(anonymous) 0xcf9e1a…9954c1
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$127
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
39
Trades
483
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
67% 91% -$13
Politics
20% 75% -$105
Sports
12% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,094 $1,092 100¢ $1.1K +$1 10-27 19:34
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +507 $167 100¢ $507 +$339 10-27 19:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,477 $298 28¢ $406 +$108 10-28 18:49
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +305 $271 94¢ $288 +$17 10-29 00:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +370 $310 74¢ $276 -$34 10-28 18:36
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +184 $184 100¢ $184 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +117 $105 90¢ $105 +$1 10-22 03:46
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 99¢ $100 -$1 10-27 22:43
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $76 100¢ $76 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $74 79¢ $75 +$1 10-29 09:49
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +73 $71 97¢ $71 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $72 96¢ $71 -$1 10-22 03:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $61 70¢ $63 +$1 10-28 15:48
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $60 78¢ $58 -$2 10-26 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +50 $36 100¢ $50 +$14 10-28 17:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +51 $49 98¢ $50 +$1 10-26 03:56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +34 $32 96¢ $32 +$0 10-27 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +70 $54 33¢ $23 -$31 10-28 22:52
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +25 $24 91¢ $23 -$1 10-28 19:18
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $11 70¢ $18 +$6 10-27 01:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +49 $23 32¢ $15 -$8 10-28 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +15 $13 73¢ $11 -$3 10-28 04:20
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $9 97¢ $9 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 10-29 06:12
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026? No +19 $12 42¢ $8 -$4 10-28 01:34
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +11 $7 60¢ $7 -$1 10-28 05:12
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +469 $244 1¢ $5 -$240 10-27 20:00
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +7 $4 56¢ $4 -$1 10-25 01:27