Snarling-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

174

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-11 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 98% -$25

Other

36% 100% +$4

Politics

4% 88% -$27

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	04-18 11:40
ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	2	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-25 09:12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-21 01:18
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 48m and 52m	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-18 11:41
ethereum above 2600 on april 24	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	04-23 20:38
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	1	$42	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	04-15 02:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$41	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	05-09 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	05-18 00:34
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	04-21 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-06 05:51
will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	2	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-07 10:29
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-20 01:13
bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	07-25 20:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	11-10 17:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	04-16 22:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	04-26 04:49
ethereum above 2000 on august 19 2026	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	-$32	08-19 14:48
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-18 11:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-22 05:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-23 06:45
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-20 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 11:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 16:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	11-07 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 14-20?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	09-18 12:21
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	03-20 23:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	09-26 00:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-29 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-24 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 21:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f5de2…
11-10 17:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x88b03b…
11-07 16:30:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd927f6…
11-04 12:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe9c6b3…
11-04 09:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x6fceff…
10-29 13:47:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x26453b…
10-25 11:38:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x04d3d9…
10-24 13:11:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4892e6…
10-21 15:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9dc6f2…
10-20 04:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x421ed8…
10-16 10:40:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcee953…
10-13 18:50:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x787f63…
10-09 13:35:10	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x38171b…
10-08 00:02:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7f672e…
10-02 14:46:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x64d92c…
10-01 14:50:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x109833…
09-27 21:10:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0b9e41…
09-26 00:50:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5ed3fc…
09-23 20:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ff93e…
09-23 16:28:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ba76f…
09-18 12:21:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6441fe…
09-03 12:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x50701a…
09-02 05:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1e79e7…
08-30 21:54:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2f3b61…
08-29 00:34:40	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 28 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xedfd03…
08-25 16:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09d325…
08-23 05:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x530b42…
08-19 14:48:48	ethereum above 2000 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xacb149…
08-16 21:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa92a2a…
08-13 14:15:19	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77bcef…
08-12 19:57:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x200657…
08-10 23:06:40	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x759eb1…
08-07 10:29:39	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4b4f3f…
08-07 08:48:40	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x1ae09a…
07-29 07:08:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x06923b…
07-29 00:46:32	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9f394a…
07-26 03:39:48	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4cb75d…
07-25 20:53:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x745b80…
07-21 22:52:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9aa6a2…
07-17 13:22:30	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc46393…
07-17 03:39:52	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xacca3c…
07-16 05:41:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ea768…
07-13 23:07:40	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfe2053…
07-13 01:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa6acd9…
07-11 07:21:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdea3a4…
07-10 14:30:53	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd48fe4…
07-08 17:49:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2bd4e8…
07-08 07:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x084687…
07-06 05:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x669b5d…
07-05 21:24:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x89a4bf…
07-04 08:52:26	will ethereum reach 2000 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe890ba…
07-03 19:45:43	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbb9d0a…
07-03 11:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3f361a…
07-02 21:59:32	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3d7ebb…
07-02 00:01:41	bitcoin above 50k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa4480c…
07-01 12:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb21e68…
06-25 09:12:25	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8b6f45…
06-25 06:25:43	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x640484…
06-23 00:27:11	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4fd556…
06-22 23:17:29	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6aee3b…
06-22 10:54:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb454c8…
06-21 23:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdfae70…
06-07 22:14:03	bitcoin above 74k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf83055…
06-05 15:05:24	will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3d3c2b…
06-04 07:49:46	Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9965b…
06-03 13:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x88670c…
06-02 20:34:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xda60e4…
06-02 16:11:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0a60b6…
06-01 05:50:15	Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x76e506…
05-31 07:09:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x18522a…
05-30 21:57:49	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb5286f…
05-30 17:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfe6f4c…
05-30 08:30:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x964fd4…
05-29 20:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64ab6b…
05-29 06:16:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7e1aca…
05-28 13:16:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x504fe9…
05-28 05:09:59	Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0b4071…
05-27 15:25:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x549e16…
05-27 10:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe662c9…
05-27 01:53:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00bce6…
05-26 10:02:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0745ad…
05-26 00:55:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf7a739…
05-25 11:18:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1e383b…
05-25 09:09:11	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xda44fc…
05-24 16:33:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0b93c9…
05-24 05:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0dc1d8…
05-24 00:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7e1f75…
05-23 15:46:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf4325e…
05-22 14:21:04	Will "PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xca4b1a…
05-22 09:54:55	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x584a09…
05-22 05:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xbda667…
05-21 23:03:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb61d85…
05-21 06:17:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xebff3a…
05-21 01:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1750ba…
05-20 18:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xd229fa…
05-20 08:57:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1efaf1…
05-20 01:39:10	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6426ee…
05-19 10:57:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbe7459…
05-18 17:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3d185a…
05-18 12:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x174935…