Slushy-Sleepiness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$445

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

1,174

Trades

1,829

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 07-19 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

71% 60% +$380

Politics

21% 68% +$74

Sports

5% 74% -$22

Crypto

2% 70% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$16

Tech

0% 60% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	+38	$36	96¢	$36	$0	05-26 02:19
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$8	96¢	$10	+$2	05-25 17:44
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-23 23:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+23	$8	11¢	$2	-$5	05-23 20:18
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+81	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	05-26 13:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	3	$343	518	+518	Yes	-$343	05-24 10:49
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$329	330	+330	No	+$1	05-24 13:16
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	1	$272	281	+281	No	+$9	05-23 21:52
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$208	336	+336	No	+$128	05-24 04:46
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$200	298	+298	No	+$98	05-24 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26?	4	$191	203	+203	Yes	+$12	05-26 19:52
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$189	341	+341	No	+$152	05-26 10:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$185	186	+186	No	+$1	05-22 16:36
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$177	196	+196	No	+$19	05-25 02:21
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	4	$168	309	+309	Yes	-$4	05-24 18:50
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	4	$161	299	+299	Yes	-$161	05-26 10:42
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$127	311	+311	No	+$184	05-22 23:46
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 22?	1	$123	123	+123	No	+$0	05-22 15:05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$109	179	+179	Yes	-$109	05-24 21:04
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	05-24 18:41
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$93	124	+124	No	+$4	05-26 11:12
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$93	191	+191	Yes	-$93	05-24 06:56
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$90	104	+104	Yes	+$14	05-24 16:53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?	1	$87	124	+124	No	+$37	05-23 04:28
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?	1	$86	99	+99	No	+$13	05-24 21:29
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$79	142	+142	Yes	-$79	05-26 06:54
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	4	$77	180	+180	No	+$5	05-24 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	3	$77	127	+127	Yes	+$28	05-26 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	1	$77	78	+78	Yes	+$1	05-24 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$74	75	+75	No	+$1	05-26 14:28
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$74	74	+74	No	+$0	05-25 11:17
Will Fluxo W7M win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	1	$74	74	+74	No	+$0	05-25 17:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?	5	$71	72	+72	No	+$1	05-24 03:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$71	79	+79	No	+$9	05-25 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 25?	1	$71	71	+71	No	+$0	05-24 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:13:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x23aa18…
05-26 20:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd007bf…
05-26 20:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2d829b…
05-26 20:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xcf458e…
05-26 19:56:17	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x794cef…
05-26 19:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf1f30f…
05-26 19:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x97425c…
05-26 19:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0f287f…
05-26 19:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2f1601…
05-26 19:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5ec075…
05-26 19:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 27?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x53d601…
05-26 19:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xe6da42…
05-26 19:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x87b4a9…
05-26 19:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14b668…
05-26 19:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xcab247…
05-26 19:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa0d1e1…
05-26 19:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x980d5f…
05-26 19:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06c560…
05-26 19:24:16	Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x171e23…
05-26 19:23:18	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe8e455…
05-26 19:13:51	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xa80406…
05-26 19:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x3ca25b…
05-26 19:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa6ed6b…
05-26 18:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42d33d…
05-26 18:51:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6af0d1…
05-26 18:51:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb8f622…
05-26 18:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc6afbb…
05-26 18:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9cc771…
05-26 18:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb659c8…
05-26 18:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcfb272…
05-26 18:35:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x144a71…
05-26 18:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbb0ac5…
05-26 18:31:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a6596…
05-26 18:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x95dc61…
05-26 18:23:32	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x4f2c83…
05-26 18:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xd7ecfb…
05-26 18:19:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8caf49…
05-26 18:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x869282…
05-26 18:11:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1b1c3a…
05-26 18:10:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf56eb9…
05-26 18:08:10	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa9efa6…
05-26 18:06:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x25a54d…
05-26 18:03:11	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d9ad2…
05-26 17:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x1f895d…
05-26 17:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xce9452…
05-26 17:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x854b26…
05-26 17:49:18	Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x71ff5e…
05-26 17:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xe654a8…
05-26 17:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ac48b…
05-26 17:44:48	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xed89ae…
05-26 17:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3f934…
05-26 17:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x243f40…
05-26 17:10:41	Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8e8d2f…
05-26 17:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdf6365…
05-26 17:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xea43c5…
05-26 17:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x16fce3…
05-26 17:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc3ff68…
05-26 17:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x2d18af…
05-26 16:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x900e92…
05-26 16:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5c8804…
05-26 16:41:25	Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 2 or 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x49e658…
05-26 16:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5ff42e…
05-26 16:37:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x5c72c6…
05-26 16:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x43918b…
05-26 16:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 28?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa2f935…
05-26 16:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc31628…
05-26 16:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x889cab…
05-26 16:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x6c34a7…
05-26 16:15:21	Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc05590…
05-26 16:09:52	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x049e17…
05-26 16:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x47ba24…
05-26 16:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x60b286…
05-26 16:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x237157…
05-26 16:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xadc298…
05-26 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x14967f…
05-26 15:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdd9be1…
05-26 15:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcbc4fb…
05-26 15:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3fd383…
05-26 15:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b29db…
05-26 15:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6fc363…
05-26 15:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfacaef…
05-26 15:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xcbcf73…
05-26 15:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x26c281…
05-26 15:33:26	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad4b81…
05-26 15:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ff2ba…
05-26 15:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xffa9b7…
05-26 15:16:47	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6c4cf6…
05-26 15:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x4898af…
05-26 15:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xc76d00…
05-26 15:02:14	Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xeff1c9…
05-26 14:58:02	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x938ff8…
05-26 14:57:44	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xe07311…
05-26 14:57:44	Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x83d925…
05-26 14:56:08	Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5f34ac…
05-26 14:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x4474e8…
05-26 14:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaea65f…
05-26 14:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xe56763…
05-26 14:46:18	Will Do Jong-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6aa470…
05-26 14:38:15	Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 0 Burundi?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd0ad9a…
05-26 14:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9ce755…