Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$90

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-14 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 63% -$708

Other

17% 44% -$319

Politics

8% 33% -$427

Tech

5% 0% -$201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No		+646	$100	14¢	$90	-$10	09-14 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,208	1,191	+17	Down	+$711	02-14 02:46
bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	10	$712	367	367	+0	Down	+$21	01-14 01:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$676	868	0	+868	Yes	+$192	07-22 17:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC	1	$658	2,720	0	+2,720	Down	-$658	03-10 23:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$621	0	822	-822	Yes	-$201	06-03 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	2	$509	851	0	+851	Up	-$509	02-14 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:45 UTC	1	$500	510	0	+510	Up	+$10	01-11 12:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:45 UTC	1	$500	532	0	+532	Up	+$32	01-13 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:50 UTC	2	$425	228	227	+1	Up	+$25	02-14 22:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:30 UTC	2	$300	359	0	+359	Up	-$90	02-14 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:20 UTC	2	$250	156	154	+2	Down	+$52	02-14 02:24
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	2	$219	120	120	+0	No	+$19	01-19 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	2	$214	115	115	+0	Down	+$14	02-23 00:50
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	1	$210	1,312	0	+1,312	Down	-$210	03-01 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:15 UTC	2	$205	107	106	+0	Down	+$5	02-14 02:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	1	$200	250	0	+250	Down	+$50	01-09 01:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$200	408	0	+408	No	-$200	09-04 14:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:00 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	01-15 17:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:00 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	01-15 17:13
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$192	200	0	+200	Yes	+$8	01-19 15:11
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	2	$188	108	108	+0	No	+$28	01-17 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:55 UTC	2	$169	253	121	+132	Down	+$101	02-14 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 18:00 UTC	2	$160	245	0	+245	Down	-$53	01-10 18:07
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	1	$150	9,830	0	+9,830	No	-$150	01-07 11:49
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$140	3,536	0	+3,536	No	-$140	01-17 11:39
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	1	$133	307	0	+307	No	-$133	01-13 01:04
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$131	200	0	+200	No	+$69	01-18 16:34
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	2	$129	71	71	+0	Yes	+$9	06-03 14:31
bitcoin up or down january 8 2pm et	2	$122	111	111	+0	Down	+$82	01-08 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 23:45 UTC	1	$120	122	0	+122	Up	+$2	01-11 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 15:06:09	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	646	15¢	$100	0xa1a390…
09-10 15:11:58	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x44b605…
09-04 14:43:52	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x4b19c4…
09-04 14:41:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13,880	1¢	$100	0x00c378…
09-04 14:36:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x36c226…
07-22 17:53:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	868	78¢	$676	0x93fff8…
06-03 14:31:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xa9ecf2…
06-03 14:30:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	822	76¢	$621	0xf12fe6…
05-01 20:39:28	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x8ef953…
03-22 23:25:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x43ee7e…
03-10 23:27:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-10 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,720	24¢	$658	0x0592cf…
03-10 23:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xcad280…
03-10 22:59:31	bitcoin up or down march 10 6pm et	Up	BUY	1,807	6¢	$100	0x56542b…
03-09 15:47:37	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3,655	2¢	$80	0xc6e598…
03-09 15:46:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2,274	1¢	$20	0x1b1bb9…
03-09 01:28:07	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x1915f3…
03-09 01:27:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x6ba7d9…
03-02 01:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xbd404b…
03-02 01:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	78	27¢	$21	0x8efe6a…
03-02 01:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x280081…
03-01 23:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x1cd46a…
03-01 16:48:39	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	1,312	16¢	$210	0x4453b4…
02-24 01:04:36	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x541b65…
02-24 01:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbe2cc5…
02-24 00:58:06	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb6be31…
02-23 00:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x582c9a…
02-23 00:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xa86366…
02-23 00:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7b3200…
02-23 00:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xab2db0…
02-22 23:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2dc7ad…
02-22 23:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfb2198…
02-22 23:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xae79ba…
02-22 23:22:26	spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x23a75b…
02-16 01:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0xb3c245…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xf6e0d7…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xc7d958…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x90cffb…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x40445c…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x18fd87…
02-16 01:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x114bbc…
02-16 00:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa66ce6…
02-16 00:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x90250a…
02-14 22:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	121	57¢	$69	0x691519…
02-14 22:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0x4f3768…
02-14 22:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0x71f830…
02-14 22:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x6d966d…
02-14 03:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	37	88¢	$33	0xff9bfa…
02-14 03:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0bfd18…
02-14 03:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1abf6a…
02-14 02:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x35ab35…
02-14 02:54:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x31f9a9…
02-14 02:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1,191	99¢	$1,179	0x8e38e1…
02-14 02:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,208	40¢	$485	0x8058ed…
02-14 02:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xff8686…
02-14 02:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x567023…
02-14 02:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xb7fb54…
02-14 02:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2d0112…
02-14 02:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc0e35a…
02-14 02:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	154	97¢	$150	0x759986…
02-14 02:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xf5483e…
02-14 02:20:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x50a7f7…
02-14 02:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xff203c…
02-13 22:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2b846e…
01-30 00:42:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x583d79…
01-30 00:41:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x64dc0c…
01-19 15:13:24	sea rom mil 2026 01 25 draw	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0xe34520…
01-19 15:11:54	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2c9aa3…
01-19 15:10:08	will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0xe95c71…
01-19 00:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1a3232…
01-18 16:34:56	will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	200	65¢	$131	0x300f58…
01-18 02:10:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb8ce78…
01-17 19:44:34	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	812	3¢	$21	0xd77f29…
01-17 16:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x7aba20…
01-17 16:40:46	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xb92f7c…
01-17 11:51:18	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x2a5e65…
01-17 11:50:44	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a9fa5…
01-17 11:50:36	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	No	BUY	108	74¢	$80	0x4fbd39…
01-17 11:45:56	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x74cc4d…
01-17 11:44:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc01a58…
01-17 11:39:38	will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	2,813	1¢	$40	0x20e1df…
01-17 11:39:24	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	2,617	2¢	$50	0x4463af…
01-17 11:38:56	will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	No	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x0bdf80…
01-17 11:38:00	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1,634	3¢	$42	0xe290df…
01-17 11:38:00	will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5a2562…
01-15 17:14:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc87f2f…
01-15 17:13:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4071f8…
01-15 17:13:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x6d952a…
01-14 01:05:48	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	SELL	367	100¢	$367	0xb01458…
01-14 00:55:52	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfccfe6…
01-14 00:55:48	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x11b145…
01-14 00:55:42	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd40500…
01-14 00:55:30	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3c16fc…
01-14 00:55:28	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xd50508…
01-14 00:55:28	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0x8036cb…
01-14 00:55:28	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x1e1a46…
01-14 00:55:24	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xc4c24b…
01-14 00:55:24	bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x0bad8c…
01-13 01:04:21	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	BUY	307	43¢	$133	0x656469…
01-13 01:03:53	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	Yes	BUY	368	27¢	$100	0xcd58d9…
01-13 01:03:37	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	Yes	BUY	1,868	5¢	$100	0xfe7148…