9…
10-18 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x740484…