Determined-Bug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$493

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$61.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.37K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-09 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

63% 50% +$1,631

Other

37% 33% $-2,124

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$5.2K	9,864	+9,864	open	—	05-21 09:02
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	2	$5.0K	10,006	+10,006	open	—	05-20 14:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$4.9K	8,475	+8,475	open	—	06-08 23:04
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	2	$4.8K	10,000	+10,000	open	—	05-17 23:07
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$3.6K	6,497	+6,497	open	—	05-19 10:57
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	2	$3.1K	6,120	+6,120	Over	$-3,060	05-10 18:43
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2.7K	4,995	+4,995	open	—	05-22 13:00
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	1	$2.5K	5,000	+5,000	open	—	05-18 15:46
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$2.5K	4,546	+4,546	Sabres	+$2,046	05-06 22:20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	1	$2.4K	5,196	+5,196	open	—	05-21 20:55
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$2.3K	4,430	+4,430	Knicks	$-2,304	05-08 13:32
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	1	$2.0K	3,940	+3,940	open	—	05-03 10:32
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	1	$1.9K	3,450	+3,450	open	—	04-27 16:05
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	1	$1.8K	3,709	+3,709	open	—	06-09 15:08
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$1.7K	3,672	+3,672	Timberwolves	+$1,946	05-10 17:50
mlb ari mia 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	1	$1.7K	3,584	+3,584	open	—	06-09 19:55
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	3	$1.6K	3,240	+3,240	open	—	04-30 16:45
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	6	$1.3K	3,504	+3,504	AS Roma	+$2,189	05-04 18:36
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	1	$1.3K	2,558	+2,558	Over	$-1,253	05-09 15:20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	1	$1.2K	2,490	+2,490	Pistons	+$1,270	05-05 18:46
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	1	$1.1K	2,904	+2,904	open	—	05-16 13:18
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?	1	$1.0K	1,818	+1,818	open	—	04-26 11:26
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5	1	$998	1,996	+1,996	open	—	04-25 15:00
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$989	1,337	+1,337	open	—	05-03 22:43
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5	1	$976	1,992	+1,992	open	—	05-01 15:53
World Championships: Finland vs. USA	1	$945	2,700	+2,700	open	—	05-18 14:06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$900	3,000	+3,000	open	—	05-16 09:24
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5	1	$712	1,424	+1,424	Over	$-712	05-09 19:09
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	1	$637	1,633	+1,633	open	—	05-30 11:26
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	1	$615	1,119	+1,119	Thunder	$-615	05-07 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:55:45	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	3,584	47¢	$1,684	0xf12e3c…
06-09 15:08:30	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3,709	48¢	$1,780	0x6fa1b5…
06-09 11:41:07	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09	paiN	BUY	68	45¢	$30	0xa4e475…
06-08 23:04:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 2pt5	Knicks	BUY	8,475	58¢	$4,916	0xed63a2…
06-08 18:11:24	mlb sea bal 2026 06 08	Seattle Mariners	BUY	18	54¢	$9	0xe3f744…
05-30 22:57:17	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x01066f…
05-30 11:26:25	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	1,633	39¢	$637	0x6b70e8…
05-29 22:11:06	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	1,018	52¢	$530	0x4a2e45…
05-24 14:27:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x346804…
05-22 13:00:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4,995	54¢	$2,698	0x1d0c19…
05-21 20:55:30	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5,196	47¢	$2,442	0xa26331…
05-21 09:02:05	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	9,864	53¢	$5,228	0xd97c44…
05-20 14:06:27	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	4,050	50¢	$2,025	0x6b0ffd…
05-20 13:33:35	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	5,956	50¢	$2,978	0x7135c9…
05-19 10:57:21	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6,497	55¢	$3,574	0x5718e2…
05-18 15:46:47	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	5,000	51¢	$2,550	0xe75d14…
05-18 14:06:39	World Championships: Finland vs. USA	USA	BUY	2,700	35¢	$945	0x9b540c…
05-17 23:07:16	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	5,000	48¢	$2,400	0xc5fd98…
05-17 20:39:16	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	5,000	48¢	$2,400	0x8ec998…
05-16 13:18:19	Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	2,904	38¢	$1,103	0x6ed455…
05-16 09:24:38	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	3,000	30¢	$900	0x1b8405…
05-10 18:43:29	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd2c0d9…
05-10 18:42:50	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6,090	50¢	$3,045	0x034f83…
05-10 17:50:27	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	3,672	47¢	$1,726	0x2fdc2f…
05-09 19:09:39	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	1,424	50¢	$712	0x791cd2…
05-09 15:20:17	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2,558	49¢	$1,253	0xe0b6f9…
05-08 13:32:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4,430	52¢	$2,304	0x0e3258…
05-07 15:03:39	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	1,119	55¢	$615	0xef55f3…
05-06 22:20:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	4,546	55¢	$2,500	0xbb9bc0…
05-05 18:46:06	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	2,490	49¢	$1,220	0x98afe9…
05-04 18:36:28	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x3c2f2a…
05-04 17:03:48	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	2,664	38¢	$1,012	0xf3bb2a…
05-04 16:51:02	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0xbf2a9b…
05-04 16:28:56	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	102	36¢	$37	0x272280…
05-04 15:50:04	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd60df8…
05-04 14:38:48	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	648	36¢	$233	0x4e386c…
05-03 22:43:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1,337	74¢	$989	0x6a7637…
05-03 10:32:20	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	BUY	3,940	50¢	$1,970	0xa66743…
05-01 15:53:32	Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	1,992	49¢	$976	0x18c988…
04-30 16:45:04	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	710	49¢	$348	0xc5bfc9…
04-30 16:43:58	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	710	49¢	$348	0xcc9103…
04-30 16:42:04	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	1,820	49¢	$892	0xa572fd…
04-27 16:05:16	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,450	54¢	$1,863	0xc2a96f…
04-26 20:14:46	Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0x3272d3…
04-26 11:26:58	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x94a27e…
04-25 15:00:24	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	1,996	50¢	$998	0x572bec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Zealous-Violence 0xa697…59d5	29	$126.8K	1,959	06-09 22:12
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	28	$397.6K	2,367	06-10 00:01
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	28	$29.5K	703	06-09 23:45
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	27	$585.3K	2,246	06-09 22:57
Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294	27	$178.0K	1,437	06-09 22:11
Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1	27	$1.68K	267	06-09 19:46
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	26	$28.5K	541	06-09 22:11
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	25	$51.8K	2,357	06-09 13:52